Tom Brokaw is a terrible, biased moderator
Obama Wins on the "Presidentiality" Scale
In many ways McCain, like it or not, is nearly an incumbent candidate, almost like running as a sitting VP. He is tied, fairly and inextricably, to almost every major policy implemented by Bush. Even his more mavericky positions against the tax cuts and torture have been watered down to "I agree with the President."
People don't want another four years and, despite his use of the word "change," that's very nearly McCain's pitch. Tonight, McCain, faced with an actual opponent, couldn't bring himself to parrot the pretty, bipartisan, I'm-the-changiest BS that he delivers on the stump. He brought the full range of conservative positions and Obama, for the most part, brought liberal or moderate positions.
So there were no big tactical wins, no major gaffes, and very little memorable. But on the optics, the 50,000-foot view, Obama nailed it. He stood at that podium, took questions calmly but decisively, contesting every lie and distortion from McCain, interrupting when necessary. He looked like a real President. And for the middle slice of the electorate who don't agree with McCain on policy and can't stand Bush, trust in Obama is the last bridge to cross.
Obama doesn't have to beat McCain with witticisms and superior rhetoric. That's nice for us chattering elitists, but it won't win over the undecided middle. What will win them over is the big-picture messages. Obama projected confidence, wisdom, determination, and a tiny dose of righteous anger in unpacking McCain's distortions.
Americans want to vote for someone new, but they're afraid and need a gut-level reassurance that this guy is real and up to the task. Seeing the two men on the same stage as equals, by itself, starts to break down the myths of the war hero and the empty suit. McCain, in reality, today, is not so heroic, and Obama is not so empty. As the voters' idea of these two men approaches reality, Obama will benefit and McCain will lose.
Confidential to Joe Biden - McCain is not a "Great Guy"
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Please stop making this argument for the GOP and stick with attacking their hypocrisy, changing positions, and flawed policy prescriptions. Thanks.
Mark Halperin Sees the Crazy in Palin Pick
But today he quoted a conservative commentator, saying "McCain turned his sledgehammer into a rubber mallet." Halperin explained that McCain's "lack of experience" attack on Obama has become nearly useless, giving McCain almost no chance of winning the election. He's made similar comments in a Steve Benen CBS News articles published Friday (though he was listed as a "traditional Republican voice"). Please give Mr. Halperin a warm welcome to the reality-based community.
McCain's Obama Makeover and How to Stop It
One of the volunteer pages on the McCain site asks that you sign up for "A Cause Greater Than Self". Tell me this isn't lifted out of the Obama playbook (or any progressive campaign):
My friends, each and every one of us has a duty to serve a cause greater than our own self-interest.
I hope you will take a moment to learn more about these important causes and consider getting involved helping others either here or with the thousands of other organizations serving the greater cause.
Since when is conservatism about somthing greater than self-interest? That's easy, it's not, but with the selection of Sarah Palin, McCain is beginning the process of appropriating all of the youth/change/reform themes that Obama has been hitting.
The new McCain message, which the RNC will amplify, is that McCain (+Palin) is just like Obama (+Biden), only with more experience and grit. All of the GOP surrogates have been talking about "bucking the party" this weekend. Bush and Cheney have a reasonable excuse to be absent from the convention, a personal and political gift for McCain. The Right's noisemakers have finally acknowledged the demise of the Republican party's credibility (aka "brand") and everyone is spinning the virtues of centrism and bipartisanship. This is a huge pack of lies, but that's the problem.
Knocking down each individual lie is time consuming and boring. For example,
Palin said she was against earmarks, but requested $200 million in earmarks this year.That's true, but it's also boring, dry, and forgettable. What is the alternative? Something shorter, sharper, and absolutely not sexist. For example,
John McCain and Sarah Palin are lying about their record of reform and independance.That's a soundbite we can believe in. It's much sharper, keeps the focus on McCain, but doesn't let Palin off the hook. When the press questions this statement, Dems can explain the details (ideally starting and ending with "McCain and Palin are lying"). If the press, or McCain, or the right-wing noise factory want to rebut this charge, they have to switch to wordy, boring, forgettable defenses.
The McCain/Palin campaign is about to turn into an even bigger circus of lies and hypocrisy. There's no reason to think the press point this out, so the Obama campaign has to do it. They have the capacity - we've seen Obama and Biden take the fight to the GOP. They have some very talented surrogates, starting with Bill and Hillary, who can make this case many times in many places, but they'll have to start now.
Defeating McCain/Palin in Three Easy Steps
People are worried about charges of sexism and unflattering images of Biden attacking a pretty young woman, but this is easily remedied. Sure, Biden isn't the most tightly controlled speaker, but now he's on the best-run, Democratic campaign in a generation and he'll have lots of help. Notice Biden dropped his favorite exclamation - literally! - in Springfield - from his convention vocabulary.
1. Ignore Sarah Palin
Don't attack Sarah Palin at all. 3rd party groups can go after her on corruption, but that's not too important. Since she isn't a large figure on the national scene, there isn't much of an image to tear down. Attacking her would give her more stature than ignoring her.Surrogates can describe her policy positions without attacking her personally. She's a classic conservative on virtually every issue. And we can all agree that her selection as VP is historic - it's about time Republicans crossed this barrier 24 years after Geraldine Ferraro was the Democratic VP candidate. Kudos to Sarah, and shame on the GOP for taking so long.
2. Pummel McCain
The only McCain/Palin meme coming from Democrats should be that her selection means Republicans don't really believe experience in DC is all that relevant. Everything else should be an assault on McCain's positions, his argument with himself, his temper, his bad decisions, his flawed policy proposals, and so on. Stop calling him a hero. Every sentence that begins "We honor John McCain's service" should end with "unfit to be President."
When Joe Biden debates Sarah Palin, he should be polite and respectful to her, and attack McCain like a rabid mongoose. He can do it. Look at his convention speech, which had elements of charm and grace, followed by serious, thoughtful denunciations of McMaverick.
3. Pummel the GOP
This is not just the leadership, which has been inept, corrupt, and cancerous all at once, but the policies and underlying philosophy. Obama started down this path in his acceptance speech, talking about owning the failure of the "ownership society." That should be a constant theme.
That's it. Don't create sympathy and legitimacy for Sarah Palin by attacking her, just focus on McCain.
Stopping McCain/Palin in Three Easy Steps
People are worried about charges of sexism and unflattering images of Biden attacking a pretty young woman, but this is easily remedied. Sure, Biden isn't the most tightly controlled speaker, but now he's on the best-run, Democratic campaign in a generation and he'll have lots of help. Notice Biden dropped his favorite exclamation - literally! - in Springfield - from his convention vocabulary.
1. Ignore Sarah Palin
Don't attack Sarah Palin at all. 3rd party groups can go after her on corruption, but that's not too important. Since she isn't a large figure on the national scene, there isn't much of an image to tear down. Attacking her would give her more stature than ignoring her.Surrogates can describe her policy positions without attacking her personally. She's a classic conservative on virtually every issue. And we can all agree that her selection as VP is historic - it's about time Republicans crossed this barrier 24 years after Geraldine Ferraro was the Democratic VP candidate. Kudos to Sarah, and shame on the GOP for taking so long.
2. Pummel McCain
The only McCain/Palin meme coming from Democrats should be that her selection means Republicans don't really believe experience in DC is all that relevant. Everything else should be an assault on McCain's positions, his argument with himself, his temper, his bad decisions, his flawed policy proposals, and so on. Stop calling him a hero. Every sentence that begins "We honor John McCain's service" should end with "unfit to be President."
When Joe Biden debates Sarah Palin, he should be polite and respectful to her, and attack McCain like a rabid mongoose. He can do it. Look at his convention speech, which had elements of charm and grace, followed by serious, thoughtful denunciations of McMaverick.
3. Pummel the GOP
This is not just the leadership, which has been inept, corrupt, and cancerous all at once, but the policies and underlying philosophy. Obama started down this path in his acceptance speech, talking about owning the failure of the "ownership society." That should be a constant theme.
That's it. Don't create sympathy and legitimacy for Sarah Palin by attacking her, just focus on McCain.
Stopping McCain/Palin in Three Easy Steps
People are worried about charges of sexism and unflattering images of Biden attacking a pretty young woman, but this is easily remedied. Sure, Biden isn't the most tightly controlled speaker, but now he's on the best-run, Democratic campaign in a generation and he'll have lots of help. Notice Biden dropped his favorite exclamation - literally! - in Springfield - from his convention vocabulary.
1. Ignore Sarah Palin
Don't attack Sarah Palin at all. 3rd party groups can go after her on corruption, but that's not too important. Since she isn't a large figure on the national scene, there isn't much of an image to tear down. Attacking her would give her more stature than ignoring her.Surrogates can describe her policy positions without attacking her personally. She's a classic conservative on virtually every issue. And we can all agree that her selection as VP is historic - it's about time Republicans crossed this barrier 24 years after Geraldine Ferraro was the Democratic VP candidate. Kudos to Sarah, and shame on the GOP for taking so long.
2. Pummel McCain
The only McCain/Palin meme coming from Democrats should be that her selection means Republicans don't really believe experience in DC is all that relevant. Everything else should be an assault on McCain's positions, his argument with himself, his temper, his bad decisions, his flawed policy proposals, and so on. Stop calling him a hero. Every sentence that begins "We honor John McCain's service" should end with "unfit to be President."
When Joe Biden debates Sarah Palin, he should be polite and respectful to her, and attack McCain like a rabid mongoose. He can do it. Look at his convention speech, which had elements of charm and grace, followed by serious, thoughtful denunciations of McMaverick.
3. Pummel the GOP
This is not just the leadership, which has been inept, corrupt, and cancerous all at once, but the policies and underlying philosophy. Obama started down this path in his acceptance speech, talking about owning the failure of the "ownership society." That should be a constant theme.
That's it. Don't create sympathy and legitimacy for Sarah Palin by attacking her, just focus on McCain.
Obama defuses angry pledge-of-allegiance heckler in Cleveland
Why does John McCain hate the free market?
There is no excess supply of gasoline - we buy all the gas that's available for sale. There is little incentive for competition between gas retailers, which is why gas prices vary so little between filling stations. Sure, labor costs, real-estate values, local/state regulations, and local/state taxes play a role. But once you account for those disparities, there's not much left - prices are pretty flat.
So eliminating the federal gas tax may change the cost of gas for people selling gas, but it may not lower prices at the pump. With oil prices fluctuating every day, and worldwide demand continuing to increase, prices will be hard to predict. Maybe the gas retailers, small and large, will take the tax holiday as a little more margin for themselves, or maybe the oil refiners will raise their gas prices a bit (market conditions?) to offset the gas-tax discount.
Let's say we get a gas tax holiday for six months. Will it affect prices at all? Probably not. And that would be fairly horrible for all concerned. Gas tax holiday proponents would be ridiculed, oil companies would be demonized, and the federal government would be out several billion dollars in revenue.
But our government, makers and enforcers of laws, some-time arbiter of the market, could lock in the savings. The feds - in this case, Congress - could set gas prices. Leaving aside whether or not this is a good idea, it is an implicit element in this gas tax holiday theory. How else could one guarantee savings for the average gas consumer? Should we have a gas tax holiday and just hope for lower gas prices? Last time I checked, hope is not a plan.
Surely Senator McCain has more behind his gas tax holiday proposal than meaningless pandering, right? He's a man of substance/character/integrity/steel/heroism/profanity/etc, his gas tax holiday must be legit.
So, in the language of the proprietor, when will the campaign press start asking McCain if he is in favor of price controls on gasoline to insure savings for consumers? How would those price controls be enforced? And why does he want to bring Soviet-style, command-economy policies to the United States - didn't we win the Cold War?
Obama vs. the-terrorists-win nonsense
We don't have enough discourse about what is and isn't a good strategy to combat Al Qaeda and its spin-offs. We talk about this at a high level, but mostly in terms of the wisdom or incompetence of the Bush administration. That's an important discussion, but it limits the scope of the conversation.
Congressman King's stupidity is a great opportunity to talk about how many people don't understand the problem we face with Al Qaeda and terrorism, that terrorists and their sympathizers don't really care about American domestic politics. They care about Israel and Lebanon and Syria and Iraq and Afghanistan and Chechnya - they care about our foreign policy with respect to Muslim nations and regions.
More importantly, Steve King and his message must be thoroughly discredited. Where did Steve King get this rich insight into the collective mind of anti-American, Islamic fundamentalists? Is there any truth to what he's saying? It's reasonable, for example, to think that most people around the world will be happy to see the end of the Bush administration, but not Al Qaeda. They will be disappointed, as their chief enemy steps off the world stage. They'll be disappointed that the man who talked about a crusade against Muslims, whose supporters regularly go much further in insulting Islam and conflating Muslims with terrorists, is finally going away.
The people who will be rejoicing at an Obama inauguration are the moderates, the otherwise pro-Western Muslims whose voices have been drowned out by violent radicals.
There is a real case to be made for a new foreign policy, and what it will mean, and how the world will react. And finally, why do we, as American voters, care if "The radical Islamists, the al-Qaida" declare victory? Are we so weak and feeble that a declaration of victory by some, any, all terrorists means something? Is that the same as an actual Al Qaeda victory? Let's say that happens - what then? What does Steve King think he's talking about? The bad men will be happy? And we should be scared?
It's complete garbage, and Obama should take the opportunity to set the record straight.
What's in a name when the name is Hussein?
Of course they should refute charges of anti-semiticism and other nonsense, but please, let's not make the Senator a victim. Do we really want our candidate to be asking, implicitly or explicitly, that people not say his middle name? Isn't that pathetic and absurd?
I'd like to hear some language about being a nation of immigrants, that we are not so easily frightened by a person with an unusual name.
Preview Button, please?
Hillary's 35 Years of Experience
Hillary has been hammering away at the idea of experience and her thirty-five years working for change. I'm having a hard time finding those thirty-five "agent for change" years. What was her contribution in the Clinton White House - the eight highest-profile years of the thirty-five? Nobody really knows, because her staff, according to a recent Newsweek article, was often instructed "Don't leave any fingerprints."
How many of those thirty-five years was Hillary accountable to voters? I count seven, since her swearing in as a Senator in January 2001. Seven years of having all her activities watched and documented, all her decisions in full view. And on balance she's been a good Senator.
But as First Lady of Arkansas, and then in the White House, Mrs. Clinton was accountable to no-one. No high ranking staffer in Little Rock or DC could operate with so few consequences - she could not be fired. When she did have policy-making authority in the health insurance debate, she fared terribly, which resulted in an even lower public profile.
I was disappointed when, in the January 5th Democratic debate Senator Clinton took credit for the economic policies leading to a budget surplus during her husband's administration. Did she really play a substantial role? A few minutes later Senator Obama very gently suggested otherwise, saying "I actually give Bill Clinton enormous credit for having balanced those budgets during those years."
Though she's naturally associated with her husband, Hillary's profile in the White House seems much closer to Dick Cheney than Bill Clinton. She has won two elections to the US Senate, but most of her thirty-five years of experience was spent working behind the scenes, out of the public eye. The secrecy surrounding her health-care task-force reminds me of a certain Vice President's energy task force. Sure, she's been scrutinized for her hairstyle, for Whitewater and her lack of public response to Monica Lewinsky. But at the time she wasn't governing and accountable as an elected, or appointed, official. She didn't balance the budget in DC or Little Rock, she didn't bring Israelis and Palestinians together to sign the Oslo accords, she didn't sign the Family and Medical Leave Act.
Her campaign web site says she was instrumental in getting FMLA passed - but what did she do? Was Hillary reminding Bill every day 'get FMLA passed'? Calling Senators, as the brand-new First Lady, and urging them to support FMLA? Nobody knows.
So what counts toward that 35 year record as an agent of change? Do two years at Yale Law and a year of post-graduate study count in the thirty-five years? Do teaching at the University of Arkansas Law School and sitting on the board of Wal-Mart count? What does it mean to be "instrumental" when you have no official role and there is no public record of your actions?
I like Hillary Clinton, she would make a fine President, far superior to any of the Republican candidates. But I don't think she has the experience, or natural ability, or interest, to forge big coalitions and partnerships the way Barack Obama can. Maybe she did some consensus-building in the White House, but so far she won't tell us about it.
Obama served for eight years in the Illinois Senate before the last three years in the US Senate -- eleven years in elected office, eleven years of recorded decisions and accountability to voters. I'm sure Hillary worked very hard as First Lady. But she won't show her work, so I can't give her credit for Bill Clinton's accomplishments. Perhaps Hillary will explain her previous role in the White House in more detail, justifying her claim to being the most experienced candidate. That would be good for the debate.
Accountability and transparency count for something when we evaluate a candidate's experience. In these areas, Senator Obama exceeds Senator Clinton, making her experience argument too weak to change my mind about supporting the junior Senator from Illinois.




