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01.27.04 -- 11:55AM
By Josh Marshall

I'm finishing up a column now. So I won't have any posts until the early afternoon -- when, I hope, I'll be posting at some length about the events of yesterday. I've spent several days going to event after event trying to channel the New Hampshire primary gods for some poll-transcending insight into what the results tonight are going to be. But they've left me hanging. I figure it'll come up pretty much as the polls tell us: with Kerry in first, though not so far ahead as the polls showed at mid-week, Dean in second, Edwards in third, Clark fourth, Lieberman fifth. Third, fourth and fifth seem very much up in the air. An independent study that came out yesterday said that there would be a very high percentage of independents voting in the Dem primary this year. So that could introduce some real uncertainty into the poll numbers that we're seeing. One 'feel' I get -- and this is just a gut sense, from what I've picked up at events -- is that Clark may underperform his poll numbers and Edwards over-perform his.

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