I was thinking that Mitt had or was pulling ahead in Florida. But these polls of the Republican race down there are a rollercoaster. After a handfull of polls with Romney up, the last three released now say McCain, though the differences one way or another are seldom more than 3 or 4 points either way. Zogby's number out today is McCain 31% and Romney 28%. He says yesterday was a "big one-day result" for McCain.

He just may do it.

Another big wildcard in the Florida race is early voting. If I remember correctly, Floridians have been able to cast their ballots in the primary since the middle of January. So the final poll snapshot is the whole picture because a lot of people voted a couple days ago or maybe a week ago.