« Witch Huntery! | Talking Points Memo Home | Zip! »

Yep, It Was Really That Bad

03.20.09 -- 2:24PM
By Josh Marshall

TPM Reader MH makes the case that Lehman's collapse was really that bad and we can't let it happen again ...

The problem that the Lehman Brother's bankruptcy exposed is that, in these complex derivative investments, it's not always clear where the counterparty risk lies.  These transactions are non-traditional in structure and so its often not clear how bankruptcy rules will apply to them. There's very little relevant case law and these transactions just weren't designed with much thought toward this contingency (no one imaged that these large couterparties could ever fail).  Things don't fit neatly into statutory boxes, so it's not clear what the bankruptcy court will do and who will end up getting their money back.  So when Lehman went bankrupt, everyone had to try to assess the degree to which they were exposed to the potential bankruptcy of other major counterparties.  And that's really hard to do with any accuracy.  That's why everything froze up.  No one could get an accurate assessment of their own exposure.

The fear people have now--and justifiably so, I think--is that the only thing keeping the financial system functioning at all right now is the assumption that the major governments of the world will not allow any other major counterparties to default.  If even one of them is allowed to fail, that assumption immediately goes out the window and suddenly everyone will have to assume that any major counterparty could fail at any moment.  If that happens, everything will grind to a hault again.

  

Recent Archives

November 22, 2009 - November 28, 2009
November 15, 2009 - November 21, 2009
November 8, 2009 - November 14, 2009
November 1, 2009 - November 7, 2009

Boehner Accuses PhRMA Of Health Reform Appeasement

John Boehner sent an angry letter to PhRMA's Billy Tauzin charging that the drug industry is appeasing Obama on health reform.

Inside The '90s 'Viper Militia' Tied To Armed Anti-Obama Activist

TPMmuckraker takes a look at the 90s-era group whose most prominent defender staged the show of arms-bearing at an Obama event in Arizona.

Does Tom DeLay's Quadriplegic Protesters Tale Add Up?

DeLay says quadriplegics were "dumped" in front of him at a town all -- but was he modifying a story of a protest he wasn't even present for?

Poll On Obama's Birth: If Not Here, Where?

Of 38% of respondents in a new poll who did not say Obama was born in the US, 10% said he was born in Indonesia.

Share
Close Social Web Email

"To" Email Address

Your Name

Your Email Address