I have none of the statistical analysis skills of Nate Silver. But even I can see the pattern that stands out in the eight polls of the MA-Sen race taken in January. The numbers have been all over the place. And there’s been an unmistakable surge in the numbers for Scott Brown, who now appears to be narrowly ahead. But with the exception of the suspect poll from CrossTalk/PajamasMedia, none of them have either candidate higher than 50%, regardless of who’s ahead.
Josh Marshall is editor and publisher of TalkingPointsMemo.com.