Interesting new numbers out for Harry Reid.
The new Reuters/Ipsos poll shows that Harry Reid has a four point lead over Sharron Angle — 48% to 44%.
That’s with ‘likely voters.’ Among ‘registered voters’, his margin jumps to a fairly whopping 16% margin.
Now, the 4 point margin is the one too watch. Because we’re getting close enough to the election that pollsters are able to get a decent read on who’s really likely to turn out. Also, ‘registereds’ vs. ‘likelys’ usually favors Dems. But not by that much. I’d say upwards of 10 points of that spread is where you get a real, quantifiable read on the enthusiasm gap. So you can get a sense of just how important it is for Democrats to light some sort of fire under their voters.
Josh Marshall is editor and publisher of TalkingPointsMemo.com.