I've been saying that 60 votes is extremely unlikely given how hard it will be for the Democrats to prevail in the Georgia senate run-off. But Kos had Research 2000 poll this race last week. And while it's definitely an uphill struggle, the odds may not be quite as long as I'd figured. The numbers they got were Chambliss 49%, Martin 46%.

At the end of the day, that's still an incumbent under 50%, albeit barely. The other wildcard is turnout, which will almost certainly be dramatically lower than on November 4th. A lot of factors would suggest that diminished turnout in this race hurts the Democrats. But it also makes the ground game a more critical factor.

Kos has more.