BLOG by Joshua Micah Marshall

« August 24, 2008 - August 30, 2008 | Talking Points Memo Home | September 7, 2008 - September 13, 2008 »

09.06.08 -- 10:00PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (112)

Oy

If this is the attitude of the investigative reporter CNN has put on the trooper-gate case, I guess we shouldn't be expecting much from them.

--Josh Marshall

09.06.08 -- 9:35PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (105)

Oops ...

From the WSJ ...

The biggest project that Sarah Palin undertook as mayor of this small town was an indoor sports complex, where locals played hockey, soccer, and basketball, especially during the long, dark Alaskan winters.

The only catch was that the city began building roads and installing utilities for the project before it had unchallenged title to the land. The misstep led to years of litigation and at least $1.3 million in extra costs for a small municipality with a small budget. What was to be Ms. Palin's legacy has turned into a financial mess that continues to plague Wasilla.

--Josh Marshall

09.06.08 -- 5:11PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (152)

McCain Plays the Cameron Card

According to a article just out from Huffington Post, the story about flags from the Democratic National Convention being thrown away is simply false. The story was jumped on and apparently authored by the McCain campaign. But the real tell is down in the Huffpo piece where it traces the story to none other than Fox News' Carl Cameron.

Longtime readers of TPM will remember that back in October 2004 this site caught Cameron publishing a series of fabricated quotes attributed to John Kerry on the front page of the Fox News website.

After I placed a series of calls to Fox News inquiring about the Kerry story, the story was eventually pulled, and Fox was forced to issue an apology and retract the fabricated story. Fox spokesman Paul Schur told TPM: "Carl [Cameron] made a stupid mistake which he regrets. And he has been reprimanded for his lapse in judgment. It was a poor attempt at humor."

Why anybody would believe anything this joker says is difficult to fathom. But he's good enough for McCain.

--Josh Marshall

09.06.08 -- 1:56PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (62)

Real Investigation Much Needed

Reed Hundt has more on McCain's apparent obstruction of the trooper-gate probe.

--Josh Marshall

09.06.08 -- 1:21PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (153)

Question

Isn't Palin supposed to move to Cheney's undisclosed location after she gets elected, not before?

--Josh Marshall

09.06.08 -- 1:14PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (13)

Election Central Saturday Roundup

Barack Obama and John McCain will commemorate the anniversary of the 9/11 attacks together with a joint appearance at Ground Zero in New York. That and other political news in today's Election Central Saturday Roundup.

--Eric Kleefeld

09.06.08 -- 11:10AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (64)

Those of Us Who Are About to Tire Swing ...

It always brings a tear to my eye when I see the Grey Lady hopping on the McCain tire swing. But there she goes. Yesterday the McCain campaign was all mum on the Walter Reed/Green Screen goof until deep in the evening when they released some pro forma bamboozlement to the effect that it was all on purpose. They mean to highlight the middle school.

From the Times report ...

"The changing image-screen was linked to the American thematics of the speech and the public school was simply part of it," Mr. Bounds said, adding that during the speech, Mr. McCain "called for public education reforms that empower parents and students before bureaucrats and labor unions."

Sadly, the Times actually went for that explanation. And even more bizarrely, Timesman Michael Falcone actually bought the idea that the McCain campaign wouldn't want to highlight the real Walter Reed because of the controversy over its treatment of Iraq and Afghanistan war vets.

However that may be, a few problems with the idea that this wasn't a goof. One is that McCain campaign manager Rick Davis was admitting it was a goof at party's after the speech and telling reporters that Fred Davis, McCain's ad man, was at fault.

But you don't need the inside scoop to know what happened here. Those who watched the convention closely know that through the event, the screen backdrop had rotating video of what Bounds called "images of Americana." Stuff would cycle in and out.

But that's not what happened with McCain. Our crack analysts at TPM HQ pulled the tape. And what happened in McCains case was that the green screen was up for 5 or 6 minutes. Then it got pulled. It was replaced briefly by a cornfield. And then after a few moments of that it was the picture of the flag, which appeared as a blue screen to viewers on tv. That remained through McCain's entire speech. No more changes. It was pretty clear that someone on McCain's staff realized the goof a few minutes into the speech, cancelled the pre-programmed order of images and hurriedly slotted in flag image to save the day.

--Josh Marshall

09.06.08 -- 10:42AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (285)

Joe

--Josh Marshall

09.06.08 -- 10:10AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (60)

Bringing Out The Base

AP sees the GOP's problem:

Since the last federal election in 2006, volunteers like Graham combined with the enthusiasm generated by the Obama-Clinton struggle to add more than 2 million Democrats to voter rolls in the 28 states that register voters according to party affiliation. The Republicans have lost nearly 344,000 thousand voters in the same states.

--Will Thomas

09.06.08 -- 9:01AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (51)

Nitpicking

There are plenty of issues in the career of Sarah Palin that deserve a hefty amount of scrutiny, so I'm only going to give this one a few seconds.

The McCain camp is reveling in her sale of the governor's jet on eBay. McCain himself said yesterday, "You know what I enjoyed the most? She took the luxury jet that was acquired by her predecessor, and sold it on eBay -- and made a profit!"

Someone should really tell McCain to be more careful with his words:

In fact, the jet did not sell on eBay. It was sold to a businessman from Valdez named Larry Reynolds, who paid $2.1 million for the plane -- shy of the $2.7 million purchase price -- according to news reports at the time. Reynolds contributed to Palin's campaign in 2006.

Palin, so far as I can tell, has precisely said she auctioned the plane on eBay, without confirming whether or not it actually sold. Just a friendly reminder that details can be pesky things.

--Will Thomas

09.06.08 -- 8:34AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (30)

The Economy Is Strong, Ed. #193

NYT:

Senior officials from the Bush administration and the Federal Reserve on Friday called in top executives of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the mortgage finance giants, and told them that the government was preparing to place the two companies under federal control, officials and company executives briefed on the discussions said.

--Will Thomas

09.06.08 -- 4:32AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (84)

Obstruction

Newsweek: McCain camp and its Alaska allies move to shut down trooper-gate probe.

Definitely take a look at the Newsweek article. Also take note of the following, that we're going to be looking into next week. Within days of Palin's selection, at least seven of her aides and associates, who had previously agreed to cooperate with the trooper-gate investigation, informed investigator Steve Branchflower that they were now no longer willing to be deposed. Note too that this was immediately after the McCain team deployed what George Stephanopoulos reported was a "rapid response team of about ten operatives that includes lawyers" to the state.

So the question is: what contact did representatives of the McCain campaign have with these aides that had agreed to testify but within days of her selection took back their pledge and are now refusing to cooperate?

--Josh Marshall

09.05.08 -- 4:48PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (99)

We Will Not Be Exploited!

That school out in North Hollywood that John McCain shameless exploited as his convention speech backdrop is calling foul.

Meanwhile, the McCain camp, despite requests for comment from almost every media organization under the sun, is refusing all comment.

(Remember, just between you and me, at that party last night Rick Davis was blaming it on their ad man Fred Davis.)

--Josh Marshall

09.05.08 -- 4:07PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (227)

Ready ... Eventually

I'm officially laughing my head off at the McCain camp's -- oh, sorry, 'Drudge's' -- attempt to bully Oprah into doing a puff interview with Sarah Palin.

--Josh Marshall

09.05.08 -- 4:05PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (99)

Props

TPM Reader SR ...

I hope you are penning something to this effect: that the Walter Reed mix-up last night is indicative of GOP politics and policy-- that is, injured troops are merely political props, and even then the GOP can't get it right. If they can't get the actual Walter Reed up on screen as a political ploy, how can we possible expect their competence in addressing the needs of actual veterans at the actual Walter Reed?

--Josh Marshall

09.05.08 -- 3:50PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (42)

Delicate Dance

The investigators up in Alaska have come out with their press release announcing how they plan to deal with Gov. Palin's stonewalling of the trooper-gate investigation. It seems Palin has now gotten seven others to also refuse to speak to the investigators (they all signaled their refusal to testify post-Palin announcement). And they've now decided to meet on September 12th to decide whether or not to issue subpoenas to compel testimony. However, they will not issue a subpoena for Palin herself. Why? The press release from the investigators says it's because: "She has told the public that she intends to cooperate with the investigation, indeed, she has told the public that she welcomes the investigation and I have every faith that she means it."

Now, this is a bit artful since just two days ago Gov. Palin made clear that she will not cooperate with the investigation. She is insisting that she will only provide testimony once the committee closes down its investigation and allows the probe to be taken over by the State Personnel Board made up of three members appointed by the governor. So she's saying she's not going to cooperate but they're insisting on taking her at her earlier promises to cooperate.

Now, there's some backstory here that's critical to understand. The point-man for the committee which voted to start the probe is Democrat Hollis French. However, the committee, that voted unanimously to begin the probe has a Republican majority.

So what if Palin just absolutely refuses to testify and continues to stonewall?

TPMmuckraker's Zack Roth just spoke to GOP Rep Jay Ramras, also a member of the committee. And he says no, that even if Palin refuses to cooperate, compelling her to testify would be "inappropriate conduct given the unique political circumstances" and "disrespectful."

--Josh Marshall

09.05.08 -- 3:33PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (41)

Ready on Day ... 57?

From Ambinder ...


A senior McCain campaign official advises that, despite the gaggle of requests and pressure from the media, Gov. Sarah Palin won't submit to a formal interview anytime soon. She may take some questions from local news entities in Alaska, but until she's ready -- and until she's comfortable -- which might not be for a long while -- the media will have to wait. The campaign believes it can effectively deal with the media's complaints, and their on-the-record response to all this will be: "Sarah Palin needs to spend time with the voters."

Not out of the question are appearances on lighter, fluffier television shows. But -- not for a while.

--Josh Marshall

09.05.08 -- 12:43PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (124)

He Did It! No He Did It!!

Okay, seems like the finger-pointing is breaking out in the McCain campaign over the green screen / Walter Reed / McCain McMansion goof in last night's McCain speech.

Last night at the Google/Vanity Fair party celebrating the last night of the RNC, McCain chief Rick Davis was telling people the whole thing was the fault of McCain ad man Fred Davis.

--Josh Marshall

09.05.08 -- 12:26PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (101)

Harsh but Very True

MJ Rosenberg ...

You would never know it from the media coverage but John McCain is not one of America's greatest war heroes. He is a former POW who survived, heroically. He deserves to be honored for that heroism.

But one thing distinguishes McCain from other war heroes, the kind whose heroism changes history rather than their life stories.

America's two greatest war heroes were Ulysses Grant and Dwight Eisenhower. Grant saved the union. And Ike saved civilization.

And neither one ever bragged about their experience. (Can you imagine Ike smacking down Adlai Stevenson by saying that while Adlai ran a nice medium-sized state, he was the Supreme Allied Commander who ran D-Day, defeated Hitler, and liberated Europe?).

Impossible. Like Grant, Eisenhower did not brag.

--Josh Marshall

09.05.08 -- 12:19PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (60)

Alaska Paper Not Afraid of the Story

The big papers and cable networks in the lower 48 states may be cowed. But Alaska's biggest newspaper, the Anchorage Daily News apparently isn't. They're asking Sarah Palin to stop stonewalling the ethics investigation probing her firing of the state's Commissioner of Public Safety.

--Josh Marshall

09.05.08 -- 12:11PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (24)

Goof with Greatness

So it seems that that school in North Hollywood that the McCain campaign accidentally used as a speech backdrop instead of a picture of Walter Reed Army Medical Hospital is about to release a statement.

--Josh Marshall

09.05.08 -- 11:13AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (36)

Inversion

From TPM Reader TH ...

I think there's a connection between the mansion-cum-middle school picture and the lousy speech prepared for McCain. It has to do with the stress that Palin's nomination puts on the GOP ticket, on the resources she necessarily diverts from McCain. Whatever you think of the Palin speech, whether it was cynical or alienating to anyone outside the base, it was solidly written. I'd even say well written. McCain's wasn't. It was decidedly second rate, not just badly delivered but clumsily written (except for the part about his POW experience, which I assume he has on file: that worked). How did that happen? Everyone knows McCain is a bad public speaker, so one would assume his campaign would it least give him a rock solid text to work from. But I suspect the campaign only has so many first-rate people on hand, and all of those people in the McCain campaign were tasked with taking care of Palin, leaving the top of the ticket to the second-stringers.


--Josh Marshall

09.05.08 -- 10:08AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (55)

Could It Be?

As noted below, it seems like we may have solved the mystery of the bizarre mansion they had up behind John McCain last night on the big TV screen that on TV made it look like a green screen. We're digging in to confirm. Click for the whole story.

--Josh Marshall

09.05.08 -- 9:02AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (17)

Election Central Morning Roundup

Congressman Lynn Westmoreland (R-GA) says there was nothing racially derogatory about him calling Barack Obama "uppity." That and other political news in today's Election Central Morning Roundup.

--Eric Kleefeld

09.05.08 -- 3:43AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (54)

Speak For Yourself, Bub

I've been wondering about this phrase from McCain's speech: "We have to catch up to history." So much was going on tonight at the office that I didn't get a chance to really focus on it. In the back of my mind, though, I was thinking, what does he even mean?

But is this really a catch phrase you want to be using if you're an older guy who doesn't use email and hasn't learned how to log on to your own website?

I mean, John, we're already here, speak for yourself.

--Josh Marshall

09.05.08 -- 2:39AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (476)

Mystery Solved!

A lot of people were asking tonight: what the hell was that mansion up behind John McCain tonight during the first part of the speech? As I noted below, the TV close-ups only showed McCain's head against the grass in the picture, which made it look like he was reprising his famed green screen performance. And when they panned out, it looked like McCain was showing off one of his mansions.

Well, several readers have written in to tell me that the building is actually the main building on the campus of the Walter Reed Middle School in North Hollywood, California. And sure enough, this page on the school's website makes it pretty clear that they're correct.

You can compare below ...

So it's not a mansion, but a middle school. But that still doesn't answer the question of why they picked this picture to have him standing in front of -- when I would imagine that 99.9% of the US population would have no idea what they were looking at.

(ed.note: Thanks to TPM Readers JR and EK for cluing us in.)

Late Update: I'm surprised this hadn't occurred to me. But several readers have suggested that perhaps one of the tech geeks charged with setting up the audio/visual bells and whistles for the evening was tasked with getting pictures of Walter Reed Army Medical Center but goofed and got this instead. At first I thought, No, that's ridiculous. This is a major political party with big time professionals putting this together. Nothing is left to chance. I mean, is this the RNC or a scene out Spinal Tap or Waiting for Guffman? I still have a bit of a hard time believing they're quite that incompetent. But when you figure in what appears to be the utter lack of any logic for this school being behind McCain and the fact that it has 'Walter Reed' in its name, I'm really not sure you can discount this possibility.

(ed.note: Special bonus snark: That's not stock photo keyword searching we can believe in.)

--Josh Marshall

09.05.08 -- 1:53AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (39)

McCain's Speech

--Josh Marshall

09.05.08 -- 12:58AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (24)

TPMtv: Ahhts A Wrap

(Publisher's Note: I want to give a shout out to the TPM staff. At the moment we have ten full-time employees, each of whom has put in two weeks straight of something like 15 to 18 hour days on convention nights. David Kurtz and Ben Craw in Denver and St. Paul and the rest of the crew working out of TPM HQ in New York -- Justin Elliott, Andrew Golis, Eric Kleefeld, Kate Klonick, Zachary Roth, Greg Sargent, Lila Shapiro and Al Shaw. And interns John Davisson, Ezra Deutsch-Feldman, Daniel Gatti and Rachel Slajda. As we grow, we're developing new ways to expand the scope and comprehensiveness of the coverage we provide for events like these. We've learned a lot these two weeks, which we'll be applying in our debate and election night coverage over the next two months. And I've been really happy with the results. I hope you've enjoyed our coverage. -- jmm.)

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 11:45PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (51)

Surprised

I wasn't sure what to expect from this speech tonight. But I was pretty sure, as high-stakes conventions speeches almost always end up being, that it would be good. But I really don't think it was. It certainly wasn't bad. He didn't say anything embarrassing or have any real flubs. But the truth is that John McCain does have, at least for a critical five years of his life, a compelling story. And for a relatively brief period of the speech, toward the end, he spoke about it powerfully. But there wasn't that much of it. The rest of the speech, when condensed to its essence, seemed to be that he'll turn the page on the Bush era by continuing all of Bush's policies.

Among the surprises, perhaps the biggest one was that it actually wasn't a very good speech. Not in the sense of delivery, but the speech itself, the speech-writing. There wasn't a clear theme, though it approached on toward the end. Most of it was a fairly tired recital of Republican boilerplate. Did they really devote like ten minutes to charter schools? It was much, much too long for the speaker. I really think they could have given him a much better speech.

Another surprise? What happened to the days when the Republicans were the masters of stagecraft and theatrics. They had him up with there with a set that on TV looked like the notorious green screen from the speech in New Orleans. Even Karl Rove, on Fox, pointed it out.

And when they panned out to see what the audience in the convention hall saw, it was some unidentified mansion. Like maybe a house they're putting in an offer on? Weird. No idea what that was about.

I'll have more thoughts tomorrow. But I thought the delivery was acceptable but tired. The speech itself let the candidate down. I can't imagine the folks at Obama HQ didn't look at each other and say, "Okay, we can deal with that."

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 11:36PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (53)

Freud Makes Surprise Appearance

Yes, for all of you who've written in, we also just saw Tom Ridge slip and say "Because John Bush, er, John McCain is his own man."

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 10:13PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (139)

Live McSame Blogging

10:15 PM ... Green Screen!!!

10:19 PM ... Green, Baby, Green!

10:23 PM ... I'm so glad President Bush is president. Now, let's win this election and get this country back on track.

10:26 PM ... I loved the part with the ritual slaughter of the protester. That rocked. That was the best thing since the Lord of the Flies interlude between the Rudy and Palin speeches last night.

10:33 PM ... Can we bring in a few shrinks on that one. This is a guy most known for having a bad temper and getting into a lot of fights. He's known for it.

10:35 PM ... I won't stand for Obama shilling for the oil companies! Enough!!! Four years of Obama oil-shilling is enough! Also, Enough!

10:38 PM ... Can we get Palin back?

10:40 PM ... It's astonishing that he's giving this whole speech from memory.

10:44 PM ... Did anyone else notice this? A few lines back I think he called for abolishing unemployment insurance. Here's the line: "I know some of you have been left behind in the changing economy and it often seems your government hasn't even noticed. Government assistance for unemployed workers was designed for the economy of the 1950s. That's going to change on my watch."

10:46 PM ... I remember back in '64 when Barry Goldwater first said 'Drill, baby, drill."

10:50 PM ... TPM Reader PT: "What are the odds Governor Palin drops McCain from the ticket? After a performance like this, it's a serious question."

10:53 PM ... I'm trying to be objective in this. But this seems pretty feeble, no? What actually surprises me is that the speech itself, not the delivery but the speech, doesn't seem that great. A lot of laundry list stuff.

10:57 PM ... They/he should have started with biography. Much more compelling than the boilerplate that made up most of the speech.

11:01 PM ... I question the wisdom of not letting anyone in the auditorium under 50.

11:02 ... Nothing brings so much happiness as betraying all the ideals you said you believed in to try to take advantage of your last chance to be president.

11:08 PM ... I'm insulted that McCain uses a lifeless speech to hide his lack of specific policy proposals.

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 10:12PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (106)

That was a pretty powerful video. But they left off the part about how that guy died ... what, six years ago?

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 9:59PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (78)

No Shame

From the Boston Globe blog ...

One of the most enduring taboos in American politics, the airing of graphic images from the September 11 attacks in a partisan context, died today. It was nearly seven years old.

The informal prohibition, which had been occasionally threatened by political ads in recent years, was pronounced dead at approximately 7:40 CST, when a video aired before delegates at the Republican National Convention included slow-motion footage of a plane striking the World Trade Center, the towers' subsequent collapse, and smoke emerging from the Pentagon.

The September 11 precedent was one of the few surviving campaign-season taboos. It is survived by direct comparisons of one's opponents to Hitler.

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 9:54PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (45)

Oy

My God, John McCain's never become a Washington Insider? My God. Hero, war hero, Maverick, any of them I could buy before that one. You could only say that if you've never lived in DC.

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 9:32PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (83)

Editing Goof

They left out the part about how John was married when they started dating.

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 9:29PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (52)

TPMtv Talks to Howard Fineman

Very cogent on Palin's mockery of 'community organizers' ...

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 9:27PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (60)

New Poll

Gauge-Howey Indiana poll: McCain 45%, Obama 43%.

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 9:24PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (36)

He Walks Among Us

I watched a lot of Obama's convention. But I don't remember this level of personality cult gushed up around him.

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 9:13PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (40)

Palin increased funding for infrastructure in Wasilla without raising taxes? Wasn't the money from the federal earmarks?

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 9:11PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (65)

If You Can't Stand Up to the RNC ...

The original Maverick asked Karl Rove if he could pick Joe Lieberman for vice president. Karl said no. The Maverick said okay.

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 9:03PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (27)

The Cartoons Look So Life-like

Identity politics certainly has its shortcomings on the left. I've pointed it out in various contexts. But like in so many things, there's nothing compared to the cartoonish excess of identity politics when practiced by the right. Supporters of Hillary aren't just encouraged to vote for McCain because of Sarah Palin. They obligated to. An off-hand remark by Barack Obama and he's playing the race card. But from what I can tell, these jokers aren't even pretending. It's sexist to accuse Sarah Palin of lying daily about her purported opposition to the Bridge to Nowhere. And there's no end of raging about all the journalists who are saying Palin shouldn't be vice president when ... who's saying that. This is actually a deeper pattern worth exploring. Right-wingers can't handle CNN so they create Fox. And the funniest thing is that a lot of them actually think the two are basically equal.

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 9:03PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (29)

For Better or Worse

I thought President Bush ordered the surge.

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 9:00PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (39)

Lying Sarah

From Jake Tapper ...

Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin sent out a fundraising solicitation today that charged that "the Obama/Biden Democrats have been vicious in their attacks directed toward me, my family and John McCain."

I asked spokespeople of the McCain campaign and the Republican National Committee just which "Obama/Biden Democrats" they're referring to.

The response I got was that Obama spokesman Mark Bubriski erroneously attacked Palin as a supporter of Pat Buchanan.

That's it. That's the evidence.

An attack on Palin herself.

Someone tell me when the free ride's over.

Thanks

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 8:56PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (13)

Macaca? Youcaca!

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 8:52PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (24)

Coming Tomorrow

Sarah Palin's Unitary Theory of the Alaska Governorship.

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 8:28PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (178)

Palin: Community service is for losers and freaks.

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 8:18PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (62)

Focus

The basketball court line got the headlines. But Barack Obama's statements today on camera were, I think, exactly right. Brush off the insults, turn every question back to John McCain. He's running against John McCain. Don't get distracted.

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 8:13PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (65)

Liar Party

When he's right, he's right. Chris Matthews is, as I write, whacking away at the GOP spinners claiming all the press criticism saying Sarah Palin shouldn't be vice president because she's the mother of young children. Who said that?

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 7:20PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (88)

Convention speech as passion play?

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 3:50PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (109)

That's Not Racism We Can Believe In

Rep. Lynn Westermoreland (R-GA): Obama's too "uppity."

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 3:42PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (59)

Bull

As you know, despite earlier promises to the contrary, Sarah Palin is now refusing to cooperate with the trooper-gate investigation. Her lawyer now says she will refuse to be deposed unless the head of the current investigation relinquishes control and hands the investigation over to the state Personnel Board made up of three of Gov. Palin's appointees. We've been trying to see whether Palin's argument has any merit under Alaska law. And the former Alaska Attorney General we just spoke to told us, in essence, that it's a bunch of bunk.

Not surprising, since the whole gambit is an effort to push any depositions out past the election.

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 3:24PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (8)

TPMtv: Special Sarah Palin Lovefest Edition

We wrap up reaction to Sarah Palin's speech at the Republican Convention, in the most patriotic episode of TPMtv ever:

Full-size video at TPMtv.com.

--David Kurtz

09.04.08 -- 3:23PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (11)

Megalomaniac

Confirmed: Rudy ran way long in his convention speech, forcing planners to nix a planned soft-focus bio video of Palin that was set to run before she spoke.

You can view the Palin vid here.

--Greg Sargent

09.04.08 -- 3:12PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (7)

Wolfson on Palin

A short time ago, I put the "Where is Hillary?" question to former Clinton flack Howard Wolfson:

As Greg Sargent reports, Hillary is scheduled to campaign in Florida for Obama on Monday, although it's not clear whether that was a pre-scheduled event or a response to Palin.

--David Kurtz

09.04.08 -- 2:55PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (91)

What Does This Say About McCain?

This has been nagging at me for a while. Karl Rove this morning told yet another variation on the story of the McCains' adoption of their daughter Bridget. In his version, like the others I've heard, Cindy didn't tell John in advance that she was bringing this child back with her from abroad. She just did it, a fact which usually gets a hardy-har-har from friendly audiences.

In Rove's version today, Cindy specifically told someone else not to tell John in advance. The point of Rove's story was that John McCain needs to reveal more of himself publicly so that voters can see the kind of character he has.

Am I the only one who finds that story to be a poor reflection on Cindy, John, and their marriage?

--David Kurtz

09.04.08 -- 2:30PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (17)

The Girls' Guide To Hunting And Fishing

TPMCaférs Bernard Avishai, Jim Sleeper and Dr. C.A. Rotwang share their thoughts on the lures and snares of the Alaskan governor. Viva Sarah!

--Lila Shapiro

09.04.08 -- 2:18PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (38)

Laughable

TPM Reader LT:

It really looks like the Republicans think that the Presidency, and election to it, is some kind of a joke. That it's a game which anyone can play at, so it doesn't matter if they grab a governor who is a political neophyte already embroiled in controversy on every front. It's a joke, so it's fine to ridicule and bully your opponent, fib, stall investigations, etc.

The "seriousness" (or "seriously?") narrative is the kind that could sway swing voters: independents don't want drama in their ticket -- they want people who can get down to business. They want a ticket that treats voters like sober adults, that treats an election to the Presidency seriously. McCain spokespeople say it's "Not about the issues?" What, so it's a high school popularity contest, then?

I don't know how effective this would be with independents but it sure works on me.

--David Kurtz

09.04.08 -- 2:04PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (36)

Focus Groups

I've posted links below to a couple focus groups on the Palin speech last night. If you've seen others, either in press write ups or discussed on cable news, can you send them along?

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 12:29PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (69)

Liar, Liar

Fired Alaska Public Safety Commissioner at the center of trooper-gate scandal says Palin is not telling the truth.

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 11:55AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (74)

Thumbs Down

I'm certainly not saying this will be the across the board response. And self-identified Republicans loved Palin's speech. But a focus group of Michigan independents did not like it.

Late Update: Focus groups of female undecideds in Nevada didn't seem to like it either.

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 11:04AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (24)

Tire Swing Feels So Good

You'd think Dan Balz would be a little gun-shy after getting burned on that first Palin vetting story. I guess not.

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 10:38AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (68)

Rage We Can Believe In

I know I'm swimming upstream against a stiff current. But I'll stick to my first impression. I think Mike Allen is nuts to call the Palin speech a grand slam. For partisan Republicans, absolutely. It's a bad year for Republicans and the desire for something or someone to get excited about is palpable. And they got it. But there's only so much more consolidating of the Republican base McCain can do. As good as her delivery was, I really don't think this was a speech that spoke to the issues that are driving the election this year. I don't think it's a slashing attacks against liberal elites kind of year. And as much as politics is about gut reactions and instinct, I don't think ignoring any discussion of the economy this year works. Finally, fundamentally, I do think this is a change election year. And I don't think that was a change speech. Not a convincing one.

As I said, I could totally be wrong. Just my opinion.

Also significant, while the networks have gotten distracted about the kid nonsense, Palin has a serious issue with a lot of on the record lies -- on a serious front with trooper-gate and on a lighter front with the repeated lies about the bridge to nowhere.

Through August, as the McCain campaign laid down a blanket of harsh and denigrating ads diminishing Obama and the Obama camp receded into the background with little clear message defining the election for up-for-grabs voters, I felt increasingly concerned about the course of the race. After this, I don't feel that way.

Late Update: I just saw James Fallows' take on this. I think he's got it right.

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 10:35AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (163)

A Simple Question

Where is Hillary?

--David Kurtz

09.04.08 -- 10:24AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (59)

Grand Slam?

That's how The Politico's Mike Allen just described Sarah Palin's speech in a panel he's moderating here in St. Paul that includes Karl Rove. At one point, Allen asked if there was a real "danger" of Palin now overshadowing McCain.

--David Kurtz

09.04.08 -- 9:51AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (8)

Election Central Morning Roundup

John McCain will be delivering his big acceptance speech tonight, and Barack Obama will be giving a pre-rebuttal interview on, of all places, The O'Reilly Factor. That and other political news in today's Election Central Morning Roundup.

--Eric Kleefeld

09.04.08 -- 8:43AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (31)

Sarah Palin's Speech

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 2:37AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (39)

Der Rudy!

--Josh Marshall

09.04.08 -- 1:20AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (51)

Prequel

Everybody has seen that Campbell Brown interview of McCain spokesman Tucker Bounds that the McCain campaign got so upset about. But there was another Brown interview with the McCain camp's Michael Duhaime over the weekend that was almost as rough and had the same sarcastic defensiveness from the McCain yakker. You can see the tone get set in this earlier encounter ...

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 11:42PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (173)

Next

Starting tomorrow, the Democrats can and must come back hard on this issue of "reform". McCain/Palin reform is just ... well, there's nothing. It's an overused phrase but it is all rhetoric. Not only has their party been in power for 8 years. But every policy pushed by John McCain is the one embraced by George Bush. Economic policy, tax policy, Iraq policy, social issues, Bush style politicking, everything. I'm not sure how many people agree with me. But I think the rhetorical 'reform' of McCain/Palin is like a big, imposing and very brittle vase. A few good hits and it'll break apart in a thousand pieces.

They've been in power for eight years. They support all of Bush's policies. And they say they're bringing reform? Smack it with ridicule and an undertone of contempt and it will fall right apart.

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 11:33PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (273)

Nukes

Anybody notice anything odd about this part of the transcript of the Palin speech released to the press?

Starting in January, in a McCain-Palin administration, we're going to lay more pipelines ... build more new-clear plants ... create jobs with clean coal ... and move forward on solar, wind, geothermal, and other alternative sources.

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 10:40PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (319)

Ummm

Is Sarah Palin really comparing herself to Harry Truman since he only served as vice president for a few months?

11:06 PM ... This really does put the party in party rally.

11:07 PM ... A few other thoughts. You'll notice that Rudy Giuliani apparently ran too long and they had to drop the Palin mini-movie that was supposed to introduce her speech. Normally people get fired for goofs like that. They didn't want Rudy's blood and iron speech the day after Gustav so they bumped it until tonight. Big mistake. He positively dripped with a kind of curdled anger, the origin of which is difficult to grasp. But he actually seemed to get angrier and angrier as the speech progressed -- off chopping his hands around, baring his teeth. I know the people in the hall loved it. But I think a lot of people will see it as whacked. Rancid. Curdled. Palin's speech ended up being much more partisan than I expected. But that was added to by the fact that she had to start her speech while the auditorium was still awash in the teeth-gnashing froth ginned up by Rudy's speech. I've seen political events that I totally got and others that I thought I got but was totally wrong about. So who knows? But take this as a sign that the McCain campaign has abandoned an effort to compete for swing voters and go back to the base energizing strategy that worked for President Bush in 2004. The numbers make that look like a tough proposition. But I think a few months from now, everyone will agree this was a mistake.

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 10:08PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (87)

Admittedly, He Hasn't Yet Said 9/11

With Rudy's speech, to riff on the brilliance of the immortal Molly Ivins, I think I preferred this speech in the original German.

On a more serious note, I think it will eventually be clear to people that the Republicans made a major mistake putting Rudy in prime time. Given the state of the campaign, they have to take the fight to Obama. But you need to choose the right person. Rudy comes across as curdled and angry. Great for rousing diehards. But I don't see this speech working with undecideds.

10:27 PM ... What's weird is that Rudy seems to get genuinely angrier the longer the speech goes on.

I will admit he's got the Joseph Goebbels hand gestures down pat.

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 9:40PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (15)

Hmmm ... Flashback

Back when Mike Huckabee said the "first thing we have to do as a Republican party is stop being a wholly-owned subsidiary of Wall Street and the corporations" ...

In a bit we'll have the passage in Huckabee's speech tonight that seemed slightly in tension with these earlier remarks.

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 9:08PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (31)

Mittmentum Live Blogging

Massachusetts venture capitalist and governor Mitt Romney is lashing out against the "eastern elite".

Now demanding change from the liberalism of the last eight years.

Calls Democrats party of Big Brother after embracing torture and domestic spying.

"Tyrannosaurus appetite of government unions" ... rolls off the tongue.

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 8:43PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (39)

McCain Triumphs in Shark High Jump

It would appear that John McCain has embraced the Russia-is-next-to-Alaska theory of why Sarah Palin isn't as lacking in foreign policy experience as she seems.

From a new interview from ABC ...

Alaska is right next to Russia. She understands that. Look, Sen. Obama's never visited south of our border. I mean, please.

...

Gov. Palin knows the surge has succeeded. She's the commander of the Alaskan National Guard. He said that Iran was a tiny problem. He's never visited south of our border. He has no experience on these issues.

She has been in charge and she has had national security as one of her primary responsibilities. Sen. Obama has never had a position of responsibility to do with many of those responsibilities. I'm proud of her vision. I'm proud of her strength.

It's sad that it's come to this.

Needless to say, Gov. Palin has no commander authority over the Alaska National Guard whatsoever in any cases tied even remotely to national security.

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 7:51PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (93)

Excellent News for Sarah Palin!!!

Washington Independent digs up example of Palin crowing about bagging a pricey earmark.

This earmark, of course, was one John McCain singled out as egregious pork.

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 7:38PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (27)

Noses In The Air

Sarah Palin to say in speech tonight that her Dem critics "look down" on her experience in small-town America.

--Greg Sargent

09.03.08 -- 7:16PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (22)

More on McCain's Strategic Setback

From some reader ...

Conveniently, Gallup released new numbers this afternoon that allow us to quantify the divergent trends you've fingered. In the three days following Palin's selection, McCain brought his level of support among Republican women up five points to 90%, and eliminated his nagging gender gap. But that's just within the GOP. Independents and Democrats reacted to Palin's selection by turning to Obama - and his gains have more than offset McCain's, leaving him with a substantial lead.

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 5:42PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (46)

So Transparent It's Sad

I think we've now arrived at my favorite moment of the campaign -- when Steve Schmidt, the Rove protege who now runs John McCain's campaign lashed out at the "old boys' network" that runs the media.

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 5:24PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (35)

Lockdown!

Palin aide, who had agreed to testify in trooper-gate probe, clams up, refuses to testify.

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 4:01PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1405)

Oy ... Live Mics Are Such Dangerous Things

Just watch (the voices are Mike Murphy and Peggy Noonan) ...

And if you're interested, the transcript ...

Chuck Todd: Mike Murphy, lots of free advice, we'll see if Steve Schmidt and the boys were watching. We'll find out on your blackberry. Tonight voters will get their chance to hear from Sarah Palin and she will get the chance to show voters she's the right woman for the job Up next, one man who's already convinced and he'll us why Gov. Jon Huntsman.

(cut away)

Peggy Noonan: Yeah.

Mike Murphy: You know, because I come out of the blue swing state governor world: Engler, Whitman, Tommy Thompson, Mitt Romney, Jeb Bush. I mean, these guys -- this is how you win a Texas race, just run it up. And it's not gonna work. And --

PN: It's over.

MM: Still McCain can give a version of the Lieberman speech to do himself some good.

CT: I also think the Palin pick is insulting to Kay Bailey Hutchinson, too.

PN: Saw Kay this morning.

CT: Yeah, she's never looked comfortable about this --

MM: They're all bummed out.

CT: Yeah, I mean is she really the most qualified woman they could have turned to?

PN: The most qualified? No! I think they went for this -- excuse me-- political bullshit about narratives --

CT: Yeah they went to a narrative.

MM: I totally agree.

PN: Every time the Republicans do that, because that's not where they live and it's not what they're good at, they blow it.

MM: You know what's really the worst thing about it? The greatness of McCain is no cynicism, and this is cynical.

CT: This is cynical, and as you called it, gimmicky.

MM: Yeah.

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 2:41PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (583)

Choreography

Since there is widespread agreement that the children of candidates should not become topics of campaign debate, it behooves us to note that the McCain campaign has almost singlehandedly made Sarah Palin's daughter a central figure in the Republican convention.

It was the McCain campaign that announced Palin's daughter's pregnancy. That alone might be understandable since it appears a supermarket tabloid was about to print the story. But it was the McCain campaign, entirely on its own, that dished up unsubstantiated claims about maternity tests and all sorts of other lurid nonsense that had never been seen in print anywhere. And now the McCain campaign has staged a ceremonial laying-on-of-hands on the tarmac in St. Paul in which Sen. McCain has given his official blessing to the young couple and embrace of Bristol's boyfriend Levi.

You can see brief video of the event here ...

Let's be clear about what's happening here. Overwhelmingly, reporters are pressing eminently reasonable questions -- her role in troopergate, her lack of experience, her connections to the AIP, her history of earmarking and lobbyists, etc. Meanwhile, the McCain campaign is going absolutely non-stop about Palin's daughter. It is unmistakable.

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 2:39PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (56)

Media Coverage Of Palin "Completely Fair," Not Sexist

So says McCain's own female campaign co-chair, Meg Whitman, but really, what does she know?

--Greg Sargent

09.03.08 -- 2:30PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (27)

TPMtv: The Rise and Fall of the Modern GOP

Generational election? Political sea change? After a few days in St. Paul, I'm beginning to be convinced:

Full-size video at TPMtv.com.

--David Kurtz

09.03.08 -- 1:34PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (50)

Risk of Stating the Obvious

The public discussion of the Palin nomination has settled into two contending storylines -- Palin as trainwreck of a poorly vetted nomination and Palin sending base conservatives and right-wing evangelicals into ascending heights of reactionary delirium.

But this is not as big a contradiction as it may appear.

The race to date has been characterized by two key facts.

First, the Democratic base is bigger than the Republican base. The number of self-identifying Democrats is substantially larger that the number of Republican-identifiers.

Second, contrary to what we might have imagined earlier in the year, Republicans have already been substantially more united behind McCain than Democrats have been behind Obama. I would not have predicted that. But the polls have been extremely consistent on this point.

In other words, the GOP 'base' was already substantially united behind McCain, subjective measures of intensity notwithstanding. The people who will win the election for McCain are disaffected Democrats and independents. In the context of 2008, a juicing-the-base strategy is a recipe for a respectable defeat, not victory.

Late Update: Here's David Kurtz's video update just filed from St. Paul on how GOP convention-goers are warming to Sarah Palin ...

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 1:06PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (54)

GOP: Battle Stations!

Apparently realizing that the Sarah Palin rollout is going badly, the GOP is holding a series of press conferences here in St. Paul to push back.

Underway now is a presser with female GOP officials talking about the purported "smear campaign" against Palin. "The Republican Party will not stand by while Sarah Palin is subjected to sexist attacks," says McCain surrogate Carly Fiorina, comparing it to sexist comments endured by Hillary Clinton during the primary.

Still, the GOP is having trouble with its talking points. At an earlier press conference this morning, former U.S. Treasurer Rosario Marin was asked what Sarah Palin's position on comprehensive immigration reform is. Marin's response was that there will be no doubt what the "ticket's" position is, apparently unable to respond directly to the question.

This of course is all part of a convention schedule that today features Palin's acceptance speech.

Late Update: Chris Hayes of The Nation sees this for what it is:

One of the most bizarre spectacles in modern politics is watching the Republican Party attempt to reverse engineer the Chris Matthews/Hillary Clinton-in-New-Hampshire-moment as a means of stoking some kind of feminist backlash in favor of their extreme-right-wing, Eagle-Forum friendly, pro-life, creationist candidate. The same one who called Hillary Clinton a whiner when she pointed out the sexism of the coverage she faced.

Later Update: Faux outrage is not enough in and of itself. The full GOP battle cry requires an amorphous enemy accused of vague treachery. As usual the media is filling that role now.

--David Kurtz

09.03.08 -- 11:17AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (104)

Real Story on Schmidt's War

From an insider and longtime friend of the site ...

Either McCain's vetting process was a complete sham. Or his press operation is the worst in modern presidential politics history. Or some unholy blend of both.

Campbell Brown isn't the story - people are underestimating her, as they always have. No, the story is that Tucker Bounds went on national television without material to answer what is maybe the simplest, most straightforward follow-up question any reporter can ask: "What's your evidence for that assertion?" And I suspect that the reason they canceled Larry King is not to punish CNN (it doesn't work that way) it's that they still couldn't come up with an answer to the question by the time his show aired.

Now look at this comment from McCain honcho Steve Schmidt to Katie Couric last night: "Members of this campaign went to off-the-record lunches with reporters today, and they were asked if she would do paternity tests to prove paternity for her last child. Smear after smear after smear, and it's disgraceful and it's wrong. And the American people are going to reject it overwhelmingly when they see her."

First of all, that's the first time I've heard anyone in the campaign/political press throw out the notion of paternity tests. So Schmidt is to blame for bringing that issue into the mainstream. If anyone is smearing the candidate, it's Schmidt. This is as cynical a tactic as I've ever seen in politics.

Secondly, how can it be a "smear" if it was during an off the record lunch with McCain campaign aides?

Thirdly, hey, colleagues, you're on notice: Steve Schmidt does not respect "off the record." Watch your backs, my friends.

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 11:07AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (72)

Palin Refuses to Testify

It didn't take long. We've already brought you news of the official investigation into Gov. Palin's firing of Public Safety Commissioner Walt Monegan. Steve Branchflower, the lead investigator, began trying to arrange a deposition of the governor days before her veep selection. And despite claiming executive privilege to shield requested emails, up until that point Palin had promised full cooperation with the probe.

Now, however, she is refusing to submit to questioning by Branchflower unless he and the legislative committee that appointed him agree to relinquish control of the investigation and turn it over to a state review board made up of three Palin appointees.

Yesterday, Palin took the unusual step of having her lawyer, Thomas van Flein, file an ethics complaint against her with the state's Attorney General. This, she hopes, will lead the AG to give the investigation to the aforementioned state personnel board. Unless that happens, and Branchflower agrees to close down his investigation, she will refuse to testify.

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 10:50AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (67)

Finely Aged Whine

There's quite a tear-jerking piece in the Post by Howard Kurtz today about the McCain campaign's wailing about the media treatment of their botched veep roll-out ...

Sen. John McCain's top campaign strategist accused the news media Tuesday of being "on a mission to destroy" Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin by displaying "a level of viciousness and scurrilousness" in pursuing questions about her personal life.

In an extraordinary and emotional interview, Steve Schmidt said his campaign feels "under siege" by wave after wave of news inquiries that have questioned whether Palin is really the mother of a 4-month-old baby, whether her amniotic fluid had been tested and whether she would submit to a DNA test to establish the child's parentage.

...

Schmidt, a former spokesman for President Bush and California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, talked openly about his frustrations in an interview with The Washington Post. He said the McCain camp is in the middle of the worst media "feeding frenzy" he has ever seen.

Schmidt, by the way, is one of the most hard-boiled GOP operatives and Rove proteges around. I guess he and his McCain colleagues missed the whole Rev. Wright episode, Clinton impeachment episode and, what, maybe twenty other episodes over recent years.

It's also notable that while virtually all the aggressive questioning of Palin has been on her troopergate scandal, her manifest lack of qualifications, ties to a political party that embraces secession, etc. Schmidt focused on stories that if you look closely were actually never written. Yes, there was a storm of speculation on blogs. And maybe reporters followed up with inquiries. But who published any of it? Think about that for a second.

The McCain camp is using the rumors about Palin's family as a cudgel to beat back entirely legitimate questions -- which may amount to a feeding frenzy -- about Palin's political record, alleged pattern of abuse of the power of her office and political associations. When you see Steve Schmidt getting weepy, believe me, you're getting played.

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 9:05AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (17)

Election Central Morning Roundup

Harry Reid is "disappointed" with Joe Lieberman's speech last night. That and other political news in today's Election Central Morning Roundup.

--Eric Kleefeld

09.03.08 -- 1:41AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (25)

TPMtv: RNC Day Two Wrap Up

--Josh Marshall

09.03.08 -- 1:38AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (25)

Lieberman's Speech

Compare and contrast ...

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 11:50PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (13)

Laura on the Scene

One of the fun things about running TPM is that over time we're building a cadre of TPM alums out reporting for other news organizations. And this week, TPM alum Laura McGann, who broke the Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) house deal story for TPMmuckraker last year, is up on location in Alaska reporting on Sarah Palin. You can see her running series of posts here.

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 11:22PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (47)

Stoner!

David Kurtz just caught up with famed GOP dirty trickster and hatchet man Roger Stone who explained how he'll be "taking the wood" to Obama over the next eight weeks.

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 11:14PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (20)

TPMtv Talks to Grover Norquist

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 11:01PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (14)

Nostalgia?

Is the RNC blue screen an homage to the McCain green screen speech?

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 10:50PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (64)

Shameless Libel

Why did Fred Thompson accuse Barack Obama of not opposing infanticide?

Think I'm exaggerating? Look at his words ...

And we need a President who doesn't think that the protection of the unborn or a newly born baby is above his pay grade.

And McCain approved it.

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 10:42PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (49)

Joementum!!!

We're getting ready to watch Joe Lieberman sing his song of love to John McCain and the Republican party. So we thought it might be a good moment for a stroll down memory lane. Through the kindness of strangers, we've been given access to the Joe for Prez 2004 archives. So as Joe gets ready to mouth the GOP's talking points, we'd like to bring you this short clip reel of Lieberman just four short years ago ...

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 9:51PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (50)

Lockdown

From TPM Reader BJ ...

On the RNC website they have a clock that shows the time: "Since Joe Biden's last gaffe". Perhaps the Democrats should put up a clock of their own, the time: "Since Sarah Palin last took questions from the media".

In all seriousness, I'm curious why the fact that the McCain campaign has been keeping Palin (the Vice Presidential nominee of their party) in virtual isolation isn't a larger part of the media narrative? To my knowledge she has made only two public appearances since the announcement, giving the same speech twice. Her scheduled appearance today (a speech sponsored by a Pro-life group) at the RNC was cancelled.

With only sixty days until the election, isn't it fair to ask the McCain campaign when Vice Presidential nominee of their party, and someone who's views we know little about, is going to be allowed to take questions from the media? Or do they feel that the American public doesn't deserve to know her views and that we should just vote for their ticket because they say she's a good person?

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 9:20PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (36)

Lotta Empty Seats

David Kurtz reports from inside the Xcel Center. Sure are a lot of empty seats ...

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 9:12PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (28)

Overboard

So if John McCain decides he needs to heave Sarah Palin overboard, just how would the mechanics work and how easy would it be? Josh Green talked to the experts and found out just how it would work.

Like I said earlier, I think the chances of this happening are remote. Because as bad as making a stupid veep pick is, admitting it would be far more damaging. And the evangelicals would probably desert him en masse. Still it's fun to know how it would work.

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 9:07PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (41)

Hmmm. Good Point

From TPM Reader DS ...

Why is everyone letting the McCain camp get away with saying Palin's selection somehow breaks the "glass ceiling" as Kay Hutchison just did on MSNBC. There has already been a female nominee for VP. The Democrats broke that one nearly 25 years ago.

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 8:19PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (28)

The Fringe

Putting the screaming headlines aside, Ed Kilgore explains why Sarah Palin's ties to the Alaska Independence Party matter.

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 7:35PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (39)

Just As Bad As Reverend Wright

The founder of the Alaska Independence Party -- which Sarah Palin has courted -- professed his "hatred for the American government" and cursed our "damn flag."

--Greg Sargent

09.02.08 -- 4:31PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (164)

Can't Stand the Heat

If he can't stand up to Larry King, how can he stand up to ... well, anybody?

After Campbell Brown's interview with McCain's spokesman Tucker Bounds last night, McCain is pulling out of an interview tonight with Larry King.

We'll have more shortly.

Here's the 'offending' interview in question ...

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 3:27PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (174)

We're Outta Here

Todd Palin, husband of Sarah, was a member of the secessionist Alaska Independence Party from 1995 through 2002. That's the information we just got from the Alaska Division of elections.

Probably not coincidentally, 2002 was the first time Sarah Palin ran for statewide office in Alaska.

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 3:03PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (73)

Speak for Yourself

McCain Campaign Manager Rick Davis: "This election is not about issues. This election is about a composite view of what people take away from these candidates."

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 2:49PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (34)

Gramm Cracker

From Bloomberg ...

Former Texas Senator Phil Gramm, who stepped aside as John McCain's campaign co-chairman in July after an uproar over comments that those worried about the U.S. economy are ``whiners,'' today revisited that sentiment.

``If you're sitting here today, you're not economically illiterate and you're not a whiner, so I'm not worried about who you're going to vote for,'' Gramm told supporters of McCain at a Financial Services Roundtable event in Minneapolis on the sidelines of the Republican National Convention.

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 2:29PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (16)

TPMtv: Gamechanger?

Sarah Palin has managed to dominate the news -- and the buzz here in St. Paul -- despite Obama's speech to 75,000 in Denver, a Gulf Coast hurricane and the Republican National Convention. We review the various reactions to the Palin selection from the Republican side:

Full-size video at TPMtv.com.

--David Kurtz

09.02.08 -- 1:31PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (46)

Trendline

With the proviso that tracking polls are very sketchy indicators of of where a race stands, today's results from Gallup and Rasmussen appear to show a clear trend. Gallup has Obama moving to 50% for the first time ever, with an 8 point margin over John McCain (50% - 42%). Meanwhile, Rasmussen has Obama at 51% with a 6 point margin when 'leaners' are factored in (51%-45%).

I cannot stress too much that tracking polls are very volatile, susceptible both to statistical news and ephemeral wobbliness in candidate support.

But in line with a number of regular polls out in the last 24 hours, they show a clear trend. Obama's bounce appears to be continuing and expanding during the RNC. And if you look closer at the numbers, the trend is not so much McCain losing support as a clear movement of hitherto undecideds into Obama's column.

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 1:02PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (27)

One Degree of Jack Abramoff

Back early in the Bush administration, Sarah Palin and Jack Abramoff shared a lobbyist.

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 11:25AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (29)

Rudy Bumped

The Republican Convention is segueing from Hurricane Gustav to John McCain today. As RNC Chairman Mike Duncan put it on a conference call currently underway with reporters, "We continue to monitor the situation along the Gulf Coast. ... but we'll be hearing a lot about John McCain."

The decision to proceed with a full schedule today was made early this morning, according to campaign manager Rick Davis. Today's theme, under the banner of "Country First" (which is emblazoned throughout the convention hall), is "Who is John McCain?"

President Bush will speak to delegates via a satellite hookup. Former Sen. Fred Thompson (R-TN) will give a speech titled "The Courage and Service of John McCain." The evening's featured speaker is Sen. Joe Lieberman, whose speech is titled "The Original Maverick."

That means Rudy Giuliani is getting bumped from his speaking slot tonight to make room for some of the events delayed from Monday, but Davis says they are trying to reschedule Rudy for Wednesday night.

--David Kurtz

09.02.08 -- 11:15AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (71)

You've Lost That Lovin' Feelin' ...

I think TPM Reader JL may be on to something ...

Just a thought, and I doubt I'm the first to think it. Watching that surprising video of Cambell Brown taking Tucker Bounds to the cleaners', I wondered if perhaps what I was really seeing was a mainstream press that is furious with McCain for having embarrassed them. Even if Palin drops out by the end of the week, and Pawlenty or Romney or whomever gets on board and we begin take two of the entire thing, I can't imagine that the press will have retained their abiding love of McCain. After all, they're the ones who nurtured his straight-talkin'-maverick image, and now he has appeared to throw it in their faces. They probably had reporting packages ready to go for all of the other VP possibilities, and nothing for Palin. So it wasn't just the GOP brass McCain was flipping off with this pick--it was his "base," the media. My overall sense of yesterday's coverage was that covering him just wasn't any fun anymore. And those feelings might well last into November.

I think the reason may be slightly different. A lot of Washington reporters have spent a decade loving John McCain. Just a few days ago a friend of mine who was once among the courted explained to me just how different and successful McCain was in the courtship. Off the cuff, frank, entirely accessible. Because of all that, a lot of these people got heavily invested in the maverick and straight-talker image. I'll be honest: back in 2000 and probably until 2002 I was pretty invested in it. Why a lot of people have held on through the last half dozen years of contrary evidence is another question. But the Palin pick is that paradigm-breaking piece of evidence that takes you from 'maverick' to 'reckless' or worse. And claiming that Palin has 'military command' experience as head of the Alaska National Guard gets you from "straight talker' to 'bullshit artist'.

I think you get a feel for the breakdown in this exchange between CNN's Campbell Brown and McCain's Tucker Bounds last night on CNN ...

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 11:13AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (48)

S.O.S.

Associated Press again rides to McCain's rescue, reports that Palin was thoroughly vetted, after all.

--Greg Sargent

09.02.08 -- 9:21AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (14)

Election Central Morning Roundup

Republican convention set to get underway tonight in St. Paul -- minus nixed-speaker Rudy and his 9/11 Tourette's. That and other political news of the day in today's TPM Election Central Morning Roundup.

--Greg Sargent

09.02.08 -- 9:19AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (30)

TPMtv talks to Mika Brzezinski and Joe Scarborough

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 8:28AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (61)

Intrade

As some of you know I keep an eye on the political futures markets at Intrade.com. And I've been wondering whether they'd open a contract on whether Sarah Palin would make it to November, let alone the White House. And sure enough, here it is. Still a long shot at 15% odds of it happening. But up 12 points so far today.

For what it's worth, even though I hinted that I thought we might be going there over the weekend, we should not underestimate the massive forces standing in the way of canning Palin.

The consequences of what I think everyone can now see was a bad decision are huge. The consequences of admitting it was a mistake are something like catastrophic. Much of the remainder of the campaign, I think, would devolve into a picking over of just what McCain was thinking. So while McCain's strategy is based on running on his purportedly superior judgment, much of the campaign coverage would focus on his demonstrably bad judgment.

Also, a very big deal, though not quite as big, would be the effect on conservative evangelicals. Putting Palin on the ticket seems to have finally brought many of them squarely into the McCain camp. Tossing her overboard could be lethal with this critical Republican constituency.

They're in a tight spot.

Late Update: 8:54 AM ... Now it's at 18.

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 5:51AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (49)

Palin Goes to War with Investigation

In one of the stories yesterday about Palin's hiring of a lawyer -- which we now find out she's having the state of Alaska pay for -- I noted that her new counsel, Thomas Van Flein, asked the lead investigator in the case to turn over all witness statements and documents produced so far in the probe. That struck me not as a good-faith request but rather an effort to get into a fight over process and thus gum up the investigation until after the election.

And sure enough, today's Anchorage Daily News provides plenty of evidence that that is what's happening in spades. Though to this point Palin has said she would cooperate fully with the investigation, Van Flein is now challenging the standing of the entire inquiry. He claims that any investigation should be handled not by the legislature but by the state Personnel Board which, conveniently, is made up of the governor's appointees.

Van Flein is also charging that the state senator charged with overseeing the investigation is on a partisan witch-hunt. "Our concern is that Hollis French turns into Ken Starr and uses public money to pursue a political vendetta rather than truly pursue an honest inquiry into an alleged ethics issue," Van Flein told the ADN. To which French rather persuasively responded that the charge of partisanship rang at least a little hollow since the investigation was instigated and authorized by a committee dominated by Republicans (though it's only fair to note that Palin is not beloved by all Republicans in the state).

And finally that deposition that the investigator is trying to arrange with Gov. Palin? Seems she may be too busy running for vice president to make time for that. From the ADN ...

Branchflower [the lead investigator] hasn't been able to set up an interview with Palin. French said the state will fly Branchflower to wherever Palin is on the campaign trail if needed.

"Clearly the governor's new political role will make it more challenging for her to make time for this investigation," French wrote. But Palin needs to be interviewed sometime in September, he said.

Van Flein said the investigation is "bad timing" in the middle of a presidential campaign. He said he couldn't guarantee her availability this month.

If witnesses aren't available, French wrote, he'll ask the Senate Judiciary Committee, which he chairs, to issue subpoenas.

Buckle up.

--Josh Marshall

09.02.08 -- 5:29AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (30)

Erratic

TPM Reader ES ...

Someone ought to look into McCain's actions of late -- going all in on un-vetted Sarah Palin; betting on the impact of Gustav; even staking a claim on Iraq the way he did.. And I'm sure there are more. Betting on a position to take AGAINST Bush. Then FOR Bush. They seem suspiciously like the actions of a compulsive gambler. It's a way of thinking. Go all in and then hope to draw an inside straight. My guess is someone smarter than me could put together and entire profile. But he acts like an addict - and he keeps doing it again and again and again.

I'm not 100% on board with this readers list. But his overall point is right on the mark. My list wold be Georgia, Palin and Gustav. Politically at least, McCain's Georgia high-wire act clearly worked for him, the substantive irresponsibility notwithstanding. Palin is turning into the white water rapids of presidential picks. And the decision to all but cancel and then try what I imagine will be a cold start on Tuesday ... well, I don't discount the huge challenge Gustav's extremely untimely arrival created for McCain and the GOP. And it did seem like there was a chance that if Gustav had been an epically catastrophic event and he gave his acceptance speech while simultaneously helping to shore up a levee or rescue cats from roofs in flooded neighborhoods, it could even have turned into a political coup.

But in each of these cases you do have a pattern of high stakes gambles, with limited information available to make a reasoned decision and a pattern developing of an erratic style of leadership lurching from one crisis to the next. I'm sure a lot of Republicans can see that too.

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 10:00PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (19)

TPMtv Update: Night One at the RNC

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 9:16PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (64)

Olympic Shark Jumping

We've already had a number of threshold moments in John McCain's on-going descent into ignominy. But surely this has to be another. John McCain just hired Tucker Eskew, the guy in charge of sliming him back in South Carolina in 2000. Apparently, he'll be in charge of prepping Sarah Palin for her role as McCain's running mate -- which, when you think about it, may be McCain's ultimate payback.

As Eric Kleefeld just quipped, what is he gonna do? Accuse Barack Obama of fathering two black children?

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 8:09PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (355)

Good Point

I was skimming through the reader comments on Greg Sargent's featured post. And this commenter makes a really good point: how many elected Republicans have you seen on TV as surrogates for Gov. Palin? Sticking up for her, defending her? Anything?

I'm told Lindsay Graham was on one show. And I know that Kay Bailey Hutchison was on one of the networks the day she was selected. But I think she said she really didn't know much about her.

This isn't just a rhetorical question. There's a lot of tv I don't get to watch. But I don't have a sense I've heard much from elected officeholders. Not really much of anything. And it's pretty striking once it's pointed out.

Who've you seen?

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 7:51PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (608)

That's Original

I just saw McCain spokesman Tucker Bounds on CNN with a new line on Gov. Palin's foreign policy experience: McCain and Palin have more combined military command experience than Obama and Biden put together.

(ed.note: We're actually getting a flood of emails from readers noting the whole interview in which CNN's Campbell Brown performed what amounted to a live vivisection of Bounds on live television. It was pretty rough.)

Late Update: Okay, when we went back to the tape. And the whole thing was so brutal, we decided to bring you the entire foreign policy segment of the interview. The portion noted above comes at the end. This one's really must-see ...

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 7:24PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (261)

Face It: They Didn't Vet Her

Earlier I noted Andrea Mitchell's reference to reports that the McCain camp had just sent a team of GOP lawyers up to Alaska to do what I guess you'd call a post-vetting of Sarah Palin. Now George Stephanopoulos appears to have more. George says the McCainers are sending a "rapid response team of about ten operatives that includes lawyers" to do the aforementioned deeper vet. A lot of attention is being given to Gov. Palin's daughter's situation. The much bigger deal is the expanding trooper-gate investigation, the fact that Palin lied in her Friday speech about her purported opposition to the Bridge to Nowhere, her apparent former membership in the secessionist Alaska Independence Party, and more. Individually, you can come to your own judgment about how consequential these stories are. What they show pretty clearly now -- in addition to the news that the McCain campaign is only now sending in a vetting team -- is that John McCain didn't do any serious vetting of Palin before he invited her to join his ticket and, he hopes, become Vice President of the United States.

Fundamentally, of course, this is about John McCain. And the real issue here is what this slapdash decision says about his judgment.

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 6:27PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (40)

Gustav Hits St. Paul

Just a very odd day here all the way around. Cindy McCain and Laura Bush just finished up their perfunctory appearances in front of the delegates, some of whom didn't bother coming in for the truncated two-hour session. The hall itself was mostly empty, other than delegates and press. Traffic hasn't been as bad as expected, and downtown St. Paul was not the mass of people anticipated. The general feeling here is like a snow day -- fitting since we're in Minnesota.

--David Kurtz

09.01.08 -- 6:11PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (56)

New Poll

USAToday/Gallup: Obama 50%, McCain 43%.

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 5:27PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (133)

Out of Order?

We had heard hints of this. But just moments ago, Andrea Mitchell on MSNBC said that Republican lawyers are currently doing a vet of Sarah Palin up in Alaska. We'll get you the video shortly. But it seems that the really deep vet of Palin started after her selection was announced.

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 5:17PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (109)

NBC: Palin lawyers up in trooper-gate probe.

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 4:31PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (54)

New Poll

CBS: Obama 48%, McCain 40%.

(Note too though that CNN had a dead even poll out earlier today.)

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 3:16PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (66)

Annals of Vetting (Special 'Maybe Not So Much' Edition)

It seems like reporters are zeroing in on the fact that today's story about Gov. Palin's daughter is a significant tell, suggesting a very rushed vetting process. McCain camp enforcer Steve Schmidt repeatedly dodged questions about whether Sen. McCain had known about the Palin's family situation prior to inviting her to join him as his running mate.

From the Anchorage Daily News ...

Reporters at the Republican national convention hammered McCain senior adviser Steve Schmidt about the Palin pregnancy during a press conference. All Schmidt would say is Palin and McCain had discussed the pregnancy and considered it to be a private matter.

He wouldn't say if they talked about it before McCain picked Palin as his vice presidential nominee.

"I answered that question nine times," he said.

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 2:17PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (59)

Deposition

The Alaska special investigator on the Trooper-gate case is currently in contact with Gov. Palin and they are scheduling her deposition. According to our report, it will likely take place in the next few weeks and will almost certainly be under oath.

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 2:09PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (41)

Annals of Tight Vetting

Palin was such a foe of Ted Stevens that she helped run his 527.

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 2:07PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (30)

Not McFournier!

AP circulates internal talking points for defending Ron Fournier.

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 2:04PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (22)

That's Not Journalism We Can Believe in

Reuters lets anonymous senior McCain aide try to pin Palin daughter story on Obama camp.

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 12:26PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (234)

Just Really Odd

We haven't touched it. But you probably know there have been internet-based rumors claiming that Sarah Palin's newborn son Trig is actually the son of her 17 year old daughter, Bristol. In an effort to knock down these rumors, Palin and the McCain camp have now put out a statement claiming that Bristol Palin is currently five months pregnant with child, which she plans to keep and that she will soon marry the father.

I really do not know what to make of this story. But we wanted to keep you up on the latest and particularly the McCain/Palin statement.

Late Update: I'll note also that the McCain campaign is lashing out at 'liberal bloggers' for this story coming to light and even perhaps the Obama campaign. I think we can chalk that down as another intemperate falsehood emanating from their campaign. I will note this. Vetting works in a fairly established way with most campaigns. The standard procedure in a case like this would have been for the campaign to have gone to a trusted reporter -- and by that I don't mean a hack but someone the campaign knew would deal with the story in an appropriate way -- and given them the story about the family drama the Palins are going through, how the daughter is planning to have the baby, how it confirms the family's values, etc. In an ideal world, the daughter's life would be her own business. But in the world we live in the best for all concerned would be to give it a respectful airing on day one or two and take it off the table rather than have it come out in some more jagged and painful way. We don't care about Palin's daughter. Her life is her own. She's not running for anything. What this does show is much more confirmation of what Republican operatives and pols are saying loquaciously off-the-record: that they don't think there was any real vetting of Palin. Acting out from the McCain camp will not change that.

(ed.note: In the original version of this post, I wrote that "Bristol Palin is currently five months pregnant with another child, which she plans to keep ..." The meaning of another was to distinguish this pregnancy from the rumor that she carried Palin's son Trig. Several readers read this as an insinuation that this was Bristol's second pregnancy. That wasn't the intention and that doesn't strike me as a logical reading. But to avoid any misunderstanding, I revised.)

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 11:37AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (167)

TPMtv Talks to Tucker Carlson @ RNC

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 11:13AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (15)

Laura Bush and Cindy McCain Added to Monday RNCC Agenda

In a conference call with reporters just now, RNC officials announced some additions to today's abbreviated convention schedule.

First Lady Laura Bush will introduce a video of the various Gulf Coast state governors (all Republicans, I believe) this afternoon and Cindy McCain will also address delegates, urging support for hurricane victims. Their portion of the program is expected to begin shortly before 6 ET.

"We will try not to overly politicize it," McCain campaign manager Rick Davis Davis said on the call, referring to the additions of Bush and McCain to today's agenda.

Today's events had already been largely canceled, except for necessary party business which has been condensed into a two-hour session this afternoon that was intended to be devoid of political speech-making and the other usual convention pomp and circumstance.

Late Update: On the call Davis suggested that no decision will be made on Tuesday's schedule until Tuesday morning once the impact of Gustav can begin to be assessed.

As the conference call wrapped up, Davis appeared to play down the chances of McCain making his acceptance speech from the Gulf Coast or anywhere else other than St. Paul.

--David Kurtz

09.01.08 -- 10:37AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (11)

On The Scene

TPMmuckraker alum Laura McGann is on the location in Anchorage reporting on Palin pick for the Washington Independent.

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 10:20AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (9)

Breakfast at Politico's

We're at a panel discussion here in St. Paul with Arianna Huffington, Peggy Noonan, Tucker Carlson, Mark Halperin, and Rick Klein. They're debating the effects of new media on old media and why conservatives have lagged behind in adopting new media in the same way liberals have been slow to penetrate talk radio. We hope to bring you some interviews after the panel a little later.

--David Kurtz

09.01.08 -- 9:56AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (8)

TPMtv: RNC Arrival

Hurricane Gustav has thrown at least the first day of the Republican Convention into disarray. We report from St. Paul with the latest:

Full-size video at TPMtv.com.

--David Kurtz

09.01.08 -- 9:34AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (29)

Good for Him

Wolfson says Denver speech made him an Obama convert.

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 9:09AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (7)

Election Central Morning Roundup

Republican convention prime-time line-up of speakers canceled due to Gustav. That and other political news of the day in today's TPM Election Central Morning Roundup.

--Greg Sargent

09.01.08 -- 1:14AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (118)

Executive Experience

With a push from the McCain camp, the conservative blogs are suddenly aflutter with claims about Sarah Palin's "executive experience" and readiness for the presidency based on her six years as Mayor of Wasilla, Alaska ...

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 12:17AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (116)

Kid Gloves Watch

Given her novelty on the national political stage, news organizations will quickly start asking Sarah Palin for interviews. So it is worth beginning to keep tabs now on whether key questions get asked.

Let's start with a couple of them.

1. As recently as 2006, Gov. Palin said she hadn't focused enough on Iraq to have a view on the surge. Just two weeks ago she told Philip Gourevitch that she wasn't sure we had a clear plan for what we were doing in Iraq and expressed concern that our real reason for being their might be to control oil supplies. Those comments may reflect a healthy skepticism about what we're doing in Iraq. But they put her in pretty sharp contrast to Sen. McCain's views. So what are her views and positions on Iraq?

2. The investigator appointed to probe Palin's firing of Public Safety Commissioner Walt Monegan began trying to schedule a deposition with her last week. The investigator, Steve Branchflower, is charged with finishing his investigation by October 31st, which means he must depose Palin sometime over the next 8 weeks, presumably much sooner than later. So is she currently in contact with Branchflower, will she be returning to Alaska for the deposition, and when?

What am I missing?

--Josh Marshall

09.01.08 -- 12:04AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (87)

Sadly Nuts

When asked about criticisms of Sarah Palin's readiness to serve as president, McCain responded: "If they want to go down that route, in all candor, she has far, far more experience than Senator Obama does."

Set aside the bravado. Can McCain possibly believe that? And if he does, what are we supposed to think of his own fitness to serve? Sen. Obama is certainly new on the national scene. But he's serving his fourth year in the US senate. He's run a successful national primary campaign. He's deeply versed on all the relevant policy issues. Palin has been the governor of one of the smallest states in the country (by pop.) for 18 months. As recently as 2006, she said she hadn't focused enough on Iraq to have an opinion one way or another about the surge. Even now, her off-hand comments about Iraq are completely at odds with Sen. McCain's.

Getting into a discussion about the relative qualifications of the two individuals is too silly to waste time on. But it says a lot about McCain that he says it.

--Josh Marshall

08.31.08 -- 10:29PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (57)

National Security Incredibility

The AP looked into McCain's latest line about Palin's experience as the commander-in-chief of the Alaska National Guard:

Maj. Gen. Craig Campbell, adjutant general of the Alaska National Guard, considers Palin "extremely responsive and smart" and says she is in charge when it comes to in-state services, such as emergencies and natural disasters where the National Guard is the first responder.

But, in an interview with The Associated Press on Sunday, he said he and Palin play no role in national defense activities, even when they involve the Alaska National Guard. The entire operation is under federal control, and the governor is not briefed on situations.


--Will Thomas

08.31.08 -- 10:14PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (28)

We're-Totally-Not-Politicizing-Disaster Watch

Rick Davis: Obama putting politics above Gustav. (McCain would never do that.)

--Will Thomas

08.31.08 -- 7:51PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (241)

Not Happy Campers

I'm seeing a lot of happy talk on the chat shows. But what I'm hearing from St. Paul is that very few of the pols and operatives are giving any credence to the idea that Palin wasn't a rushed and unvetted last minute pick.

--Josh Marshall

08.31.08 -- 5:59PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (71)

No Place Like Home

Another little nugget of information suggesting a less than thorough vetting of Sarah Palin.

--Josh Marshall

08.31.08 -- 4:25PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (41)

GOP Convention Up In the Air

The details remains sketchy. But based on a press conference held moments ago by McCain campaign chairman Rick Davis, the Republicans are planning to cancel or radically scale back some or perhaps even all of this year's Republican convention. All that seems certain now is that the convention will be called to order tomorrow afternoon and stay in session for roughly two hours -- between 3 PM and 5 PM local time. They'll do some official business but eschew openly partisan activities.

From there forward it appears they'll wait to see just how protracted and bad the landfall in Louisiana is, and then go from there, deciding on a day by day basis how much of a convention to hold on that day.

Davis still left the question up in the air. But it appears that there is a good chance that McCain will give his acceptance speech not in person in Minnesota but rather by satellite link somewhere in the Gulf region.

--Josh Marshall

08.31.08 -- 2:44PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (87)

Why It Matters

My thoughts on why Palin's troopergate matters.

--Josh Marshall

08.31.08 -- 2:15PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (41)

Last Time ...

John McCain on August 29th, 2005, in Phoenix, the day Hurricane Katrina made landfall in New Orleans ...

Who falls for the dog and pony show?

--Josh Marshall

08.31.08 -- 1:41PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (52)

For It Before She Was Against It

Several readers have pointed out that Palin's claim this week that "I told Congress, thanks but no thanks on that bridge to nowhere" doesn't line up with previous pro-Ketchikan Islands statements. But today, the Anchorage Daily News takes it one step further:

The Alaska governor campaigned in 2006 on a build-the-bridge platform, telling Ketchikan residents she felt their pain when politicians called them "nowhere." They're still feeling pain today in Ketchikan, over Palin's subsequent decision to use the bridge funds for other projects -- and over the timing of her announcement, which they say came in a pre-dawn press release that seemed aimed at national news deadlines.

"I think that's when the campaign for national office began," said Ketchikan Mayor Bob Weinstein on Saturday.

Meanwhile, Weinstein noted, the state is continuing to build a road on Gravina Island to an empty beach where the bridge would have gone -- because federal money for the access road, unlike the bridge money, would have otherwise been returned to the federal government.

So... a beach road to nowhere?

--Will Thomas

08.31.08 -- 12:49PM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (69)

Exploitation

With news that Gustav is headed towards Louisiana and that New Orleans is under mandatory evacuation, it is reassuring on some fronts to see the Republican response. So far Bush and Cheney have cancelled their appearances in St. Paul and the RNC is trying to determine how and to what extent they should cut back on festivities (McCain suggested yesterday that the convention might even be moved, but that strikes me as a non-starter).

Of course, it's hard not to see this as political posturing. But this is one of those times when political posturing aligns with the right thing to do; I can't imagine watching an RNC where nothing has changed despite the fact that Americans are suffering from a regional disaster. And yes, one can say that this never would have happened if not for Katrina. Even so, I'm not sure what alternatives are out there under these circumstances.

That being said, I find it disturbing that McCain and Palin have decided to go down to Mississippi this week. A trip like this is worse than opportunism. Let us not forget that McCain doesn't travel alone; he brings along staff and Secret Service agents, all of whom require the time and attention of local officials. The situation is reminiscent of Rumsfeld's infamous 9/11 response to rush outside the Pentagon and give orders: the images on TV inspire confidence, at least until one remembers that our leaders are neglecting the responsibilities that are truly meant to keep us safe.

Neither McCain nor Palin offer any unique advantage to New Orleans with their presence -- they are not Southern politicians, they don't have any particularly useful contacts in the area and they aren't emergency responders. (Meanwhile, Obama will not travel to the region but has said he will use his fundraiser lists to coordinate volunteers once damage is assessed.) However, McCain could be particularly helpful from his Senate position, if he so chose.

And if visiting a possible emergency site to "check on preparations" (as the campaign refers to it) doesn't bother you particularly, consider this line from Politico yesterday:

McCain was scheduled to deliver his acceptance speech Thursday but now may do so from the devastation zone if the storm hits the U.S. coast with the ferocity feared by forecasters.

It can be hard sometimes not to drift towards the spotlight. But that is precisely why we seek leaders with sound judgement, however they come across it.

--Will Thomas

08.31.08 -- 11:48AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (90)

Big Picture

I've written below how Sarah Palin not only lacks the experience to be president but also the judgment and temperament for the job. Far more damaging for McCain, however, is that his choice of Palin provides tangible and now readily understandable evidence that John McCain lacks the judgment and temperament for the presidency. You're already seeing conservative commentators reacting to his decision by calling McCain reckless and the more risky choice in this election.

They say the choice of a vice president is a candidate's first presidential decision. In his speech last week, Bill Clinton said that on this test Barack Obama hit it out of the park. That may be campaign trail hyperbole. But no one questions that Joe Biden has the experience, knowledge and stature to become president. John McCain has campaigned on a vision of America at war, facing numerous present and potential enemies. And though he faces a not insignificant chance of dying during his first term of office (he's a 72 year old man who has twice battled cancer), he has picked a running mate who he knows little about and who is manifestly unready to serve as president.

Impulsive, reckless? As Joe Klein puts it, McCain is "He has proven himself, yet again, ready on day one--to shoot from the hip." It's hard to see how this doesn't make a joke out of the importance he's claimed to place on having a commander-in-chief seasoned and experienced enough to lead in dangerous times.

Just after McCain announced his pick, a number of commentators -- some independent analysts and others Republican partisans -- said that this was McCain reverting to form. He's a gambler, he likes rolling the dice, playing craps -- to use the most chosen metaphor. (Little discussed is that McCain is, in the literal sense, a big time gambler, though he appears to keep the amount of money he loses under control.) But is that the temperament one wants in a president and commander-in-chief? Someone whose inclination, at critical moments of decision, is toward risky, high-stakes gambles? That kind of erratic behavior is pardonable, even an asset in a senator (who has little direct power beyond 1 of 100 votes and the ability to persuade people). But it's a dangerous trait for a leader of a country of 300 million.

--Josh Marshall

08.31.08 -- 11:00AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (585)

Getting Real About Palin

I've noticed some people who should know better claiming that bringing up Gov. Palin's troopergate scandal is tantamount to making a victim of or defending her slimeball ex-brother-in-law who allegedly once used a taser on his stepson.

That's awfully foolish. So I thought I'd put together a post explaining why.

The person in question is state trooper Mike Wooten -- Palin's ex-brother-in-law who's embroiled in a bitter custody and divorce battle with Palin's sister. Back in the second week of August, well before Palin became a national political figure, TPMMuckraker was reporting on this story. And as part of the reporting we tried to get a handle on just how bad a guy Wooten was. Most people who are familiar with the ugliness that often spills out of custody and divorce cases know to take accusations arising out of the course of them with a grain of salt unless you know a lot about the people involved. And if you look closely at the case there are numerous reasons to question the picture drawn by the Palin family. Regardless, we proceeded on the assumption that Wooten really was a rotten guy because the truth is that it wasn't relevant to the investigation of Palin.

Let's review what happened.

The Palin family had a feud with Wooten prior to her becoming governor. They put together a list of 14 accusations which they took to the state police to investigate -- a list that ranged from the quite serious to the truly absurd. The state police did an investigation, decided that 5 of the charges had some merit and suspended Wooten for ten days -- a suspension later reduced to five days. The Palin's weren't satisfied but there wasn't much they could do.

When Palin became governor they went for another bite at the apple. Palin, her husband and several members of her staff began pressuring Public Safety Commissioner, Walt Monegan -- a respected former Chief of the Anchorage police department -- to can Wooten. Monegan resisted, arguing that the official process regarding Wooten was closed. And there was nothing more that could be done. In fact, during one of the conversations in which Palin's husband Todd was putting on the squeeze, Monegan told Todd Palin, "You can't head hunt like this. What you need to do is back off, because if the trooper does make a mistake, and it is a terminable offense, it can look like political interference."

Eventually, Palin got fed up and fired Monegan from his job. (Palin claims, not credibly, that she fired Monegan over general differences in law enforcement priorities.) This is an important point. Wooten never got fired. To the best of my knowledge, he's is still on the job. The central bad act was firing the state's top police official because he refused to bend to political pressure from the governor and her family to fire a public employee against whom the governor was pursuing a vendetta -- whether the vendetta was justified or not.

Soon after this, questions were raised in the state about Monegan's firing and he eventually came forward and said he believed he'd been fired for not giving in to pressure to fire Wooten.

After Monegan made his accusations, Palin insisted there was no truth whatsoever to his claims. Nonetheless, a bipartisan committee of the state legislature approved an investigation. In response, Palin asked the Attorney General to start his own investigation which many in the state interpreted as an effort to either keep tabs on or tamper with the legislature's investigation. Again, very questionable judgment in someone who aspires to be first in line to the presidency.

The Attorney General's investigation quickly turned up evidence that Palin's initial denials were false. Multiple members of her staff had raised Wooten's employment with Monegan. Indeed, the state police had a recording of one of her deputies pushing Monegan to fire Wooten. That evidence forced Palin to change her story. Palin said that this was the first she'd heard of it and insisted the deputy wasn't acting at her behest, even though the trascript of the recorded call clearly suggested that he was. (Hear the audio here.)

Just yesterday, Monegan gave an interview to the Washington Post in which he said that not only Palin's aides, but Palin's husband and Palin herself had repeatedly raised the Wooten issue with him and pressured him to fire him. And now he says he has emails that Palin sent him about the matter. (In an interesting sidelight, that may end up telling us a lot, Monegan says no one from the McCain campaign ever contacted him in the vetting process.)

The investigator appointed by the state legislature began trying to arrange a time to depose Gov. Palin last week -- in other words, in the final days before her selection.

So let's put this all together.

We rely on elected officials not to use the power of their office to pursue personal agendas or vendettas. It's called an abuse of power. There is ample evidence that Palin used her power as governor to get her ex-brother-in-law fired. When his boss refused to fire him, she fired his boss. She first denied Monegan's claims of pressure to fire Wooten and then had to amend her story when evidence proved otherwise. The available evidence now suggests that she 1) tried to have an ex-relative fired from his job for personal reasons, something that was clearly inappropriate, and perhaps illegal, though possibly understandable in human terms, 2) fired a state official for not himself acting inappropriately by firing the relative, 3) lied to the public about what happened and 4) continues to lie about what happened.

These are, to put it mildly, not the traits or temperament you want in someone who could hold the executive power of the federal government.

--Josh Marshall

08.31.08 -- 10:44AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (33)

Election Central Sunday Roundup

Geraldine Ferraro praises Sarah Palin, and won't say who she's voting for. That and other political news in today's Election Central Sunday Roundup.

--Eric Kleefeld

08.31.08 -- 10:12AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (51)

McCain Hits Fox News Sunday

Palin a "partner and a soulmate."

--Will Thomas

08.31.08 -- 9:55AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (22)

MoDo's Not A Fan

Shorter Maureen Dowd: VP Palin = "generically sassy chick flick."

(And yes, it gets worse. For everyone.)

--Will Thomas

08.31.08 -- 2:01AM // link | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (52)

The Vet

The Post has a new article out, the gist of which is that far from being a last minute choice who possibly wasn't extensively vetted, Gov. Palin was a top contender in the veep search for some time and was extensively vetted. "Nobody was vetted less or more than anyone in the final stages, and John had access to all that information and made the decision," Campaign Manager Rick Davis told the Post. "It's really not much more complicated than that."

I would not call the piece credulous necessarily because the quotes and comments are all attributed to anonymous McCain aides, who have an obvious interest in knocking down any perception that Palin was a hasty, panic pick.

But leafing through articles out of Alaska, there's good reason to doubt these claims that Palin received an extensive vetting.

One bit of info from the Anchorage Daily News ...

Former House Speaker Gail Phillips, a Republican political leader who has clashed with Palin in the past, was shocked when she heard the news Friday morning with her husband, Walt.

"I said to Walt, 'This can't be happening, because his advance team didn't come to Alaska to check her out," Phillips said.

Phillips has been active in the Ted Stevens re-election steering committee and remains in close touch with Sen. Lisa Murkowski and other party leaders, and she said nobody had heard anything about McCain's people doing research on his prospective running mate.

"We're not a very big state. People I talk to would have heard something."

Perhaps she's just a hostile or isn't as plugged in as she thinks. But there's also this.

The big bogey for Palin is the ethics investigation into possible abuse of power in her firing of Public Safety Commissioner Walt Monegan. I can see possible reasons why the McCain camp would hesitate to make contact with Monegan. But with credible claims that she abused her office and subsequently lied about her actions, I would think the McCain camp would want to understand that case inside and out. But according to an article in today's ADN, Monegan says that no one from the McCain campaign ever contacted him about Palin.

--Josh Marshall

Search


Climate 'Study' By Non-Scientist Is Right's New Cause Celebre

The Right seized on a report by an EPA analyst -- but its author is an economist who has taken up global warming as a hobby.

Guests Blast Sheriffs For Raid Of Dem Event

Francine Busby and her supporters have begun publicly mobilizing against the San Diego Sheriff's Dept. after it raided a fundraising event with a dog unit and helicopter.

In Big Shocker, Palin Resigns As Governor

Sarah Palin stunned the political world with her announcement that she will resign as governor of Alaska in a few weeks.

Rep. Barton: Obama Should Be Worried About "Carbongate"

The industry-friendly Texas Republican claims an EPA report by a non-scientist threatens to be a major scandal for the president.

Share
Close Social Web Email

"To" Email Address

Your Name

Your Email Address