TPM Editors Blog

Bush Shoe Craze Erupts

Hundreds of thousands of orders pour in for Turkish shoe thrown at President Bush.

Hedge Fund Bail Out

The Fed has set up something called the TALF, the Term Asset-backed Securities Loan Facility, which will offer "low-cost three-year funding to any US company investing in securitized consumer loans" including hedge funds.

Says the Financial Times (reg.req.), "Since the credit crisis erupted, hedge funds have complained that they cannot get the leverage they need to arbitrage away excessive spreads and meet high hurdle rates of return."

Election Central Saturday Roundup

Barack Obama announces his appointees for key science offices -- and in a not-too-subtle swipe at the Bush Administration, promises to make sure that ideology will not trump the facts. That and other political news in today's Election Central Saturday Roundup.

Deep Thought

It's going to take a lot of money to make the rich people rich again.

Picking Up the Pieces

In an internal RNC memo obtained by TPM Election Central, chairman Mike Duncan acknowledges that the GOP has lost its reputation as a "party of ideas" and warns against "falling back on ideology alone."

TPMtv: The Day in 100 Seconds

Backfired

A little recount trickery from Norm Coleman ends up netting more votes for Al Franken.

Straight Outta Blagville

From TPM Reader DM ...

Bill Simmons, a sportswriter for ESPN, coined the term "Tysonic". It refers to Mike Tyson, and applies to anyone who has entered a sphere of existence so bizarre, you will believe any news you hear about them, no matter how absurd. Aside from Mike Tyson, Britney Spears is Tysonic. After the turkey interview, I classify Sarah Palin as Tysonic.

As a native Chicagoan, I say Blogo is definitely Tysonic. If someone told me, "Hear about Blogo? He dressed himself up as Elvis, highjacked an Air Yugo flight from O'Hare to Belgrade, and is now living under the protection of Serbia... And he's formed an exploratory committee for 2016."

I'd pause for a moment and say, "Yeah, that sounds right."


Deep Thought

Are Bristol and Levi married yet?

No Hand Reaching Back

Policy statement from Rick Warren's Saddleback Church ...

"Because membership in a church is an outgrowth of accepting the Lordship and leadership of Jesus in one's life, someone unwilling to repent of their homosexual lifestyle would not be accepted at a member at Saddleback Church."

(ed.note: Special thanks to John Aravosis' Americablog.)

Can't We Please Make Them Go Under?

Sen. Shelby (R-AL) releases statement about auto bailout ...

"The plan the President announced today gives the taxpayer no upfront assurances that these companies will take the steps necessary to become efficient and competitive. In fact, the only assurance the taxpayer has is that these companies will be back for more money soon. It is unrealistic to think that companies who have failed to make tough choices over decades will get their act together now that they have received a down payment from the taxpayer."

"Congress was wrong to grant the Administration the authority to bail out the financial industry through the TARP in the first place. The President is wrong to use this authority to bail out GM and Chrysler. Instead of pursuing the more responsible course to ensure that these companies restructure through Chapter 11 bankruptcy, the President chose to stick the taxpayer with the tab as he walks out the door. I believe it is a shameful attempt by the President to protect his own legacy. The taxpayer will surely remember him for it."

Hmmm. That's One Approach

Blagojevich: "I have done nothing wrong."

Goes on to quote Kipling ...

(Yes, We'll have video soon.)

(ed.note: Special ed.note Deep Thought: Rod Blagojevich may be insane.)

Post-Partisan Discomforts

Greg Sargent explores what the Rick Warren pick does -- and doesn't -- say about Obama's so-called new politics.

Abramoff Crony Safavian Convicted

His original conviction was overturned on appeal, but another jury has now convicted David Safavian on retrial, on all four counts of obstruction of justice and making false statements.

Rick Warren Hearts Syria

Rick Warren's record of public statements isn't holding up very well under scrutiny. The latest: his praise for Syria's tolerance and moderation.

Deep Thought

That $700 billion for TARP was a lot of money.

Top Ten +2

Top Dozen Insights of Conservatives, 2008

You're Kidding, Right?

Over the last few days a number of readers had told me they were picking up hints that the folks fleeced by Bernie Madoff might themselves come calling for a government bailout. I'd been skeptical. But now it seems like that is exactly what may be coming.

Late Update: On a related note, read Krugman's column today on Madoff and whether he was all that much different from the rest of folks on Wall Street making gazillions and running the economy and country into the ground.

Who Is This Guy?

As one of my colleagues just remarked here, Bush is surprisingly lucid and cogent in explaining why bankruptcy is not a viable option for the automakers in the short run and why doing nothing is not viable in the short or long term.

Election Central Morning Roundup

We'll be keeping a close eye today on the Minnesota Senate recount. That and the day's other political news in the TPM Election Central Morning Roundup.

Bush Auto Bailout Plan = Bankruptcy?

The President will announce his plan to "rescue" U.S. automakers at 9 a.m. ET.

Late Update: The WSJ is reporting that the White House has decided to go with $17.4 billion in loans to the carmakers rather than the "orderly" bankruptcy approach.

Into the Deep

Mark Felt, Watergate's 'Deep Throat', dies at 95.

Just Desserts

Norm Coleman appears to be swirling down the drain. And a big reason why is that so many of his challenges -- which had puffed up his lead -- were just completely ridiculous.

This may be the most ridiculous one yet.

A Sure Thing

From the FT ...

Leading banks from Britain, France and Japan helped investors treble or quadruple bets on Bernard Madoff by lending billions of dollars to "feeder" funds, which placed their money with the alleged fraudster.

HSBC, Royal Bank of Scotland, Nomura and BNP Paribas lent the money without spotting a fraud, and in at least one case without due diligence teams visiting Mr Madoff's brokerage, which held the assets.

"Hobgoblin of Little Minds"

The Minnesota Supreme Court ruled earlier this evening on Sen. Norm Coleman's effort to block the counting of certain absentee ballots in the state's protracted Senate recount. Let me start by saying that the opinion (.pdf) is not a model of clarity. The court ruled partly in favor of Coleman, agreeing that certain provisions of state law did not apply under these circumstances. Nonetheless, the court makes an effort, albeit an inelegant one, to craft a method for counting the absentee ballots that are in dispute. Or I should say a method for deciding whether to count the disputed absentee ballots. Herein lies the rub.

The Franken camp, which wants the rejected absentee ballots counted, has issued a statement praising the ruling as calling for all votes to be counted. But it's not readily apparent to me that the court's ruling will have that desired effect.

Let me say directly that I am no expert in Minnesota election law. But as I read through the opinion, I became increasingly uncomfortable with its reasoning. Then I got to the dissent (.pdf, 6th page) written by Alan Page (the former Viking and NFL Hall of Famer), which crystallizes all of the deficiencies of the majority's opinion, which seem to me to generally accrue to Franken's disadvantage, although, again, the Franken people don't see it that way.

The most troubling part of the ruling is the requirement that state and local election officials and both campaigns must all agree that an absentee ballot was mistakenly rejected in order for it now to be included in the recount. Think about that for a minute. The court seems to recognize the potential for mischief here and puts the campaigns on notice that it will impose sanctions for not acting in good faith. Good luck with that.

TPMtv: The Day in 100 Seconds

Franken's To Lose

The Coleman-Franken Recount has gone on for so long and there have been so many back and forths that for a lot of us it's all become a blur.

But over the last 48 hours, it's become increasingly clear that Al Franken is the odds on favorite to be the next senator from Minnesota.

Initial Reaction

SEIU president Andy Stern is all aglow about Rep. Hilda Solis (D-CA) as Obama's pick for secretary of labor.

Todd To the White House?

MSNBC is announcing that Chuck Todd has just been appointed chief White House correspondent for NBC News.

I must saytodd-blog.jpg I did not expect that. And it seems like an odd choice. Not a bad choice, but not at all what I would have expected from them.

Let me be clear. I'm a big, big fan of Chuck Todd. In addition to being a very shrewd political analyst. He's a great generational turnover from a cadre that's mainly in its 50s and 60s.

But I don't think of him as a beat reporter like that, more of an analyst, an explainer of the details of the whole political scene.

It may be an inspired choice. Just for political smarts I think Todd probably blows away all the competitors for the slot. But not a choice I expected, though even as I write this post I'm starting to warm to the idea.

Thoughts?

Late Update: Grooming him for the future? TPM Reader DC writes, "expanding the resume. More things to come in 3-4 years?"

Later Update: TPM Reader JP's thinking along similar line: "Put me in the "grooming him for the future" column. He's obviously the most talented observer of the political scene on TV today (setting up so many embarrassing interludes with the ignorant Tweety over the last cycle that I lost count). NBC missed a big opportunity in not slotting him right into the Meet The Press Slot. He's miles in front of David Gregory."

Did Everyone Know?

In the midst of a scandal like the Madoff story, we need to on guard for a lot of people saying they saw it coming all along even though that's the furthest thing from the truth. But there's enough information out there to suggest that within the small and parochial community of people with the technical knowledge to understand this stuff Madoff's fall from grace did not come as a big surprise.

Though I can't give many details of the identity of the person since the industry is so small, a known reader passes on word from a hedge-fund analyst at one of the big (remaining) financial services powerhouses who says that Madoff was always on their short list of people he and his colleagues thought were crooks.

A bit more concretely, let's go back to Harry Markopolos, the money manager and financial fraud investigator who'd been blowing whistles on Madoff for almost a decade. In the report he submitted to the SEC in 2005, in addition to complex mathematical analyses showing that Madoff's system couldn't work, he said that "I have also spoken to the heads of various Wall Street equity derivative trading desks and every single one of the senior managers I spoke with told me that Bernie Madoff was a fraud."

Again, people say a lot of things, and hindsight is 20/20. But I'm seeing enough stuff like this to make me think that for a lot of people this was no surprise at all.

Labor

AP: Rep. Hilda Solis to be Labor Secretary nominee.

Another Contender

TPM Reader EC says that Richard Whitney, who I mentioned a few days ago as a Depression-Era Bernie Madoff, doesn't hold a candle to another contender, Ivar Kreuger, whose fraud was so vast he actually precipitated a reasonably sized market crash in 1933.

Obama On Rick Warren

TPMtv: After Torture, Part III

At the recent Harper's-NYU forum on how to deal with Bush-era war crimes, TPMtv caught up with Center for Constitutional Rights president Michael Ratner, who has worked on torture prosecutions of Donald Rumsfeld in Europe. Ratner gives the rundown of future travel options for the Cheneys, Yoos, and Addingtons of the Bush Administration: France, maybe. Germany, harder to say. Italy and Spain? Not so much ...

Full-size video at TPMtv.com.

Election Central Morning Roundup

This morning in Chicago Obama rolls out the appointments of a couple of key financial regulators. That and the day's other news in the TPM Election Central Morning Roundup.

Missed Warning Signs

A veteran SEC enforcement official tells TPMmuckraker that Bernie Madoff's operation raised at least three "classic red flags" that should have prompted the SEC to take a closer look.

Harry Markopolos

Lurking in the background of the blossoming Madoff scandal has been the name Harry Markopolos, a money manager and investment investigator who began pushing the SEC to investigate Madoff almost a decade ago. Tonight the Journal has a lengthy article out describing Markopolos's quest and -- even more interesting -- the documents Markopolos submitted to the SEC to show that Madoff's record of consistent low-double-digit returns simply couldn't be legit. Unfortunately, it's behind their fire wall. But if you've got a subscription, definitely take a look.

Late Update: You can see Markopolos's original filing with the SEC here.

A Second Republican

Bloomberg says Obama is likely to tap Illinois Rep. Ray LaHood as Transportation Secretary.

Transportation is a famously disrespected Department, in the sense of being a high or low profile appointment. That's where Bush put his token Dem, Norm Mineta. But given Obama's expected emphasis on infrastructure and green transportation technologies, there's probably more significance to the pick that has recently been the case.

TPMtv: The Day in 100 Seconds

Do It

Lawyers for John Walker Lindh (the 'American Taliban'), who has now spent seven years in prison, are asking President Bush to commute his sentence. Not expecting a lot of agreements. And I don't think it's particularly likely. But I think it's the right thing to do.

Very Prescient

A lot of rich people have taken a bath courtesy of Bernie Madoff's scam. And a long list of Jewish foundations and charities have been devastated because so many of them put their foundations' endowment money in his hands for safe-keeping.

But it turns out that when it came to their own foundations, his sons knew not to have their dad manage the money.

They invested their foundations' assets with a subsidiary of Lehman Brothers.

Not Everyone Happy With Vilsack Pick

From a press release from the Organic Consumers Association:

Today's announcement that former Iowa Governor, Tom Vilsack, has been selected as the new Secretary of Agriculture sent a chill through the sustainable food and farming community who have been lobbying for a champion in the new administration.

"Vilsack's nomination sends the message that dangerous, untested, unlabeled genetically engineered crops will be the norm in the Obama Administration," said Ronnie Cummins, Executive Director of Organic Consumers Association. "Our nation's future depends on crafting a forward-thinking strategy to promote organic and sustainable food and farming, and address the related crises of climate change, diminishing energy supplies, deteriorating public health, and economic depression."


Ignore Them

From the Times Mag's piece on Robert Gibbs which is coming out this weekend ...

The paradox of this scene was that the Obama campaign's communications strategy was predicated in part on an aggressive indifference to this insider set. Staff members were encouraged to ignore new Web sites like The Page, written by Time's Mark Halperin, and Politico, both of which had gained instant cachet among the Washington smarty-pants set. "If Politico and Halperin say we're winning, we're losing," Obama's campaign manager, David Plouffe, would repeat mantralike around headquarters. He said his least favorite words in the English language were, "I saw someone on cable say this. . . ."

Late Update: In the real world, the Obama campaign lavished far better treatment on Politico than the liberal blogs ever received. --gs

Dr. Evil Versus The Unions

Meet a leading foe of the labor unions as they prepare for their big battle over the Employee Free Choice Act: A business rep who's known as the "Dr. Evil" of D.C. lobbyists.

We'll be hearing a lot from him soon enough.

TPMtv: The Best Of... 2008 General Election

Over Thanksgiving we gave you our best of the primary season election reel... Now, in honor of the winter holidays, we've combed through hours of election speeches, debates, and election brouhaha to bring you The Best Of... 2008 General Election. Strap on your seatbelts, TPMtv viewers:

Full-size video at TPMtv.com.

What Did He Actually Do?

Over the last few days, as we've been devoting a lot of coverage to the Bernard Madoff story, a number of readers have written in to say, "You're saying all this stuff about how he kept his scheme hidden. But you haven't been clear enough on what he actually did."

So let me try to clear this up, or explain why I don't think we really can clear it up yet.

The truth is that as yet we know very, very little about just what Madoff was doing or where the money went. One of the few official reports was in yesterday's statement from SEC Chairman Christopher Cox which noted that Madoff kept several sets of false books, etc. But that's hardly surprising.

Most of the assumptions stem from Madoff's own words describing it as a "Ponzi scheme" and his confession that he'd swindled some $50 billion. But calling something a Ponzi scheme covers a lot of territory. And it doesn't tell us that much in terms of where all the money went, whether it was a scam from the git-go or evolved into one, or much of any detail, etc.

I would also suggest one further note of caution, though this is much more speculative.

On its face Madoff is confessing to everything. He's saying he's a fraud and he swindled people out of $50 billion. So it's hard to see what he's holding back. That said, he appears to be maintaining the pretense that he managed the entire swindle on his own -- that none of the family members who were intimately involved in running the fraudulent part of his operation had any idea what he was doing. And that seems preposterous on its face.

It's understandable that he wouldn't want to pull his whole family down, and that his family wouldn't want to be pulled either. But I think it's worth keeping open the possibility that behind Madoff's maximal confession of guilt -- and in addition to wanting to protect his family -- there's more people he's trying to protect or secrets he's trying to hide.

Election Central Morning Roundup

Interior and Ag secretaries expected to be unveiled at this morning's Obama presser: Salazar and Vilsack, respectively. That and the day's other political news in the TPM Election Central Morning Roundup.

A Close Look

The Journal (sub.req.) says that the SEC IG investigation mentioned below will likely scrutinize the relationship between Madoff neice, Shana Madoff, who was the firm's chief securities compliance counsel and Eric Swanson, a senior inspections and compliance official at the SEC until he left in 2006.

Madoff and Swanson married last year.

Word from the SEC

From the statement released late today by SEC Chairman Christopher Cox ...

A bit of information on just how Madoff operated ...

Although the information I can share regarding an ongoing investigation is limited, progress to date indicates that Mr. Madoff kept several sets of books and false documents, and provided false information involving his advisory activities to investors and to regulators.

And what the SEC's internal review has come up with so far ...

Since Commissioners were first informed of the Madoff investigation last week, the Commission has met multiple times on an emergency basis to seek answers to the question of how Mr. Madoff's vast scheme remained undetected by regulators and law enforcement for so long. Our initial findings have been deeply troubling. The Commission has learned that credible and specific allegations regarding Mr. Madoff's financial wrongdoing, going back to at least 1999, were repeatedly brought to the attention of SEC staff, but were never recommended to the Commission for action. I am gravely concerned by the apparent multiple failures over at least a decade to thoroughly investigate these allegations or at any point to seek formal authority to pursue them. Moreover, a consequence of the failure to seek a formal order of investigation from the Commission is that subpoena power was not used to obtain information, but rather the staff relied upon information voluntarily produced by Mr. Madoff and his firm.

Cox has initiated an SEC Inspector General's investigation into why red flags about Madoff's operation went unheeded with the "mandatory recusal from the ongoing investigation of matters related to SEC v. Madoff of any SEC staff who have had more than insubstantial personal contacts with Mr. Madoff or his family."

Good Times for Goldman!

Goldman Sachs moves into the coveted 1% tax bracket.

TPMtv: The Day in 100 Seconds

Back to the 90s ...

Senate Republicans ask for documents on Eric Holder's role in the Elian Gonzales case.

Madoff: I'm Very Close With the Regulators

Deep Thought

Throwing a shoe at someone doesn't signal respect in the Arab world the way it does in ours.

TPMtv: Meet the 2008 Dukes Judges!

There's just one more day to send in your nominations for the 2008 Golden Duke Awards. Today, we meet the judges who will choose the winners.

Full-size video at TPMtv.com.

Seriously. Do Not Miss This

Like with children, I don't like to play favorites with the Book Clubs we host over at TPMCafe. But this one, because of the personnel and the especially because of the timeliness of the subject matter is one you really don't want to miss. We're discussing the rereleased version Paul Krugman's The Return of Depression Economics and Crisis of 2008. We're discussing it with Krugman, Bob Reich, Brad DeLong, Mark Thoma, Susan Feiner, Jo-Ann Mort, Dana Chasin and Dean Baker. Click here to join the conversation.

The Toothless Mink

Rep. Don Young (R-AK), ousted as ranking member of the Natural Resources Committee, tells Politico he has a plan: ". . . what they don't know is, I'm going to go back and kick their ass."

Picking Apart Madoff

Over the last few days I've been chatting with various folks who did business in one form or another with Bernie Madoff's firm. And it seems clear that there were numerous aspects of his operation -- not just the weirdly consistent returns, but the mechanics of the operation -- that gave ample reason to question what Madoff was up to. These inside views -- or views on the margin -- are very helpful in allowing us to piece all this together (of course, your confidentiality will be guaranteed). But for those who are keeping track, the oddest thing about the story so far is how the SEC was alerted repeatedly over the last decade of potential problems with the investment arm of Madoff's operation. They actually did open a few looks into his firm. But they never seemed to look in the right places. They'd look at the non-problematic part of the operation and not the part on the 17th floor where all the weird stuff was going on. Or they'd push for changes that would give them greater access to his books and then never follow up on that greater access.

Astronomers can't see black holes directly. They identify them by inferring their existence by their gravitational effect on nearby celestial bodies. And I'm similarly curious what's the gravitational force that appears to have kept the SEC from giving Madoff a good hard look.

Union Busting

A pro-business group is sinking more than $1 million into a TV ad set to run in Arkansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, and Colorado, linking Gov. Blagojevich to Senate Democrats and "union bosses." All timed to sway opinion on labor's No. 1 legislative priority: the Employee Free Choice Act.

Staying Quiet

Hillary's office tells that she won't be weighing in publicly on who should be her successor in the Senate.

The other point to be made here is that a junior senator isn't likely to have much sway in choosing her successor. Chuck Schumer, on the other hand ...

Hmmm ...

Politico has more about the Madoff scandal:

But lobbying is just a piece of Madoff's influence in Washington. His family has contributed nearly $400,000 to political committees. And his niece, Shana Madoff Swanson, who serves as a compliance attorney at his firm, is married to a former high-ranking Securities and Exchange Commission official, Eric Swanson.

Swanson was the assistant director in the SEC's Office of Compliance Inspections and Examinations' market oversight unit in Washington. According to his biography, Swanson "supervised and conducted inspections and examinations that involved a wide range of issues including best execution, order handling, insider trading [and] market manipulation."

The SEC has come under criticism for not following up on tips that Madoff's investment returns seemed suspicious. Mr. Swanson left the SEC in 2006. He married Madoff's niece the next year. He now works at a firm called BATS Exchange, which describes itself as "the third-largest stock exchange" in the United States, behind the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq.

A spokesman for BATS said: "Eric Swanson worked at the SEC for 10 years and did not participate in any inquiry of Bernard Madoff Securities or its affiliates while involved in a relationship with Shana, whom he met through her trade association work in the industry. They were married in 2007. Throughout his career, Eric has displayed the highest ethical standards and his reputation has been -- and continues to be -- above reproach."

At the SEC, Lori Richards, director of compliance inspections and examinations, said Swanson was a member of an exam team that reviewed the Madoff broker-dealer in 1999 and 2004, but did not participate in the 2005 exam of the broker-dealer firm by the New York office.

"In any event," she said, "he SEC has very strict rules prohibiting SEC staff from participating in matters involving firms where they have a personal interest. Subsequently, Mr. Swanson did not work on any other examination matters involving the Madoff firm before leaving the agency."

Election Central Morning Roundup

The Minnesota canvassing board gets down to the nitty gritty today, weighing in on the ballots challenged by the Franken and Coleman campaigns. That and the day's other political news in the TPM Election Central Morning Roundup.

Coleman Lawyerin' Up

From the Strib ...

Four of Minnesota's biggest legal guns have cast their shadows over two lawsuits that have drawn the attention of the FBI.

They have been retained by U.S. Sen. Norm Coleman; his wife, Laurie; Jim Hays, her insurance company employer; and Nasser Kazeminy, a multi-millionaire friend of the Colemans who is accused in the lawsuits of sending them money in 2007 through Hays' company. Coleman's Senate ethics form reports no such payment.


Senate Must Not Be Much Fun

Sen. Ken Salazar (D-CO) will be President-Elect Obama's nominee for the Interior Department.

(To be clear, Interior is a very big deal for Western states like Colorado. I'm well aware of that. But I continue to be surprised how many relatively young senators -- Salazar is 53 and he was elected in 2004 -- are willing to give up their seats to serve in Obama's cabinet.)

A Depression Era Madoff?

Certainly many details differ. But, as TPM Reader EG notes, the story of Richard Whitney (an overview of whose life I've copied from his wikipedia entry) was at least broadly reminiscent of the unfolding story of Bernard Madoff ...

Richard Whitney (August 1, 1888 - December 5, 1974), was an American financier, president of the New York Stock Exchange 1930-1935, and a convicted embezzler.

...

At the same time that Richard Whitney was achieving great success, his brother George had also prospered at Morgan bank and by 1930 had been anointed as the likely successor to bank president, Thomas W. Lamont. While Richard Whitney was assumed to be a brilliant financier, he in fact had personally been involved with speculative investments in a variety of businesses and had sustained considerable losses. To stay afloat, he began borrowing heavily from his brother George as well as other wealthy friends. After obtaining loans from as many people as he could, Richard Whitney turned to embezzlement to cover his mounting business losses and to maintain his extravagant lifestyle. He stole funds from the New York Stock Exchange Gratuity Fund as well as from the New York Yacht Club where he served as the Treasurer. In addition, he stole $800,000 worth of bonds from his father-in-law's estate.

Having retired as President of the NYSE in 1935, Whitney remained on the board of governors but in early March 1938 his past began to catch up to him when the comptroller for the NYSE reported to his superiors that he had established absolute proof that Richard Whitney was an embezzler and that his company was insolvent. Within days, events snowballed and Whitney and his company would both declare bankruptcy. An astonished public learned of his misdeeds when on March 10 he was officially charged with embezzlement by New York County District Attorney Thomas E. Dewey. Following his indictment by a Grand Jury, Richard Whitney was arrested, and eventually pleaded guilty. He was sentenced to a term of five to ten years in Sing Sing prison. On April 12, 1938, six thousand people turned up at Grand Central Station to watch as a scion of the Wall Street Establishment was escorted in handcuffs by armed guards onto a train that delivered him to prison.

Pre-order

That will be quite a book. David Remnick is writing on Obama, race and American politics.

TPMtv: The Day in 100 Seconds

How Deep The Rabbit Hole Goes

Paul Krugman's bookclubbing with us this week at TPMCafe on his latest book, The Return Of Depression Economics And The Crisis Of 2008.

From Paul's first post:

"Right now the world economy is in a nosedive, and understanding what I call "depression economics" -- the weird world you get into when even a zero interest rate isn't low enough, and a messed-up financial system is dragging down the real economy -- is essential if we're going to avoid the worst."

Examining that weird world along with Paul are Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research; Brad DeLong, professor of economics at UC Berkeley, and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Treasury in the Clinton Administration; Robert Reich, professor at UC Berkeley's Goldman School of Public Policy, and former U.S. Secretary of Labor from 1993 to 1997; Dana Chasin, Senior Policy Advisor at OMB Watch; Jo-Ann Mort, the founder and CEO of ChangeCommunications, Randall Wray, professor of economics and research director at the Center for Full Employment and Price Stability at the University of Missouri-Kansas City; Mark Thoma, associate professor of economics at the University of Oregon; and Susan Feiner, professor of economics and women's and gender Studies at the University of Southern Maine.

Join us.

Looking for Respectability

Former RNC oppo research director turned Rove aide turned U.S. attorney scandal appointee Tim Griffin considering U.S. Senate run in Arkansas.

From Swampland to EEOB

Time's Jay Carney to become Joe Biden's communications director.

Priceless

From the AP:

"Rice: Bush approach best to achieve Mideast peace"

Don't Plug the Tubes

Reacting to today's WSJ story, the Obama team tells TPM Election Central that his commitment to net neutrality has not softened.

Sweet Deal

One of the key details behind the prosecution of the Duke Cunningham case was that Mitch Wade went straight to the authorities on like Day One of the scandal. I'd need to go back to my reporting notes to get the exact timeline. But basically from the moment it was clear that Duke had some serious explaining to do, Wade was there at the US Attorneys office, 'fessing up and asking what he could do to help.

That's got to be the best practices approach to how to come out of one of these scandals without spending a good chunk of the rest of your life in prison. But I'd say he did about as well from this sentence as you could possibly imagine. Wade flagrantly and repeatedly bribed a sitting member of Congress and he's going to do 2.5 years in prison.


Lotta Help

Mitchell Wade sentenced to 30 months, $250,000 fine.

TPMtv: Sunday Show Roundup: Bad Haircuts, Financial Haircuts, and Missed by a Hair

On the Sunday shows yesterday it was all Blagojevich and the failed auto bailout. Plus a bonus teaser of an unusual occurrence at a presidential press conference in Baghdad...

Full-size video at TPMtv.com.

Bush: "So What If the Guy Threw a Shoe At Me?"

The shoe-hurling was pretty gripping video, but Bush's reaction and subsequent riff on what free societies are all about is worth watching, too:

Don't We Have Laws ...

to cover stuff like this?

From the WaPo ...

Meanwhile, Paulson repeatedly told lawmakers that he did not plan to use bailout funds to inject capital directly into financial institutions. Privately, however, his staff was developing plans to do just that, Paulson acknowledged in an interview.

Publishing Intern

TPM brings on a new class of interns each season. Right now we've taken our Winter applications, but we're putting out a special call for a TPM Publishing Intern. We're looking specifically for someone with some nice design and tech skills to work with us creating special projects and helping us out with site development. Ideally this candidate will be an html and css ninja, have some Photoshop and Flash chops and maybe have dabbled in javascript or php.

Winter cycle interns will work closely on projects relating to the presidential transition and the start of the new Congress.

For more details, click here.

Why is Carly Fiorina still on TV?

Election Central Morning Roundup

Illinois struggles with how to fill Barack Obama's empty Senate seat now that Rod Blagojevich is so thoroughly discredited. That and the day's other political news in the TPM Election Central Morning Roundup.

Net Neutrality Coalition Crumbling?

From the Wall Street Journal (sub. req.):

Google Inc. has approached major cable and phone companies that carry Internet traffic with a proposal to create a fast lane for its own content, according to documents reviewed by The Wall Street Journal. Google has traditionally been one of the loudest advocates of equal network access for all content providers. ...

One major cable operator in talks with Google says it has been reluctant so far to strike a deal because of concern it might violate Federal Communications Commission guidelines on network neutrality.

"If we did this, Washington would be on fire," says one executive at the cable company who is familiar with the talks, referring to the likely reaction of regulators and lawmakers.

Separately, Microsoft Corp. and Yahoo Inc. have withdrawn quietly from a coalition formed two years ago to protect network neutrality. Each company has forged partnerships with the phone and cable companies. In addition, prominent Internet scholars, some of whom have advised President-elect Barack Obama on technology issues, have softened their views on the subject.

Late Update: A pretty fierce reaction/denial from Google, which you might expect, but also from Larry Lessig, who is quoted in the Journal piece:

Missing from the article, however, is the evidence that my view is a "shift" or "soften[ing]" of earlier views. That's because there isn't any such evidence. My view is the view I have always had -- whether or not it is the view of others in this debate.

Now no doubt my position might be wrong. Some friends in the network neutrality movement as well as some scholars believe it is wrong -- that it doesn't go far enough. But the suggestion that the position is "recent" is baseless. If I'm wrong, I've always been wrong.

Late Late Update: Another aspect of the Journal report that is being disputed is whether Obama has softened/shifted his position on net neutrality.

Don't Ask

In a now much-cited 2001 article (MAR-Hedge (RIP) No. 89 May 2001) raising questions about Bernard Madoff's improbably consistent rates of return, here's how Madoff himself addressed doubts by many in the industry who said his numbers just didn't add up ...

Madoff, who believes that he deserves "some credibility as a trader for 40 years," says: "The strategy is the strategy and the returns are the returns." He suggests that those who believe there is something more to it and are seeking an answer beyond that are wasting their time.

Mort Zuckerman

Another big name who apparently took a bath courtesy of Bernard Madoff.

Troubling Thought

Like most of us, if I'm honest with myself, I really only know how Secret Service protection works from the movies or how, going on my own common sense, I figure it works. The folks who protect the president are professionals. So I want to be extremely tentative and cautious about second-guessing their work from a bit of news video that leaves many key details unanswered.

But watching the video of the Iraqi journalist throwing his shoes at President Bush, I could not help but notice that it took an uncomfortably long period of time for anyone to get to the assailant and, even more, much longer than I would have expected for anyone who looked like Secret Service to get to the president and block his body or get him out of harm's way.

I guess the point here is that this was a very confined space. Presumably the Secret Service controlled access to the degree that they were confident there were no unauthorized weapons in the room. And they wouldn't have to worry about someone with a gun at a greater distance. So they may have been less worried about jumping in front of the president, etc.

Maybe I'm just over-analyzing this. And obviously a president can't be under lock and key at all moments, with Secret Service agents ready to throw him to the floor at a moment's notice. But for an American president, any moment in Iraq has to be considered a very high risk situation. So it did make me wonder.

On a totally unrelated note, I was genuinely impressed by the president's quick ducking response. In all seriousness, if you watch the video, the guy was extremely close to the president (maybe fifteen feet?). He threw the shoe very hard and very accurately. Given how out of the blue the whole bizarre incident was I think the reporter would have beaned most other folks in that situation.

Bush Dodges Shoes Thrown by Iraqi Journalist

Golden Dukes Judges

We'll be doing an official announcement on Monday. But just between you and me, this year's judges are ... Rick Hertzberg, Susie Bright, John Dean, Dahlia Lithwick and TPM alums Paul Kiel and Spencer Ackerman.

The Battle Continues

Weisberg takes a stab at the 'what's the most crooked state' contest.

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