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Free trade and the Democratic Party


And a tactical policy to oppose the most important agreements – those with developing nations – for all the usual reasons is no policy at all. That's not to say that these aren't genuine issues, just that their die-hard opponents in the Democratic camp don't really have workable solutions to them - except to kill trade agreements.

In the long run, that's a losing electoral strategy as well. Opposition to free trade is heavily interest-group driven, and the traditional urge to throw bones to dozens of groups is something the Democrats should think twice about before they make it a centerpiece of their economic policy. As Kerry found out, it's hard to integrate the anti-trade position into a forward-looking message for the Democratic Party.


The TPM Cafe site is running anti-CAFTA advertising - I'm sure that doesn't imply a universal endorsement of that position by the site. But what's happened to the pro free-trade Democrats, here and elsewhere?

washyourbowl.blogspot.com


30 Comments

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I hope people would know that TPMCafe, like TPM, takes paid advertisements of all political persuasions and views.  While we withhold the right to reject ads on the basis of appropriateness, we try to do so as narrowly as possible.  By way of example, we ran an ad for a book by Ann Coulter last fall from Newsmax.  So, you can't assume anything about the views of the editors from the ads that appear on the site, either on the right or the left. 

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The Democrats are not responsible for the failure of CAFTA. The GOP killed CAFTA, when they chose to write it behind closed partisan doors and present it to Congress as a fait acompli. This is not a symptom of Democrats becoming less pro-trade, this is a symptom of Congress becoming more partisan and less open to compromise.

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I am not aware that CAFTA is dead yet afterall Bush needs a victory. Besides Democrats opposed NAFTA on almost the same grounds except that Clinton and Gore really worked to get it passed.

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Have you noticed that Free-traders always present the issue as "You are either with us or against us."?  


Whatever happened to evaluating a free trade agreement on its individual merits?  Why can't critics say, "Look, I'm not against free trade.  I'm just against this agreement."  


The usual response goes something like this: "If you oppose this agreement, you'll set the whole free trade cause back for years.  So get on board."  I love how globalization is called "unstoppable," except when someone is opposing an agreement, at which point, the whole free trade enterprise becomes imperiled.  


This is ridiculous.  There is such a thing as a free trade agreement that isn't worth signing.  For instance, I'm against any trade agreement that doesn't guarantee rights to collective bargaining.  Does that make me anti-trade?

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The Dude's right, though I would take the argument one small step farther by doing away with the canard "free trade."  Look, Ricardo was right.  Trade is good and more trade is better than less trade, but there's no such thing as "free trade." 

Trade agreements like CAFTA, NAFTA, et.al. are explicitly written by people so as to benefit the interests these people represent--usually at the expense of less powerful interests.   Those who uphold these agreements as paeans to some lofty ideal are just blowing smoke.  Recall how quickly Mr. Bush backed tariffs on steel and softwood lumber prior to the 2002 midterm elections in order to protect Republican congressional candidates in Pennsylvania and the Pacific Northwest, respectively.

As mjshep writes farther down this thread, the issue here is fair trade, not free trade.  Any acceptable treaty must include provisions to level the field in terms of workers' rights and environmental standards.  

The Democrats who voted in favor of CAFTA once again sold out the people they ostensibly represent.  Once again, they sicken me.

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>>>CAFTA, NAFTA, et.al. are explicitly written by people so as to benefit the interests these people represent--usually at the expense of less powerful interests.

---- You got it! Good comment. The way to get around this is with a flat tariff.

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"The Democrats who voted in favor of CAFTA once again sold out the people they ostensibly represent. Once again, they sicken me."

Me too. If you look closely at the vote count you'll see that it's likely the handful of Democrats who voted for CAFTA likely made the difference in it passing. And one of that handful was my represente-for-life, she of the public teat, Dianne Feinstein. Gerrymandering in Texas has nothing on gerrymandering in California.

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Dianne Feinstein is a senator. Senators represent entire states. Their districts cannot be gerrymandered.

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It is entirely appropriate for Democrats to oppose the kinds of free trade agreements currently being negotiated. The reason is that the US, the EU, and Japan have typically brought in the representatives of their large economic sectors (corporations, agribusiness, etc.) and handed the process over to them.

The result is that NAFTA, the GATT, and CAFTA are, in effect, agreements among corporations on how to divide up the world. They are not free trade agreements, as much of the language in these agreements is in direct opposition to free trade: for example, India was recently pressured to stop competing with American and European companies by producing cheaper AIDS drugs. The result is that there will be thousands, maybe hundreds of thousands, of additional deaths. The GATT attempts to establish patents as a right, when the US constitution presents them as a tradeoff, a mechanism designed to "promote progress in science and useful arts".

Because "free trade" allows capital to cross borders but keeps labor imprisoned on one side or the other, minimum standards for labor are a requirement to keep "free trade" from promoting a race to the bottom. Labor practices in Central America (in Honduras in particular) involve breaking up union organizing efforts at gunpoint, and the arrest of labor activists as "subversives". CAFTA forces privatization and the loss of union protection on Central America.

Free trade agreements between countries that are at rough economic parity is a good thing. So is giving access to markets in the developed world to producers in the developing world, provided that workers in the developing world are protected from exploitation.

And there's some good news; a bloc of third world nations headed up by Brazil is pushing for reform of the WTO, and is insisting that new free trade agreements be more balanced and democratic. It's no accident that Brazil has hosted the World Social Forum, which pushes a social rather that a neoliberal approach to globalization.

 

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The Washington Post article you link to is a joke. Ezra Klein tears apart the article here.

Moreover, the fact is that DR-CAFTA is a horrible trade treaty full of bonuses to pharmaceutical companies and ways to decrease labor standards throughout Central America.

For a more in-depth look at the biggest problems with DR-CAFTA, please see my post about it on my weblog or the article I wrote on it for Thought Mechanics.

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The Democratic Party's ability to appeal to what was once referred to as the working class, depends on the Party's credibility on solidarity issues, on "we're all in this together" issues. Those who argue, correctly imo, that international trade is a good thing, need to respect the Party's need to demonstrate that its FIRST committment is to solidarity with the middle class, and that free trade is a means to that end. Economists and other technocrats on the Democratic side of the aisle could help with that by refraining from condescending. And, they could get serious about figuring out how trade negotiations and industrial policy at home translate into improving the terms of trade for the U.S.

Right now, the best thing the Democrats can do, is to criticize the corrupt Republicans for negotiating a trade agreement, which has nothing for average Americans, or even average central Americans, and everything for capital and business.  All "free trade" agreements are not created equal, and the kind of "free trade" agreement, which corrupt Republicans will negotiate is something Democrats, in solidarity with the middle class, will have to reject.

Democratic economists and technocrats need to get with the program.

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We are here! We are here!

But moves toward freer trade do need to be accompanied by policies that protect potential significant losers here at home even if they are not sugar barons who give big campaign contributions to Republicans. And moves away from sane intellectual property management systems in the interest of fattening profits of IP-holding firms shouldn't be sold as "free trade."

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The basic problems with the notion of compensation and re-training boil down to questions of power and logistics. Once these trade agreements are signed, the wealthy interests behind them gain more goodies and power out of which they are supposed to compensate everybody and bring us to Pareto optimality fantasy land. Unfortunately the strong in such situations tend to use their power to reject compensation. What will stop them from doing the same thing this time?

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I think the Democratic Party should fully support "free trade" within the framework of balanced trade. In other words, make it so that the US will have a net zero balance of trade with the rest of the world.

Give the rest of the world trade credits, essentially in the amount of US goods allowed into that country, that can be used to send products to the US. Give extra credits to developing countries.

Allow these credits to be traded among other countries. For instance, if Germany wants to send more Mercedes luxury cars here, they will have to buy credits from some other nation that doesn't need their US trade credits.

I would have the balanced trade apply only to trade based on foreign labor. A foreign company that builds a Mercedes plant in the US and uses US labor would not have that counted against their trade credits.

Okay, this is just a rough suggestyion, but I think we could acomplish a lot of things that would help labor here, and help labor elsewhere in the developing world, with such a system.

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Once America reaches the point where other countries will no longer loan us money to buy their goods, the result of all this wonderful free trade on the US will become apparent. Our industries are gone, our infrastructure is shot, many valuable assets are owned by other countries, the interest on our debt is crippling, and the masterminds of this strategy are living like kings.

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It's simple.


The issue isn't free trade. It's fair trade.



Fair trade means agreements where the environment is protected so some nations cannot unfairly undercut competetion by ignoring environmental standards so that the whole planet suffers.


Fair trade means protection for worker's rights so some nations can not use near slave labor and exploited labor to undercut competition from nations that respect an individuals right to a decent wage and decent working conditions. This doesn't mean that low wage nations will prohibited from using low wage labor. It means that in the context of that nation's wage and living standard structure workers will be treated fairly.


Fair trade means that governments will be prohibited from using anti-competitive practices in taxation and subsidies to distort markets.


Fair trade means that these protections are written into trade agreements in an unambiguous and enforceable way, or that agreement gets no support.


It's fair trade, not free trade.


Got it? now repeat: It's fair trade, not free trade.

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I'm with The Dude on this one. I'm really getting tired of the Bush "if you're not with us you're against us" mentality, and if Democrats adopt it, then we've sold our souls for--well, for what, exactly?

That said, we've got to be better about expressing our disagreements so that we're not demagogued to death the way we were on the Homeland Security Department in 2002.

This aggression will not stand, man. The Dude abides.

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I wrote about this topic in my blog a few weeks back. My premise is that it is not helpful for Democrats to oppose improvements in economic efficiency that comes from free trade and automation in the name of protectionism. However, the Republicans are worse on this matter because one essential element of accepting free trade and automation is the need for a social safety net (social insurance or economic security in the recent terminology) to allow those who are displaced in the changing economy to survive and retrain towards the new economy.

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Any trade agreement that doesn't export American values of collective bargaining, a minimum wage, reasonable work week, and a clean environment should be dead on arrival.  What's so unrealistic or unreasonable about that position?

We can either use our economic, political and military capital to improve the world or milk it for its cheap labor.

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Come to Ohio and Michigan and I'll show you the downside of free trade.

 

Change is ineveitable. How we manage change is up to us.

 

So far, failure. 

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I don't think there's any such thing as free trade. But let's admit it: there are plenty of Dems who don't want trade because they don't want people to make money and buy stuff. I know that's not everybody, but it's plenty.
 
There are people who don't want you to buy an SUV because they don't like other people having bigger, nicer cars.

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Well, basically, wellbasically, that's a lot of horse-hockey. 

I don't give a damn what you drive, but when you talk about people buying stuff - which people are you talking about?  No I don't want you coming in, tearing down three bungalows so you can build a McMansion that blocks all my sun, but I don't really care what you drive. 

I don't like people who make their money arbitraging jobs out of America buying oversized mansions that require a staff of servants.  I admit it, but it's not because I care where they live, but instead, because they're making it harder for the rest of us to survive.

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Look, in principle I support free trade, and am by no means a fan of tariffs.


But I think the doctrinaire "Washington consensus" type liberals have their head in the sand on free trade just as much as do people advocating tariffs. In some ways, there worse because they smugly assume they "know better" because they've taken some college level economics courses than "unenlightened" anti-globalization types.

First off, how did the US become a great industrial power? By having a policy of high tariffs - which was a major plank of the GOP between the Civil War and the New Deal. I never see any "free traders" explain this. I'm not saying this should be the US's policy today, but I think this little historical fact is something that really needs to be addressed.

Secondly, just how many countries have succeeded by adopting the provisions mandated by the said "Washington Consensus"? How is Mexico doing since NAFTA - been to Ciudad Juarez or Tijuana recently? Why has virtually all of Latin American turned leftward in the last 10 years?

Finally, lets look at the at those formerly poor countries that have become wealthy in the last 50 years or so. South Korea and Taiwan are two good examples that spring to mind. How did they do? Well, yes, certainly in part through trade: but not through the kinds of trade agreements CAFTA is enshrining or the kinds of economic policies advocated by the WTO and World Bank. These governments have achieved success because they have been able to have a great deal of control over their economies through controlling government spending, labor relations, and infrastructure building, and the kinds of foreign investment they allow. If the government or state into which foreign capital flows is too weak to control what happens once it gets there, the multinationals are simply going to exploit the locals as cheap labor until the cows come home. In other words, free trade's ability to enrich the global poor is always contingent.

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As others have pointed out above, it isn't Joe Sixpack who gets 'free trade'; it's the corporate interests. They get the vast majority of the benefits, and we get 'always low prices' at Wallyworld - and lost jobs, and downward pressure on wages.

We should make it clear that we've got nothing against free trade - but part of the price is that the benefits of free trade must be widely shared.  Greater protection of the right to unionize, both abroad and here at home, should be part of the deal, IMHO.

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I'm a free trade Democrat. I supported NAFTA. However, I decided, on reflection, that that might have been a mistake, not because my views about free trade changed, but because I found out about NAFTA's odious Chapter 11, which allows companies to sue countries for profits lost as a result of (e.g.) environmental laws, have their cases heard before a closed tribunal, and win. 
The moral, I thought, was: next time, read the fine print. So I tried to. I mean, I actually downloaded the text of CAFTA and tried to read the whole thing. Even though I have read all sorts of hard things -- the Critique of Pure Reason, for instance -- CAFTA defeated me. So I tried to find out about them from other sources. I wrote about what I found <span class="Apple-style-span"><A HREF="http://obsidianwings.blogs.com/obsidian_wings/2005/06/
cafta.html"><span class="Apple-style-span">here</span&gt</A> (if anyone is interested, skip the first five paragraphs or so). The upshot: it has a bunch of quite bad provisions: famously, on labor and the environment; less famously, on IP and debt relief, and it also has an analog of NAFTA's chapter 11.</span&gt<span class="Apple-style-span">
</span&gt<span class="Apple-style-span">So, in short: I do not support this treaty because I think it's a bad treaty. I still support free trade, with adequate labor and environmental standards, but supporting free trade in general does not mean supporting any trade treaty, even bad ones.</span&gt

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Free Trade would actually be a pure positive for Americans if it was inextricably tied to a commitment by Congress to fully exploit the benefits that FT can only offer as a potentiality.

The essential economic benefit that FT offers is the same benefit that advances in technology & efficient offer. Human resources are freed up that can then be used to produce more things of value. The problem with free trade is not that it eliminates jobs; firm investments in machinery do the same thing. The problem is that something else is not also done to fully exploit the opportunities that FT offers in the interests of those who work for a living.

If Congress were to commit itself to the goal of creating and maintaining a labor shortage---an economic environment where there are more jobs available than there are people to fill them---most objections to FT would be completely silenced. In such a labor market, workers would enjoy the best of all possible worlds. Jobs would still be lost, but it wouldn't matter.

New jobs would be easy to find. Market forces would put upward pressure on wages & benefits, obviating the need for government band-aid remedies like minimum wage legislation. An optimal level of national wealth would be produced, benefiting everone---in real terms---both rich & poor.

There's just one problem. The financial sector of the economy if infected with an irrational fear of inflation. I won't go into an exhaustive discussion of inflation right now, but let me just make a couple of important points.

First, no matter how grave the warnings you may hear about the "evils of inflation", the ultimate truth is that inflation is always and everywhere harmless when it comes to the purchasing power of consumers (there are a few exceptions, but they are remarkably easy to fix).

Second, there is actually a zero percent chance that a moderately-high inflation rate (say, 5%-19% range) could ever balloon into hyperinflation in any economically advanced nation that is willing to impose intelligently designed credit controls.

What I'm talking about here is not just an "initiative" that would appear to appease organized labor, but a fully-thought-out alternative approach to Trade Policy. Reach for everything that FT has to offer and do it in a way that rewards Average Americans instead of throwing them into ever greater economic insecurity.

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I am really for the concept of free trade...but not in it's present form.  It has harmed the average American worker and economy.  Until all countries play by roughly the same labor and trade rules, it will not be good for America...right now the CEO's & shareholders are the only ones benefitting in our economy where labor force is overrepresented with Walmart employees.

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Thanks to all for responding to the post and to the TPM Cafe folks for putting it up. Obviously, free traders are a scarce breed around here. I appreciate the objections to the current trade policy advanced by the Bush administration. Saying “no” to CAFTA and Bush-negotiated free trade agreements may well be sound policy in the short run. I would like to see tougher labor standards and better trade adjustment assistance, and a broader vision for how to address living standards in countries we trade with.
But most of the comments go well beyond the specifics of CAFTA or the negotiating strategy of the USTR's office and display a general hostility towards open trade, multinational corporations, etc., traditional targets of the left. I don’t hear much in the way of alternative approaches to trade. "Fair trade" is a nice concept, but is exceedingly vague. What should the default Democratic Party approach be? More tariffs and quotas? Wait until we have a Democratic president who can negotiate more equitable agreements?  
 
Returning to the other point of the post, if there is no affirmative Democratic strategy on how to handle the challenge globalization and open trade, especially with the developing world, then there is a big hole in the Democratic agenda. Bill Clinton was adept at harmonizing an open trade agenda with traditional Democratic concerns. Of course he sort of ran aground on the issue late in his presidency. But where are Clinton’s heirs on the issue? The fact that the pro-trade position has become almost untenable within the party is going to be a problem for the 2008 Democratic nominee.

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You wrote ... "The fact that the pro-trade position has become almost untenable within the party is going to be a problem for the 2008 Democratic nominee."

I don't think so. Most Democrats understand that we cannot continue to pile up trade deficits, and huge deficits at that, forever. The 2008 nominee can well afford to run on balanced trade, where we limit the deficit or bring it to near zero with legislation. I think debt of all kinds will be a big issue in the 2008 campaign.

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Fair trade is quite simple to sketch out: trade agreements that don't set up what essentially are slave labor camps - maquiladoras, "free trade zones," etc. - where corporations are subject to virtually no regulation and the workers do not gain useful skills and the host nation does not gain anything of substance. That is what CAFTA will provide central America. This isn't incompatible with a free trade position. I think we need to move beyond the protectionism vs. Washington consensus dichotomy and realize that free trade can be a good thing, but that simply signing some treaties that purport to be "free trade" treaties is not a positive good in and of itself. In other words, treaties needed to be judged on their own merits and whether they will provide humane and prosperous results.

BTW - and I don't support this position - if the Democrats wanted, coming out in favor of protectionism would actually be good politics and would be a very strong wedge in the heart of the GOP. So I don't think the Democrats lose anything by abandoing the Washington Consensus.

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