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Clinton still losing without caucuses included


One of the arguments being put forth by the Clinton campaign is that the caucuses aren't truly representative of the popular will of the voters.  What logically follows is that even if she loses the pledged delegate race, the super delegates are fair game to swing the nomination because of the "illegitimacy" of the delegates awarded from caucuses.
For the sake of argument, let's say she's right.  Let's say caucuses are not legitimate determiners of popular vote.  Where does the pledged delegate race stand if you eliminate all the caucuses?  
A good question, I thought.  I used the CBS delegate totals, copied them to a spreadsheet and deleted all the caucus states.  The results?
Clinton:  534Obama:  593
Uh oh.  Clinton is still losing the delegate battle in primary only states.  Seems to undermine her super delegate argument a bit.
Not sure how to attach the spreadsheet, but here are the numbers:

Clinton Obama DC 15 Delegates 3 10 Maryland 70 Delegates 24 44 Virginia 83 Delegates 27 56 Louisiana 56 Delegates 22 34 Alabama 13 Delegates 4 9 Arizona 56 Delegates 31 25 Arkansas 35 Delegates 27 8 California 55 Delegates 13 32 Connecticut 48 Delegates 22 26 Delaware 15 Delegates 6 9 Georgia 18 Delegates 3 15 Illinois 32 Delegates 9 23 Mass. 72 Delegates 24 48 Missouri 72 Delegates 36 36 New Jersey 107 Delegates 59 48 New York 232 Delegates 139 93 Oklahoma 38 Delegates 24 14 Tennessee 68 Delegates 38 28 Utah 3 Delegates 2 1 Dems Abroad 7 Delegates - - Florida 0 Delegates - - South Carolina 45 Delegates 12 25 Michigan 0 Delegates - - New Hampshire 22 Delegates 9 9 Total Primary Dels 534 593

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Wow. The formatting of this post really got hosed.

Bottomline,

Clinton has 534 pledged delegates from primaries. Obama has 594

These numbers are very wrong, at least some of them. Clinton won MA, but you have the delegates there going 48-24 for Obama.

Your CA numbers are even more wacko. First, the state is worth far more than 55 delegates. Second, the Clinton and Obama delegates don't add up to even the 55. Third, Clinton won that state, but again you have Obama with more delegates.

BTW, I am an Obama supporter.

You're right, they're wrong. Something got messed up... I'll rerun.

Man, I don't know what happened there, but I re calculated, and I now get:

Clinton: 848
Obama: 874

Same story, slightly less margin.

That's right. Same story, same ass-whooping.

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