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Florida - Jews, Hispanics and Old Folks
Obama's followers have been promoting the myth that people like him more as they get to know him, and like Hillary less (ignoring California and Massachusetts, and more recently Texas and Ohio). That if Obama's ferocious ground machine had gotten to campaign in Florida, it would have all been different.
Well, maybe then, certainly not now. Let's revisit the numbers.
Florida population: Blacks - 15.8%, Latinos 20.2%, White 61.3%. Seniors 65+: 16.8%.
Latino vote? Obama got 32% in California, 35% in Texas. Votes of 65+ - Obama got 29% in Ohio, 34% in Texas.
White vote - Obama got 44% in Texas, 38% in Ohio.
Nationwide, these numbers aren't moving much Obama's way.
How will Obama do among Jews after this week's TUCC highlight? Let's just say January was probably his peak performance. Actually it's not going to help him much with Hispanics or seniors or whites either.
How about Floridians' happiness about having their votes dumped? This issue doesn't favor Obama at all, neither now, and most worrisomely, neither in November.
Obama would be quite wise to take the split as it occurred in January, before people take a closer look.
Well, maybe then, certainly not now. Let's revisit the numbers.
Florida population: Blacks - 15.8%, Latinos 20.2%, White 61.3%. Seniors 65+: 16.8%.
Latino vote? Obama got 32% in California, 35% in Texas. Votes of 65+ - Obama got 29% in Ohio, 34% in Texas.
White vote - Obama got 44% in Texas, 38% in Ohio.
Nationwide, these numbers aren't moving much Obama's way.
How will Obama do among Jews after this week's TUCC highlight? Let's just say January was probably his peak performance. Actually it's not going to help him much with Hispanics or seniors or whites either.
How about Floridians' happiness about having their votes dumped? This issue doesn't favor Obama at all, neither now, and most worrisomely, neither in November.
Obama would be quite wise to take the split as it occurred in January, before people take a closer look.
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Well, even if they're sour over getting dumped, it is hardly Obama's fault, and hardly his responsibility to fight to legitimize those null votes. People in Florida knew the fate of their ballots, so it should hardly cause consternation that those votes, quoth Hillary Clinton, "aren't going to count for anything." Personally, I think that while Clinton would likely win in a Florida re-vote, this general election disenfranchisement myth is, well, a myth. Moreover, just because Clinton is likely to win hardly justifies changing the rules so late in the game.
I just keep thinking about Clinton's response had the proverbial boot been on the other foot. There is no way she would allow a Florida re-vote if she was in the lead, and so there is no reason why things should be any different just because she's trailing behind Obama. Thems the breaks, I'm afraid, and talking about what a crummy situation it is doesn't change the fact that these are rules everyone agreed to beforehand. Does Obama clearly benefit from this? Sure. I can't say I'm displeased that this is good for him. However, that doesn't mean the situation is somehow unfair in any legal/official sense.
March 18, 2008 8:40 AM | Reply | Permalink