I want to hear why you support Clinton (really)
I see a lot of attacks from both sides on this site. I am pretty tired of the pokes and jabs personally. I will also admit that in some instances I have seen posts that have made me angry enough to take part in this poking and jabbing. I am not perfect.
As an Obama supporter who is becoming increasingly distasteful of Senator Clintons tactics (or should I say the tactics of her advisor's and surrogates) I would like to have a discussion as to why I shouldn't have to hold my nose and vote for her if she does take the nomination.
First off I spend about two hours a day on this site (at least), and have read many many many posts and responses. I will be honest, I have not seen a whole lot from Clinton supporters that is pro Clinton. I have mostly seen why we shouldn't vote Obama and defense of her tactics. I may have missed something I'll admit as things scroll through pretty quickly. I also understand how many posts are focused on attacking Clinton and that this automatically puts you on the defensive or on the offensive.
Second I will tell you why (even though I was looking forward to voting for her) I am not now. I did not expect a candidate like Obama to come along, and the fact is, no matter what anyone says he is doing things differently. I have never trusted politicians, not Bush, not Bill Clinton, not W. Bush., not Gore, or Kerry. So I never expected to see a politician that I felt I could trust on at least some level.
The truth is that Clinton is doing things the old way from everything I have seen, the way I never trusted. I would like to trust that what she
says she is going to do she means, but we have been made promises every 4 years for a long time, and I just don't see how someone who is doing the same thing can be trusted to do something different in office. I
would be saying the same thing about Edwards, this is not an attack on Clinton, but an attack on politicians in general.
So here is what I would like to discuss. Why do you support her? What makes her better in your eyes (not what makes him worse).
I hope no one feels my post is anti Clinton, I was just trying to do exactly what I ask people to do when they are not Obama supporters and want to know
why I am. I ask that they tell me why it is they do not support Obama so we can discuss those issues instead of me just going off on some tangent.
I think many Obama supporters out there feel the way I
do, and I wanted to give Clintons supporters an opportunity to really just discuss there candidate in a positive light.
Please, everyone try to make this a civil discussion (that means Obama supporters too. I really do want to give Clintons supporers a thread where they do not feel they need to attack in order to just be heard.





Obama cannot win in November. We've tried this before--in 72 and 86--both elections we should have won. Obama is from the far left of the party, routinely considered the most liberal member of congress. The repugs are going to hammer away on guns, the death penalty, etc. like they did to Dukasis. At this time in 86 Dukasis, the candidate with "new" ideas and "a plan" for the future was 15 points ahead of Bush elder in national poll. That Bush's main thematic concept was, "Stay the course."
"Let's change Washington" is a familar tome, nice in theory, but The "old" way of doing things worked pretty well until Bush came along. Our republic survived civil war, came to grips with slavery and its almost as ugly Jim Crow aftermath (look at Bosnia or Rwanda for what could have happened), survived really bad, even criminal presidents.
What Bush is doing is not the "old way," but a new dangerous new way. He has eviserated the constitution like no other president. He expropriated powers no president has. Our great republic, beacon of democracy and envy of the world, slid down a slippery slope towards facism.
Power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely, but it was our failure too. Fox News (requirement number one for building a fascist state) and a compliant MSM delivered the narrative, "If you're not with us your're against us. Criticizing the COC during war time encourages the enemy and is prima facie facism. War against Oceania (Irag) because of X (weapons of mass destruction) becomes war against Europia (Islamic Extremism) because of Y (bring democracy to Irag). It's not torture because I say it isn't. Members of the executive branch do not have to respect congressional subpoenas because I told them not to talk."
Do you really think that things will be the same whether Clinton or McCain are elected? Did you even leave your parent's basement long enough to vote for Kerry in 04?
Couldn't we have used more of the "same" in 2000 with Gore instead of the change with Bush. Do you really believe that that election made no difference, that Clinton would be the same as Bush.
With help from Josh, Arianna, Jane, Murray and others for finally exposing the emperor's deformed and diseased genitalia, we stopped the slide in oblivion in 06, but even then our newfound hopes were dashed on the rocks. The democrats we elected turned out to be sheep (or worse elephants in lions clothing) instead lions.
However, it now more important than ever that we take back the White House. I was for Biden, then Richardson and now Clinton. Obama cannot win. He will lose huge. The popular vote will be around 57-43, and he will win less than 10 states, probably less than 5.
O
March 16, 2008 4:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
And, ummm, he specifically asked for reasons you were for Clinton, pointing out that all he got was reasons Clinton supporters were against Obama. And you came back with nothing other than a list of reasons you were against Obama. So, is that it? Clinton has nothing particularly to offer on her own and the reason you're for his is you're against Obama because you think he's too liberal to win?
March 16, 2008 5:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama is from the far left of the party, routinely considered the most liberal member of congress.
Funny. Obama was declared the "most liberal" Senator by the National Journal. You'll note that they have a particular bias. And coincidentally, they "discovered" that Kerry was the "most liberal" just around the time he got the Democratic nomination.
Obama is not "routinely considered" to be the most liberal Senator, much less the most liberal member of Congress, by any stretch of the imagination.
In fact, it wasn't that long ago that the prevailing complaint from Hillary fans was that Obama wasn't sufficiently progressive, and that if we wanted a "true" liberal we should pick Hillary.
That's just the first point on which you are badly out of touch with reality.
March 16, 2008 5:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Remember, please, how McGovern was stabbed in the back by his own party when he lost.
Here's Steven Colbert's quick review of '72 to remind you.
So, the lessons of '68 & '72 should be that the nominee winning the delegate count should be embraced by the party, rather than continually attacked and badgered by the loser. Allowing a party insider to bloody-up the front runner only weakens the party.
So, perhaps you need to review the real history, not just suck up the Hillary revisionist history (kinda like the Hillary revisionist resume).
March 16, 2008 6:03 PM | Reply | Permalink
Dukasis did even worse in 86 than Dukakis did in 88.
March 16, 2008 7:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
"The democrats we elected turned out to be sheep..."
No, it turned out there were too many other blue-doggies like Clinton on the Republican leash. The jerk the chain with phrases like "support the troops" and the blue dogs heel like well-trained pooches. We don't need a pretender in the WH, we need a real candidate with the courage and intelligence enough not be pressured by right-wing media talking heads, Republican chicken hawks, and the Republican media spin machine.
But if you wanna go with "sheep", that works too. Clinton was one of the many Democrat sheep who followed Bush into Iraq.
Baaaaaa.
March 16, 2008 9:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
1986?
Maybe you mean 1984, when the Superdelegates nominated Mondale over Hart...
and in the words of Ferraro, we had no infighting in the convention, but "we lost big time."
The time of the Supers deciding elections for us peons is over.
March 17, 2008 9:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ok, you made some good points in there, but I do not know if I agree with the idea of he cannot win because the change guy has lost in the past. This is not the 80's or even the nineties and we have never (as you pointed out) had a president who so fucked the American way as Bush has.
We have also never seen young people get out and vote in the numbers we are seeing now. This (if it holds, and I think for once it may) completely and utterly changes the election landscape. We are talking millions of people age 18-30 who have never voted before.
The past should be respected and used as reference, but the present must be taken into account when comparing. Bush has destroyed this country in so many ways and Mcain plans to go the same way.
I also asked that you refrain from the insults. You have the right to speak as you wish but you lost some serious respect from me when you had to stoop to insulting me. I have not lived with my parents in 10 years and your assumption that just because I dislike and do not trust politicians makes me a pale faced shut in is insulting and frankly, closed minded.
You also failed to point out any reason that Clinton is actually worth voting for in any more then a hold my nose manner.
March 16, 2008 4:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks for calling out the first commenter on tone. Res ipsa (comment speaks for itself).
You tried to have civil dialogue & that's the reply. The reality of most dynamics is that people who are losing or feel threatened are more likely to lash out.
Thanks for trying. It did feel genuine.
March 17, 2008 6:24 AM | Reply | Permalink
And before you bring up 04 as evidence these young people will stay home in 08 I will say Kerry was in no way the same politician as Obama.
Also if your argument turns out to be true we are screwed either way. I think Clinton is going to lose the same as Kerry did in 04. Because of the situation and the "impression" people have of her campaign she will lose much of the black vote and most of the new voters, as well as many indipendents who are so taken with Obama.
March 16, 2008 4:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
I've repeated this before, but you basically only need to go to Wikipedia to see how active Hillary was in school, what her interests were - children, women's issues, anti-poverty, etc. Consistent, doing all this before meeting Clinton, continuing to serve different large organizations, working at a national level, then an international level. Comparatively, Obama's work has been mostly local, low budget, nothing too impressive.
I also like that Hillary fights back since I've seen how Republicans fight on everything from FISA to Social Security to "no timelines" on Iraq to the Attorney General scandal and executive appointments. I've seen absolutely no sea change among Republicans, and as someone noted, McCain made a comeback by focusing on the Surge. Americans seem to like the strong-on-security types, and it's one area Hillary's worked hard on. Obama's aim is the primaries, which leaves him desperately vulnerable in the general elections. His fans seem to think he's pushed the Rev. Wright issue away and that America will credit him with how clever his 2002 speech was. They don't seem to understand Ari Fleischer alone has $250 million to spin Obama as being anti-American and weak on defense, and with the soundbites Obama & Co. have given him in the last month or so, Fleischer's job gets easier and easier.
March 16, 2008 5:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
No one with sense can deny Hillary's energy. But many of us wish she had left the field to new blood.
I would have preferred her to the smart but old-news Biden, the informed and honorable but uninpsiring Dodd, the correct but slightly tiresome Kucinich. But she and Bill had their chance.
March 16, 2008 10:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
Many of us like old experienced blood. So much laughter over the "experience" tag, but there really are places it makes a difference. And yes, she's been around and knows quite a few ropes.
March 17, 2008 2:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
And if you apply the same measuring stick to Obama, you get an equally impressive resume! The big problem with the Clinton "experience" claim is that it uses one set of criteria to evaluate her experience and a totally different set of criteria to evaluate his.
March 17, 2008 11:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
First, I just want to say that I disagree with much of your praise of Obama and your criticism of Clinton's tactics. I understand and appreciate that you want to know why people are supporting Clinton and not why they are opposed to Obama. But I do want to make it clear that I don't really agree with your pro-Obama and anti-Clinton arguments.
That said, the main reason why I'm supporting Clinton is that I believe she'll be a better President. It seems pretty obvious, but as you point out it's not something that is widely talked about. So here, in no particular order, are the top reasons why I support Clinton:
- She has an astonishing grasp of policy. And like anyone who is hiring someone, I'm looking for a candidate who actually knows what they are talking about. If I were hiring a cardiologist, their knowledge of the heart would be one of my main hiring criteria. So since we're hiring someone to run the government, I'm looking for someone who knows how the government works.
- She's tough. She is at her best when things are at their worst. This is definitely not a criticism of Obama. It's just that Clinton has demonstrated an amazing capacity to stay positive, focused and determined during this campaign, and I think that will matter in the general election, and, even more importantly, in the White House. Bush has been a weak President - he is both cowardly and bullying - and I think it would be great to have someone as strong as Clinton in the White House.
- She's demonstrated that she can get along with some of her biggest political enemies. Republicans who voted to impeach her husband like and respect her, and I think that level of personal one-on-one charm is valuable in a President. I know that a variation on this argument is commonly used by Obama supporters, but I believe she simply has a greater record of actually working with Republicans.
- She's willing to take a stand. Sorry, but this does border on a criticism of Obama. I don't agree with her votes on Iraq and on the Kyl-Lieberman legislation, but I respect that she will take a stand on these tough issues.
- She cares about Global Warming. Like many young people, I believe that Global Warming is the greatest threat the world faces. She voted against the Cheney energy bill, and she seems genuinely enthusiastic about confronting Global Warming and building a Green Economy.
- She believes in universal health care. It's just embarrassing for the richest country on earth to not have universal health care. And yes, single-payer would be better, but you can't have universal health care without a universal mandate. And as an aside, I think it says a lot about her sincerity that she is still so committed to this issue that has caused her to be the target of so much Republican anger.
- She knows exactly who she is, and she knows exactly what the job is. I find that she has a refreshing lack of ego - I may be generalizing, but I have to think that it has something to do with her gender - and she sincerely likes the work. All politicians are somewhat self-obsessed (it's just part of the job, unfortunately), but I think that she is more interested in the issues, and less interested in herself, than almost any other politician.
- She has a solutions-oriented intelligence. This is a comparison, but it's not a criticism of Obama. I've noticed in the interviews they've given, and in their debates, that while both Clinton and Obama are extremely intelligent, they do have different kinds of intelligence. When Obama says something really smart it's almost always an insight into the roots of a problem. But when Clinton says something really smart, it's almost always an insight into the solution for a problem. It would be underestimating both Obama and Clinton to suggest that either lacks the other kind of intelligence, but like everyone else they do have their strong points. And both kinds of intelligence are important and impressive. But I believe that Clinton's more solutions-oriented intelligence is more valuable in a President. This is really a matter of how you define the Presidency, so I appreciate that there is no right or wrong answer to this question of the usefulness of different kinds of intelligence.
- She's electable. It's hard to make this point without criticizing Obama - since it is a matter of comparison - but I'll try. Aside from any particular issues or anything else, she seems more interested in other people and less - I hate to use this word but I can't spend all day trying to think of a nicer way of saying this! - condescending than Obama. Gore and Kerry, who everyone thought was the most electable Democrat in 2004, were both widely and unfairly criticized for being condescending. There is a lot of evidence that Democrats and general election voters feel differently about this, and I just don't think this is where Democrats need to take a principled stand against Republicans and Independents. Let's just accept that they feel differently, and nominate our candidates accordingly. It's really not a matter of picking candidates who are too smart, and we are kidding ourselves if we suggest it is. Bill Clinton was a Rhodes scholar but people didn't find him condescending. The truth is that if many middle and lower-income Democrats find Obama too Ivy League, it's hard to imagine that general election voters are going to feel differently. Clinton has shown that she can get the votes of the Reagan Democrats.
- She talks about the details. I know that some people have criticized her for a lack of rhetoric, but I think that talking about student loan forms and social security economics is very important. You can't change things without changing the details, and Hillary Clinton is the person to do that.
I could go on much longer, but thankfully I won't. I hope that this has helped you understand what motivates Clinton's supporters. Thanks for asking your question.
March 16, 2008 5:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Personally, I feel a little dubious about Clinton's plan for universal health care. I'm not saying it's impossible, but it is a potential equation for easy exploitation by the healthcare industry. I find the term "universal healthcare" to be a tad misleading, because while I suppose it is universal in a literal sense, it's not really universal in the more implied sense--that is, in the sense that it's being bestowed upon the country by the government. Rather, she's making everyone buy it. Now, my family hasn't had healthcare for over six years, and we live in New York, where auto insurance is mandatory. It's not fun. Clinton's plan can work, but what is she really promising us other than forcing us to buy it? She claims she'll make it more affordable, and give lower-income people tax breaks, but she's offered little in the way of letting us know how much coverage we should expect to have or how much we're supposed to pay. Obama's plan may seem like wishful thinking, but the notion of regulating the healthcare industry to make it more affordable, rather than trying to hatch an agreement where the people and the healthcare industry profit is fishy. I have to say, Hillary's perpetual prevaricating on the issue of her tax returns makes me take pause about where her real obligations lie. If she turns out to be a marionette on the pursestrings of healthcare lobbyists, I'm going to bet that Hillary's plan isn't going to cut the American people a square deal. After all, this is the woman who has said, "Well, whether you like it or not, lobbyists are Americans, too."
I think Hillary is kind of hawkish on foreign policy, and that leaves a bad taste in my mouth. She doesn't believe in sitting down with America's "enemies" (mind you, this includes Cuba, who I'd say by this point is a lame duck 'nemesis') without preconditions, and it's this kind of intractability that doesn't bring about much change on the international level. In a time where President Bush has made America more unpopular than ever, I don't want my next president to follow the same vaguely confrontational and combative approach to negotiating. We have to be more open-minded. The way she spoke of Putin and Serbia in the Ohio debates had this air of hostility about it--like we had to 'watch' these countries. She strikes me as a saber-rattler, and it's something I have no interest in. That 3am ad turned me off. Not because I detected any subtle racism or anything, but because the implication was that she would keep America "safe." Bush campaigned on keeping America "safe." McCain's platform is about keeping America "safe." National "safety" is a hawkish platform, because it essentially suggests that America is somehow imperiled from the outside. It sets foreign policy decisions in an antagonistic, defensive framework. I don't need a showdown with Tehran in the next four years, or to have this country start cultivating animosity with Russia.
Then there's the issue of the extent her would-be experience to lead. Knowing procedure and being ready to go on "Day one" are smooth talking points, but they blur her actual capabilities as a leader. Personally, I think being around when the important phone calls were made is a definite plus, but it is hardly a qualification. If anything, it sets a disturbing precedent for presidential criteria, and moreover, it's not really a measure of how equipped you are to take the reigns of the country. Much of her foreign policy experience is based on some dubious conjecture, and there is no denying that she greatly exaggerates her role in The Balkans, Northern Ireland, and Rwanda. The only time she was ever officially responsible for something was healthcare reform back in the 1990s, and that was an legislative nosedive. She admits she was wrong, which is good, but at the same time, all the reasons for why she mucked it up beyond repair are still being exhibited by her now: egregious secrecy, alienating members of her own party, moneyed interests, and so on. While she is an accomplished senator and would do well in many top-ranking positions, I don't think she has what it takes to serve *the* top-ranking position. I look at the way she has run this campaign of hers, and despite the enthusiastic support of the party status quo, oodles of money, and the air of inevitability, she is still managing to lose. I'm not trying to be confrontational or dismissive here, but I don't think she responded well to her losing streak. Obama withstood the kitchen sink with remarkable candor and calm, while Hillary seemed to falter pretty badly in the eleventh hour. Emotionally, she was all over the place, snide one day, indignant the next...it was just kind of nutty and had me question her ability to handle pressure. True, her team got it together to prolong their stay in the race at the last minute, but that doesn't really spell out "tough" to me. I mean, when the kitchen sink is throwing around provocative television ads, that's one thing. But when it's a matter of national security, that toughness is harder to measure. I'd rather take composed over tough, to be honest.
I find her to be a little too politically expedient. I agree, every politician postures for electability, but I know she voted for the Iraq War because she thought it would be a boon to her presidential bid (that, or she really thought it was a good idea), and when you have to decide about sending potentially thousands of young lives off to die and mobilizing the bulk of the country's resources, I don't think your decision should ultimately boil down to how you'll come out of it. There are other, lesser bills for that. War shouldn't be subject for personal calculation. I don't think that's sterling leadership material, to be honest. Hate to go on a talking point here, but I really don't think she's shown the best judgment, which is why, although I maintain she'd be good in a top-tier position, I don't think she's got the conscience or the composure to sit in the oval office.
Personally, as an Obama supporter, I've found her campaign to be incredibly condescending. Not only has she belittled Obama's message, but she's belittled the people and states who have voted for him. I'm sure as a Hillary supporter, the perception is far different, but she has played a pretty nasty platform against Obama supporters, and it hasn't earned her any rave reviews.
Detail-oriented people have a better place in surrogate positions. I think a leader should be inspiring, dynamic, and conscientious. Obama has galvanized me and I've taking interest in politics and social action in a way I never have been. It would do this country good to have someone in office who really pushes people to believe in their country and their abilities to work to change it. Furthermore, in terms of electability, Hillary has just as many risks with lower-to-middle income whites as Obama does, because McCain, as an old white man, threatens both of their chances. I personally feel Obama has the ability to get a more diverse constituency out to vote than Hillary, and while it's a gamble for both, I think Obama could pay off big.
Maybe I'm operating on some bygone romantic philosophy about state and government here, but I think it's important for a leader to inspire his/her citizens. Hillary really can't inspire--she may be admired, but she doesn't inspire. Not in the way Obama does. In the wake of such a disastrous president, it's important to have a dynamic presence that will visibly restore America's image. I think that is a far more important people than people are willing to admit as anything other than "naive" or "shallow."
Anyway, that's my opinion.
March 16, 2008 6:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm not going to reply to all of your arguments - I have a deadline coming up! - but I just wanted to address your assertion that Clinton has been unstable recently. I've noticed that many Obama supporters and members of the MSM seem to accuse Clinton of being unstable whenever she or her campaign use anything other than a one-dimensional campaign strategy. This really seems to rely on some very strained logic. Yes, she is tough - a pretty good quality for a Commander-in-Chief - and yes, she is the target of media bias and sexism. Some people see a contradiction between these two statements that doesn't really exist. They suggest that at one moment she is playing the victim card and in the next moment she's playing the fear card. But acknowledging blatant sexism isn't playing the victim card; it's being strong (It's the same thing for Obama when he points out blatant racism.). As an aside, the blatant sexism of the MSM is demonstrated by the complete misunderstanding of the gender dynamics of the 3 A.M. ad. I can't believe these people are actually getting paid for such weak and prejudiced analysis.
In addition, being gracious to Obama in a debate doesn't mean that she is somehow obligated to just accept his misleading NAFTA mail ads. LIfe - and the Presidency - don't have to be lived on one emotional note.
Also, I'm new to TPM so I'm unfamiliar with your previous comments. However, you seem very well-informed and fair-minded, but I do feel that I should point out - just in case you're unaware of this - that accusing a women running for President of being emotionally unstable is pretty much the number one sexist response. It may be valid, but the events of the past week have shown that being careful and sensitive about America's history of prejudice can only help this process. When we run into classic stereotypes in our criticism of candidates, it's important that we are sure we're getting it right.
And since she did a lot better in the second Super Tuesday states than Obama, I'm guessing that most voters agree with me on this subject. Obama may be coming across as cool and composed to you and many of his supporters, but to many other people he is very close to coming across as cold and condescending. When the Kitchen Sink is thrown at them, Obama has a tendency to be frozen in one response, but Clinton remains agile. And frankly, I don't want a President who greets every challenge in the same way. The Bush Administration has shown the limits of one-size-fits-all solutions.
March 16, 2008 8:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Obama may be coming across as cool and composed to you and many of his supporters, but to many other people he is very close to coming across as cold and condescending. When the Kitchen Sink is thrown at them, Obama has a tendency to be frozen in one response, but Clinton remains agile. And frankly, I don't want a President who greets every challenge in the same way."
It all comes down to perception, I suppose.
I find Rose83's comments interesting and straight forward. I respect that. However, I see this statement in exactly the opposite way. Barack, cool and condescending? Wow. Cool, yes, condescending is how I describe Mrs. Clinton, will a capital *C*. Clinton..frozen in time, Barack...agile, calm, steady, a visionary.
Different strokes for different folks. That's what makes life lovely.
Peace.
March 17, 2008 12:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
Rose83 you also might consider the subtle sexist chauvanistic quality of "unstable".
March 17, 2008 2:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, I can see the subtle chauvinistic undertones of calling her emotionally unstable--I hope you don't take it the wrong way (although maybe I should look inward). For one, I don't think Obama will address every issue with the same approach. You can see by his responses to both Iraq and Pakistan that he thoughtfully weighs the implications of these situations and decides to act. Just because he's cool and (to quote the MSM's favorite adjective) "unflappable," doesn't mean his policies or positions are myopic.
In the days leading up to the Super 2-esday, Hillary assumed a veritable masked ball's worth of different, hysterical personalities. I understand that her campaign had its head in a vise, so to speak, and there was a lot of pressure and desperation, but she was all over the place--going from "shame on you, Barack Obama" to "celestial choirs will start singing" (a gross bastardization of his message that, unfortunately, too many people seem to be running with) to the circumstantial acrobatics of NAFTAgate...I don't begrudge her for being a fighter (okay, maybe just a little...I wanted Obama to sweep her already), but personally, I thought it showed more desperation than toughness. She stayed in, to be sure, so I suppose that speaks to a certain scrappiness, but I wouldn't equate it with defiant resilience. She really threw everything she could at Obama and found that some of it stuck. It was essentially pit fighter politics, and while I commend her ability to stay in the race, it says nothing (to me) about her decision-making abilities.
I think Hillary is a very knowledgeable and accomplished woman, and, as I've already said, would do well in any number of top-tier positions. She's a fighter, and a remarkably political fighter at that, which means she'd probably do a tremendous job in an important legislative position. Still, though, Obama's continual grace under fire, thoughtfulness, ability to unite and galvanize so many youth to strive and do good for the country, and sound judgment (it's a talking point but it's true), I think, makes him more eligible to be President. People begrudge his leadership ability too often, calling it shallow or unsubstantial, but I think that's dead wrong. In addition to the fact that he and Hillary both stand the same on many issues, the fact that Obama embodies something emotionally potent to so many youth (even my sixty year-old parents like it) is key. Hillary may have more detailed-oriented plans in some areas, but Obama has vision. He has a vision of where he wants this country to go, and he's convinced a lot of people that they can help him take it there. It's good to tap into people's convictions like that. We're entering a new millennium and we still have no new perception of ourselves. Obama, I feel, in part represents that freshness of the 21st century, and it's something I'm curious to see expand and mature. Bush has left us all so apathetic and tired. Clinton would certainly be good, but she wouldn't inspire. Not everyone wants inspiration. I know lots and lots of people have and scoffed at that notion, but I wouldn't underestimate it. For people in my generation, it feels like our future, our inheritance, and someone who helps us to define a renewed sense of non-consumptive purpose is critical to enable us to approach what lays ahead. It's vague, but it's not superficial. Anyway, I'm going to stop talking because I likely sound horribly twentysomething.
Either way, I think both Hillary and Obama are qualified and would vote for either. There's no way I'm giving the presidency to John "Gates of Hell" McCain. Hillary not bombs, is what I say.
March 17, 2008 8:06 AM | Reply | Permalink
The press used that same exact criticism against Gore - he had too many personalities. That's the kind of silliness that put Bush in the White House.
March 17, 2008 9:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
Jade7273, I was talking about the second Super Tuesday.
Frankly, it's hard to have a reasonable debate with someone who seems so close-minded (on this subject). But I have to point out that Ted Kennedy felt very differently about Clinton's role in SCHIP before this election.
This relates to the arguments that JumpyJack made. I completely reject the idea that Obama's tactics have been less negative than Clinton's. And since he's had the MSM do to his attacking for most of the campaign, it's actually quite amazing that he hasn't been able to run a cleaner campaign. But Obama started by playing the gender card with his "tea" comment before the Iowa caucuses, his national campaign co-chair Jesse Jackson Jr. has probably been the most negative surrogate of any Republican or Democrat this election cycle, his campaign released a racist document about Clinton's South Asian-American constituency, one of his top advisors called Clinton a "monster," he has been personally cold to her (admit it, if the situations were reversed you would be very upset about this), he has belittled her legitimate criticisms by saying that Clinton "periodically when she's feeling down, launches attacks," and his campaign flat-out lied about the NAFTA story. Ted Kennedy's absolute reversal on Clinton's role in SCHIP is just the latest example of the Obama campaign's willingness to distort the truth to win. This list is by no means exhaustive. Obama supporters will point out - correctly - that he's not responsible for all of these attacks. But the same is true of Clinton. If we give him the benefit of the doubt, we need to do the same with Clinton.
And I want to make it clear that I'm not supporting Clinton because I think she has tougher campaign tactics - obviously I strongly disagree with that premise. Being tough has nothing to do with having your campaign send out misleading mail ads. As an extreme example, George Bush didn't show toughness when he slandered John McCain in 2000.
Clinton has shown her toughness by staying committed to the inspiring ideas of universal health care and withstanding the sexist MSM assault on her candidacy. Jade7243, pointing out prejudice is not playing the victim card. And seriously, politics is a boys club. When she made her comments at Wellesley she was competing for the Presidency against 7 Democrats and I believe 10 Republicans, all of whom are men. She is one of only 16 women serving in the Senate. The political MSM that covers her candidacy is dominated by men. I'm not sure exactly when it became politically incorrect to point out blatant sexism, but this needs to change now. It was wrong when Ferraro made her racist comments and it's wrong when people attack Clinton for her "cackle" and "hissyfits" and pointing out the obvious sexism that she experiences as a Presidential candidate.
joehigashi, the Celestial Choirs thing was funny! Maybe you had to be a Clinton supporter to get it... Anyway, I can see that some of his supporters would be offended, but I have to admit that I'm reluctant to criticize things that make me laugh (in a good way).
We seem to have different ideas of the Presidency. I absolutely believe that inspiration is important, but I actually find Clinton more inspiring because she is so reality based. And I'm very skeptical about Obama's ability to unite people actually being sufficient to get things done in office. Frankly - I hope I'm not being too negative here! - Obama's claim to be able to unite people seems to be almost entirely based on his ability to attract Independent and Republican voters, which started rapidly declining immediately after McCain began to attack him. If you look at their legislative records, McCain (I hate to admit this) has the best record of bipartisanship and Clinton is a strong second. So if he doesn't have an impressive record of working with Republicans, and his chances of winning by a large enough margin to claim a strong mandate are shrinking, it's hard to see how Obama could be as productive a President as Clinton.
March 17, 2008 10:23 AM | Reply | Permalink
It would be a hell of a lot less fun if you didn't have car insurance and found yourself in a major accident. How do you think you'd pay for a hospital stay or the other person's injuries, or their loss of life, or any of the other catastrophes that car insurance helps people to avoid.
Are you aware of the fact that whether you have insurance or not, you're still liable for that other person's injuries if you caused the accident? It doesn't matter if the other person had insurance or not, that person's insurance company will sue you to recoup the loss they accrued by your negligence. If the other person causes the accident and they don't have insurance, how will you pay for your medical bills, your car being fixed, your time off from work? Without insurance you'd lose everything you own and everything you hope to own.
March 17, 2008 1:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thanks Rose, You stated our position very eloquently. I too have a list equally as long, which I won't bore Obama fans with, but your list just exemplifies why this woman should be Commander in Chief. I "feel" angry when I listen to Obama and his Rhetoric, that his followers aren't looking at the reality, and it scares me that we have so much to lose in this country and need to heal not only here in America, but all over the world. I hope we make the right decisions
March 17, 2008 4:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you Rose, this is exactly what I asked for. I don't agree on every point, but I definitely see some things I didn't before. Your post is a breath of fresh air here.
It's the kind of thing I hope to see more of.
March 16, 2008 5:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good question, thoughtfully stated, so here’s your answer.
Clinton is a fighter; she is dedicated to winning – as any politician must be when they feel that they have great potential to do good things. They must win first. For the naïve and overly-sensitive, this seems to be some sort of cardinal sin – as the rabid indignation of many Obama people show. For the realistic, it is the only means available to winning the presidency.
I laugh my head off every time I read somebody whining (including you, alas) about unsavory methods or cynical tactics. Politics IS unsavory method and cynical tactic; this is not a parlor game. Anyone believing otherwise is a fool, pure and simple. And the tactics in this campaign have been actually pretty mild, comparatively. Anyone who doesn’t think so must have been comatose with Dukakis, Gore, and Kerry (not to mention the old days of ’68).
The Repugnant Party will destroy Obama and eat him alive should he become the nominee. His Jesus image is going to come back and allow him to be beat to a pulp (so to speak), and the Repugnants are going to be the ones doing it. Personally, I don’t feel that Obama believes his own rhetoric in the slightest. He is using the public’s almost tangible disgust and contempt for ‘gridlock’ and ‘partisan bickering’ to sway all the dunderheads and the great, unwashed naïve. Again (as any realist will tell you), politics IS fundamentally partisan bickering and polemic and arguing and, well, simply a nasty, ugly process of elimination. If you don’t believe in your stance enough to fight mean and dirty for it, then you are useless.
While Obama’s fighting abilities are questionable (the unifier, the ‘reach across the aisle’ man, the ‘end the divisiveness’ man), he has, by emphasizing so strongly the hope and unity themes, painted himself into a corner as the Second Coming, thereby doing two disadvantageous things simultaneously: inviting himself to be mocked, and in essence severely manacling himself. Once you raise yourself to a certain degree of iconography, it is soooooooooo much easier for your opponent to stand there and just punch you to pieces.
Hillary has not exposed herself to the Repugnants to that degree. Everybody knows what and who Hillary is. She has not climbed up on a sanctified self-righteous pedestal and made a defenseless target of herself. She will beat the repubbies with their own stick as hard as they beat her; she will get down in the mud and pull hair and screech and claw. Nobody will like watching the process, and nobody will like her, much; but they will respect her and she will win.
In short, Obama has made himself a wimp and the Repugnants are going to use his self-righteousness to take him up on the fact. With Hillary, they can’t.
I also think Hillary has much more experience than Obama in the ill-defined, intangibles of international elbow-rubbing and schmoozing – an experience that is much more important than it looks, and more critical than can even be explained. It is the essence of politics and relationships. Hillary spend years n that world while Obama taught and was a state senator – not very impressive credentials. He was a senator for ONE year before getting bored and restless and deciding that his window was open to be president. We just had seven years of a moron who under-appreciated the office and over-appreciated his own merits.
And lastly, Hillary’s medical plan is more inclusive than Obama’s; and she is correct in saying that all Americans must be covered – by one means or another – for the costs of that inclusiveness to be feasible.
March 16, 2008 5:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
I do not have much to say about your arguments, other than you seem to be rather disparaging against teachers and senators when you say that Obama's credentials are not very good.
And here I thought teachers are important?
March 16, 2008 11:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary was a teacher as well - only 2 years teaching law before they moved to Little Rock, but does she get credit? She was also on a Law and Social Services journal board in Law School, and is published, but does she get credit?
Obama's US Senate career has been light. He wrote a book his first 2 years of 3 in the Senate - how many others had time for that? Then he started running for President and couldn't even pull his European subcommittee together - what a waste of opportunity to show seriousness on foreign affairs - instead we get anectdotes about phone calls to Kenya. Sorry, the EU is a much more important partner than Kenya.
March 17, 2008 2:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
Oh, and to Desidero, that is actually one of my problems is that I am not sure if fighting the republicans is enough. That spin machine will be as nasty against Clinton as it will against Obama, and true or not so many people have already decided the Clinton's are corrupt there job won't be very hard against her either.
My personal feeling is that fighting them is allowing the game to be played on there level. (thats not meant as a slight against Clinton, she fights well but I think many democrats hold a certain disdain for that kind of fighting)
One of the things I like about Obama is how he can throw down, and no one even realizes he did throw down. He can spin an attack back on the attacker in a pretty effective way and still look like he has taken the high road. I like this, I think it is subtle but it works.
March 16, 2008 6:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
If it works, if he really is the better fighter. So far I haven't seen it, except in terms of using the race thang, which won't help against Republicans, or some smarmy putdowns which occasionally work. His ground operation is where he's been impressive, but even there it works much better in caucuses, and Hillary's still done better in big states, hate 'em all you will.
March 17, 2008 2:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
What "big states" has Hillary won that won't go Democratic in the general election?
California?
New York?
Pennsylvania? (assumed)
Wisconsin?
Barack will win Illinois and polls show Texas as "in play" between McCain and Obama. That leaves Ohia, but with enough other states that Obama brings into the frey, Ohio may not matter.
March 17, 2008 2:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
JSmith...I'll do my best but won't go into any kind of detail on each point. It needs to be noted that there really aren't vast differences in their positions on issues.
First, re healthcare, I'm a mandates person rather than an incentives person. I believe that Clinton does have more relevant experience which makes her better prepared to be effective sooner. (But, no, not on Day One.) I also believe she tougher than Obama and has the scar tissue to prove it.
It's maybe Obama's naivete that scares me the most. He thinks that "reaching out" is going to bring us all together. That's garbage. Count the filibusters in the Senate this year in spite of Reid "reaching out" offering compromise and deals. It's going to be more "slug it out" than "reaching out" IMHO and I believe that she is better prepared to do that.
However, if Obama wins the nomination (and I think he will), I will hold my nose and vote for him...not because I think he'll accomplish much but I believe he can get judicial appointments right because they'll be easy with a dem Senate.
March 16, 2008 6:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
Thank you J for giving us Clinton supporters have a word without the crazy attacks. And thank you Red, Des, Rose & Miki for saying all that I believe!!
March 16, 2008 7:02 PM | Reply | Permalink
March 16, 2008 7:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
I just posted this reply on another thread with a imilar question.
http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/03/why-i-support-obama-and-not-hi.php
Since that thread disappeared from view I'll repost it here.
Our views on every count are totally divergent. I don't know if I'll have time to address everything but I'll do as much as I can. I'll start with inspiration. I don't find Obama inspiring. Different strokes for different folks I guess. The more "inspiring" he gets the more bored i get. I'm just not into pep rally type politics.
But even if I found him inspiring it wouldn't matter or affect my decision in any way. Inspiration cannot last when real policies are implemented. You can't inspire someone to act contrary to their perceived self interest. The coalition he's building by inspiring people is inherently unstable. Republicans, independents, and progressives do not share the same policy goals. If he follows a progressive path he will lose the republicans and independents and therefore the power to make the changes he supposes will come from his grassroots support. His best bet to maintain that support would be to chart a moderate course and convince the progressives to accept it. That might work but it would not be acceptable to me.
I disagree with his stance on meeting without preconditions. First, you seem to be implying there is a choice between meeting without preconditions or not talking at all. This is a false dichotomy. There can be negotiations and diplomacy without presidential meetings. That's what Hillary is suggesting. She suggest a presidential meeting may happen but only after agrees upon preconditions.
Now I want you to know that I'm not just repeating Hillary talking points. This is something I've considered over the years as events or my reading sparked contemplation of the issue. The first time I considered the issue was when Nixon opened the doors to China. I read the discussions at the time and the pros and cons of his plan. The last time I thought about it was about 3 years ago. Juan Cole, a middle east expert of a liberal bent who writes a blog, informed comment, discussed the issue of opening connections with Iran.
He thought it was stupid for the US to not talk with Iran. He also thought it a mistake for the president to meet without preconditions. For Americans, we may not think a meeting between two presidents is a very big deal and for us, that may be true. After all Iran is barely the size of one of our larger states. But to countries like Iran a meeting with the president of the United States is a huge propaganda coup. It strengthens the power of that regime and therefore weakens the influence of those elements within the country that are agitating for greater freedoms and democratic reforms.
His opinion, and I agree, was to follow the Nixon model. He suggested a seemingly meaningless sporting event, like a soccer match instead of the ping pong match we had with china. Lower level diplomats would begin preliminary discussions behind the scenes with their counterparts in Iran. Then a series of cultural exchanges and intellectual exchanges, conventions with professors from Iranian and American colleges. All the while diplomats are meeting behind the scenes continuing discussions. Only when adequate preconditions are met would there be a presidential meeting.
At the very least there must be something like a public meeting between the president and influential leaders of the opposition seeking democratic reforms. That would help to balance out the propaganda coup of the visit to the leaders of the country. You might ask why can't Obama visit and while there meet with the opposition. There are no civil liberties in Iran. They will simply be put under house arrest for the duration of the visit and Obama by agreeing without preconditions would now have to give up something to buy the meeting with the opposition. This is how negotiations work.
Quite frankly, I don't think there's a snowball's chance in hell that Obama will ever agree to a presidential meeting without preconditions. It was a rookie's mistake and I think he knows it. He was asked a question and since he hadn't thought the issue through deeply and he favors negotiation he answered sloppily. In the last debate I watched him explain his position and it seemed to me he was rationalizing to justify the previous answer. Obviously he couldn't admit he was mistaken. If he hasn't already figured it out when he puts his team together the more experienced foreign policy experts will explain it to him.
Its a small mistake, but significant. The religious oligarchs who run that country are no fools and they are paying attention. I have little doubt they will instruct their figure head, Ahmadinejad, to publicly request a meeting with the president soon after he's sworn in. If obama agrees they get a free victory, greater popularity among the common people of the country, and can more forcefully deal with those agitating for freedom. If Obama refuses they get a victory because they can now say look, told you the Americans were deceitful. Increased distrust of America within Iran increases their power. So Obama can neither refuse nor agree, he must delay. And he must negotiate and give up something before the visit even begins. What, I don't know, it depends on how much Iran wants the meeting. They have the upper hand. (ever play chess?)
Its pretty obvious to me that Hillary is much more knowledgeable about policy issues. I was for Edwards and I watched the debate with the 3 of them, pulling for my guy. I was shocked and disappointed to see both Barack and Hillary make poor John look like a dunce. But Hillary was brilliant. Maybe its because she was hanging around the White House watching all the stupid mistakes Bill made and talking about them with the experts as they were happening. Bill was as inexperienced in foreign policy as Obama. Maybe its just because she's had 14 more years than Obama to study. Many of those 14 more years without a child to raise. Who knows. I certainly don't buy the my husband's experience is my own line. But its pretty clear to me that the depth, breath, and sophistication of hillary's policy analysis exceeds Obama's.
March 16, 2008 8:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
I could not have said it better. I know now i'm sounding like Obama after a Hillary answer, but Hillary has done so much and has overcome so much in her life that she gives me hope and is an inspriration to me and my daughters.
She is a change in the best way possible and Obama gives me doubts. He keeps down playing the importance of the people he surrounds himself with and what they say, yet on the other hand anything negative from Hillary gets overblown and condemed.
I don't buy into the MSM that Hillary is bring the race card up and Obama isn't. I don't buy into the MSM that Hillary is polarizing and can't win in November. Obama is too weak and can not win in Novemeber. I will not nor will I ever vote for Obama after looking at the whole package. Even with Hillary and all her faults she is still the Best and No one can change my mind. I do know that if Obama is the nominee I will be voting for McCain.
March 16, 2008 8:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jennie - This just wasn't your candidate's year. Hillary made a good effort - I don't fault her for that, and she'll be a great candidate in 2016. Obama will make history as the first black president (and if he can find an LBJ to do the legislative log-rolling, he'll be one of the great ones, I think.)
Hillary follows that up with a history-making two terms as the first woman president. In the long run, is that really so bad? Is it really worth voting for McCain, and risking four more years of mendacity and war?
March 16, 2008 9:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Since many people responded to me (the first comment), I need to apologize for not editing. I had to go home and watch Houston beat LA. It was 88, not 86, and I stopped counting typos at four.
I don't dislike Obama; I just don't think he can win. I was an early supporter of Dukakis. I cheered for I thought he was a great candidate. My political leanings are more in line with Obama than Clinton. I think he's younger, sharper and has Roosevelt, Bryan, Kennedyesque charisma.
I do not, however, ke a lot of the Obama supporters. After eight years of Bush and promises of more of the same from McCain, how can you not support Clinton? If Obama wins the nomination, I'll be down at the local party headquarters calling people or giving rides like I did in 2000 and 2004, hoping desperately that my now on the record 57-43 prediction will be wrong. I don't understand why you won't do the same.
Clinton was not my first choice this year. I volunteered for Tsongas, before Clinton torpedoed him, but supported Clinton later.
I'm also skeptical of the "new" voters. I'd love to hear their comments. Explain why you didn't vote in 04. Explain why you thought four more years of Bush wouldn't be a disaster. If this is the first time you gotten excited about a candidate, then you've never tasted defeat like I have.
March 16, 2008 8:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can't speak for others, but I'd like to try to answer the questions imbedded in your final paragraph:
"I'm also skeptical of the "new" voters. I'd love to hear their comments. Explain why you didn't vote in 04. Explain why you thought four more years of Bush wouldn't be a disaster. If this is the first time you gotten excited about a candidate, then you've never tasted defeat like I have."
Obama is effectively bringing in young voters. They couldn't vote 4 years ago. Of course, the concern is, will they show up again in November? I think if it is Obama, the answer is "yes", for a couple reasons. First, young voters tend to be more idealistic, so Obama's campaign naturally appeals to them. Clinton's 'tough' response to Obama's success will be a turnoff to them, and they may just not be as inspired to come out if she's the candidate. Second, Obama supporters are paying to play. The record number of small individual donations makes committed voters out of people. If you put in $100 of your hard-earned cash, you're essentially paying for the chance to vote for Obama again in November, and they will. Not as many people have paid for the chance to vote for Clinton, and that could mean fewer votes for her come November (I hope I'm wrong on that).
I think some of the other new voters fall into three categories:
1) African Americans who feel they've got a viable black candidate for the first time,
2) people who aren't typically 'political' but are inspired and moved by what Obama stands for, and
3) Anti-war people who can't get behind HRC because of her early stance in regards to the Iraq war.
You can't help it if some people are motivated by one thing or another. But the fact is more people are lining up behind Obama for whatever reasons, and some of those reasons don't mesh well with candidate Clinton. And Obama supporters seem to be more passionate and committed than Clinton supporters - just my opinion.
So, based on all of that, there's an argument to be made that maybe Obama has a better shot at winning in the fall. (And we haven't even talked about Clinton's negatives and her maximum support threshold, or the fact that McCain appeals to moderates more than Clinton, etc., etc.)
March 16, 2008 9:32 PM | Reply | Permalink
In at least one of Texas or Ohio, Hillary tied for non-black youth. I suspect her crew is starting to get its act together there, even though it's late in the game. But somehow the "oh, we brought in a younger guy so all the kids can now be excited" goes only so far. If a candidate looks like Danny DeVito, hardly likely to attract the youth vote. Saying absolutely nothing about ideas. Young adults do want to be involved, and enthusiasm is good and useful, but it's only one of the tastes on the table.
March 17, 2008 7:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
If this is the first time you gotten excited about a candidate, then you've never tasted defeat like I have.
----------------------------------------------------
I think this says it all. I can feel defeat coming again in my bones.
March 16, 2008 9:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Oceankat: I feel victory - sweet, game-changing victory - coming in November. I don't think the Republicans have any real sense of the tsunami that Obama has coming their way.
March 16, 2008 10:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Or maybe you just have spring fever.
March 17, 2008 2:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
"I will tell you why (even though I was looking forward to voting for her) I am not now. I did not expect a candidate like Obama to come along, and the fact is, no matter what anyone says he is doing things differently. I have never trusted politicians, not Bush, not Bill Clinton, not W. Bush., not Gore, or Kerry. So I never expected to see a politician that I felt I could trust on at least some level."
I think the big difference here is that I trust Hillary and Obama equally, which is to say I don't trust either of them very much!
-- I believe Hillary will play nice when she has to, play dirty when she has to, and do a weird hybrid of nice and dirty when she has to. In other words, she's "in it to win it." And I DO trust her on that. When Obama says that she'll "do anything to win," he's RIGHT! And that's why I like her.
-- I agree Obama is running a "different" kind of campaign. HOWEVER, I think he is running this kind of campaign *because it's the only type of campaign he could have run*. It turned out to be very successful, so he is a *much* better tactician than I first suspected. But at his core, he is a politician. Full stop. He is smart, but like any politician, he is ambitious and will take the necessary steps to further that ambition. Running a "nice" campaign was his way to win -- and that's what he's doing.
If you put them in the same plane (ie, they are BOTH politicians) instead of elevating Obama above "the old politics" (and by implication Hillary and every other Democrat since Kennedy), then it comes down to who would make the better President. I think Hillary for many of the reasons outlined abovt by Rose.
March 16, 2008 10:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
I probably shouldn't post here, I am very totally NOT a Hillary supporter. I think Obama is the conduit that will make this country whole again. Period. I think Hillary will give us more of the same divisiveness. That being said, if, by some great coup, Hillary is made the nominee, we will all have to come together and work as hard as we can to get her elected. The health of the whole country depends on this. It is for sure that there will be at the very least 2, and most probably more, USSC retirements, and therefore, appointments. We simply cannot count on the Congress, as it stands, and it will not change under a Clinton election, (meaning, no coattails), to stand firm against hideous appointments such as Alito and Roberts. We will be screwed for generations to come. What a future.......
March 16, 2008 11:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obama still hasn't proven that he can unite the dems so hold on to the proclaimation that he will unite the whole body electorate.
March 17, 2008 2:07 AM | Reply | Permalink
You know, I have been wondering about something. When I was posting on various blogs during the Texas primary/caucus, I noticed alot of people saying that if they had to vote over again, they wouldn't vote for Obama again. They were saying that they were caught up in the moment and now that they have had a clearer picture, they would change their vote. Has anyone on this site felt that way? If so, why?
March 17, 2008 3:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
First, congrats on starting a civilized discussion. This is very refreshing.
Second, does anyone realize that these two excellent candidates have received 26 million votes between them - IN THE PRIMARIES!!! -and there are still 12 states and 2 territories to go?
I will support the winner, be it Hillary or Obama. I do support Obama now, but I agree with the point that Oceancat made - rookie mistake. I'm cool with that. I think both HRC and BO will make mistakes, but in the grand scheme of things, I feel that Obama will do a better job of recognizing and recovering from them than Hillary will. In some ways, I think that Bill and her advisers are a liability for her - she does much better when she hasn't been 'advised' on what to say. I also agree with joehigashi that detail oriented people like her are better in surrogate positions.
But, ultimately, I feel like we are on the brink of disaster. Mostly economically. And I thin it is going to take a big thinker with a lot of charisma to pull us out of it. I think that some people's impressions of him as 'soft' or 'not a fighter' are incorrect. Why fight when you've already won? I don't mean that to be a snide comment, but winning or losing PA by 5% doesn't really affect his delegate lead, and he's known that since early February. I think he's well ahead of the curve in his thinking and planning, and that excites me. Hillary, on the other hand, has been more reactive than proactive, and didn't seem to get some important concepts (like delegate counts) until it was too late. I think how a candidate runs a campaign is one of the best ways to judge a candidate, and he's run a better one than her.
I like Hillary. I think she would make a very good - even great president. I think Obama has the potential to be greater yet. I think it's fitting that this is going into overtime, and I think either one should beat McCain. But that's a discussion for another time.
March 16, 2008 11:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary doesn't need her advisers to govern. She needs them to campaign. She stinks at it. She's an introvert. She doesn't know how to move crowds emotionally. They get bored. She over acts and looks silly. But in an intimate setting talking policy she's warm and passionate about her ideas. You never get to see that on the MSM. That's not sensational enough. They can't cut a piece out of it for their 20 second soundbite of the day.
I think people here know how many crises we face. I think if you look straight into the fire you can see how deep a hole Bush has dug us into. The next president won't have time to figure it out. They will have to hit the ground running to save us. Hillary has been planning for this moment for years. While no plan is perfect this women knows policy. They will be good. Sure she'll make mistakes and yes, Obama is smart. But now is not the time for on the job training. We could afford that with Bill 16 years ago. Not now.
We all know Hillary can't act. We saw her on the campaign trail. Watch this video and answer this question. Do you really think she was acting when she got a little emotional? That she was playing the victim? She really cares. She sees how close we are to it spinning out of control. And this is the one of the most important elections in our nation's history.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FIG1mJAdMv8
March 17, 2008 1:01 AM | Reply | Permalink
But Oceankat,
You failed to provide the video from other events that day. You wonder why Olbermann was so ticked off? Here is the rest from that cheerful/tear ridden day - from Keith Olbermann
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7BB4Vvgn_4k
March 17, 2008 12:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
But Oceankat, you failed to put into context that teary vid with other events that day. You wonder why Olbermann is so ticked off? Check out the rest of that tearful day and the ungodly remarks she made - via Keith Olbermann
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7BB4Vvgn_4k
March 17, 2008 12:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry, got an error the first time. Didn't think it would post twice.
March 17, 2008 12:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
See there's the sexist spin from both you and Olbermann. I didn't see any tears. Not even a bit. Just a bit of emotion she quickly controlled. Was she crying as Olbermann repeated over and over again? Look at it again.
March 19, 2008 2:14 AM | Reply | Permalink
To Redstateleroy - I do not believe Bush won in 04 because of anything but fear. I think most average Americans were still very shaken by 9-11 and every time they started to think about taking the bastard out of office the Republicans would run more vote Bush or die rhetoric.
I think when it came down to it people voted the devil they knew as apposed to the Devil they didn't know (not to say Kerry was a devil, just that no one knew what would happen with him). Also I think this thread has at least helped me get over some of the bitterness I have been feeling. I still support Obama, but if Clinton wins I will do what I can to make sure she takes Novemeber.
Pavina - No problem, I feel this party needs some unity, which means that people on either side need to stop being made to feel like they are under siege. I am very happy with the civility shown here. I know tomorrow we will probably go back to eye gouging and skull cracking, but maybe a few people will understand each other more at least. Where they are coming from.
March 16, 2008 11:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
Haremoor - You are right, if we could keep 80% of these voters out and voting the democratic candidate (whoever that may be) will win in a landslide.
March 16, 2008 11:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
" I have never trusted politicians, not Bush, not Bill Clinton, not W. Bush., not Gore, or Kerry. So I never expected to see a politician that I felt I could trust on at least some level."
I'd like to respond to this as well. People trust Obama because he has never had to do the dirty dancing. He hasn't accomplished anything difficult. If he waited 8 more years either he'd have no significant accomplishments or he'd be soiled by the fights and compromises he'd have to make to get something important done. Politics is brutal and ugly. Its not us who make it that way. Its them! That's not gonna change. Look at what's happening to Obama now. This is what happened to Bill and Hillary for 8 years.
March 16, 2008 11:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
I would agree on the trust issue. We should never trust politicians - that's why it's so important that we get the oversight back that Bush has stolen. One of the reasons that I support Obama is that he was a Constitutional law professor. He also sponsored the "Google for Government" bill, which lets us explore how our tax dollars are spent, and signed the oath for Presidential transparency. We need to hold him to that pledge.
As far as what's happening to him now, I think he's handling it very well. It may very well happen to him from now on, but it will for Hillary as well. Something tells me the Repugs are about to lose a lot of that power that they've had since '94 to drown us out.
March 17, 2008 2:13 AM | Reply | Permalink
Barack Obama's not in "pit bull" mode because he doesn't have to be. He's winning and momentum among superdelegates is building behind him, so he's taking (excuse me for saying this) the George W. Bush 2000 strategy of playing it cool and moving forward as if the nomination was his. When Al Gore and the Democrats were scrambling, fighting and lawyering up, Bush was picking his cabinet, making speeches and planning his inauguration party.
That's all they have W & Obama have in common in strategy or anything.
March 17, 2008 5:56 AM | Reply | Permalink
Just a couple of notes based on Rose83's comments:
She is "tough" ... I would argue she is a masochist and seems to like getting beaten up/down. And can you tell me when and where she took and passed the "all important Commander-in-Chief Test?" I have looked through her records and see no prior military service (Bill actually dodged the draft to avoid Vietnam), she was not raised in a military family (like I was), the First Lady has no responsibilities with regard to the Department of Defense. And so aside from spending time on the Senate Armed Services committee -- which would make the other Senators on that committee and its counterpart in the House at a minimum equally qualified with her -- I see nothing that makes her C-I-C material, other than she voted for the war in Iraq and was a very vocal proponent of it.
Gender/Sexism... She has used her gender (the piling on commercial after the one of the early debates, the trek back Wellesley to crow about the "all boy's club of Presidential politics, the NH crying, the Ohio hissyfit, and much, much more.) If you are going to work in a co-ed arena where gender should not play a role, it is wrong to drop it like it's hot every other day on the campaign trail. You (nor your surrogates) cannot beg women to vote for you solely because you are a woman, and then be angry because minorities of the same race as your opponent vote for him.
Emotional Instability Everyone has can express their emotions in the appropriate time and place. Clinton's off-the-wall histrionics over a mailer in Ohio was disingenuous at best, especially given the deliberately falsified information she authorized to be circulated in NH with regard to Sen. Obama record on women's reproductive rights. It hardly sets the example or tone for how she would deal with say Dmitri Medvedev or Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. (Coonversely, Sen. Obama has maintained an even keel, and even temperment even when getting the kitchen sink thrown at him by Clinton. I'll take cool calm and collected any day.)
I do not find Clinton "agile" but a facile liar. That is tough, but true. Everyday there are new revelations (from the "most vetted, most investigated, most innocent" candidate in history -- words directly from her and her husband) which shoot down the myths, legends and tall tales she is telling about herself. I find the need to create a larger than life role for herself particularly needy. She didn't "open" the border to Macedonia, she didn't enter a dangerous war zone, she didn't bring peace to Northern Ireland, it was just a speech she gave to the Chinese (just words, Hillary? "words don't matter...") to no real effect, she had no security clearance, she did nothing discernible with regard to the genocide in Rwanda (even her husband in contemporary reporting at the time said nothing of her input), she didn't create S-CHIP, failed at universal health insurance, was the root cause of the Whitewater scandal, Travelgate and Filegate, refused to settle with Paula Jones early, and then there's Monica-gate which she was involved in as well. In short, she seems to allow her ego to impair her judgment. (Which brings us to the increasingly bitter, divisive gridlock we find ourselves in with regard to the Dem nomination.)
The 3 am ad would have been excellent if she was selling home security, but it completely missed the mark with regard to homeland security. One, if something was happening somewhere in the world (meaning not in my hometown) I'm not going to be jumping out of bed to check on my sleeping children. Two, if something is happening, I expect someone in the NSA to field that call. I expect that person to wake and brief the President. I don't expect to see the President in suit and tie or lipstick and pearls at 3 am. I expect jeans and sweatshirt, no makeup and the full contingent of aides, advisers, specialists and loads of coffee in the Situation Room. Point blank, the ad was unrealistic.
"She did a lot better than Obama on Super Tuesday..." Actually on Super Tuesday, Sen. Obama won 13 states/contests to Sen. Clinton's 9. Where I'm from 13 is more than 9. (but I am not familiar with this Clinton New Math, where being behind in the delegate count states won, popular vote with no realistic chance of catching or surpassing one's opponent constitutes "winning" and deserving of the top spot on the ticket.)
I find Clinton's sense of "being owed" the Presidency, of being "inevitable" (another ego problem), her unbridled ambition, and her ruthlessness and willingness to go to any lengths to get what she feels she deserves is disturbing. It is this "my way or the highway" mindset that we have suffered under not just for the last 7+ plus years with George W. Bush, but with the Clintons during their "co-presidency" in the 90s. This stubborn obstinance is not what this country needs at this perilous time.
But, hey... that's just my take.
March 16, 2008 11:43 PM | Reply | Permalink
Since we have finally seen a few responses on the Hillary question, I think we should give the original post an opportunity to tell us why he supports Obama, really.
I'm sure a few others will join in.
March 16, 2008 11:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
This did it for me. In the 8 years of the most secretive Administration in history, we need a little sunshine to disinfect Washington. Check out all of the legislation he has promoted.
http://obama.senate.gov/issues/ethics_and_lobbying_reform/
Not to mention that he does not shy away, like many dems do, from discussing the role of Religion and Politics. I believe it is a really brave stand to take.
http://link.brightcove.com/services/link/bcpid463869411/bctid416343938
March 17, 2008 12:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I find it strange and a little racist that 15 second sound bites would be taken out of many years of sermons by Wright and used against him and Obama.
If you took certain phrases out of the bible and did not look at the whole work you would also get a very distorted view.
The good works that Wright did for his community are being completely ignored. The MSM seem to be on a feeding frenzy over this which is more than disturbing.
When right wing ministers make statements that are over-the-top, I never hear recommendations for their followers to leave the church. The Wright drama is more about racism than anything else.
March 17, 2008 12:05 AM | Reply | Permalink
If there were only a few soundbites it would be one thing. Wright is a poster child for Republican soundbites.
March 17, 2008 2:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
I find it strange and a little racist that 15 second sound bites would be taken out of many years of sermons by Wright and used against him and Obama.
If you took certain phrases out of the bible and did not look at the whole work you would also get a very distorted view.
The good works that Wright did for his community are being completely ignored. The MSM seem to be on a feeding frenzy over this which is more than disturbing.
When right wing ministers make statements that are over-the-top, I never hear recommendations for their followers to leave the church. The Wright drama is more about racism than anything else.
March 17, 2008 12:08 AM | Reply | Permalink
Wow, I don't recall ever seeing such a civil and well articulated post from a Clinton supporter (that said, "Obamabots" are not exactly famous for their civilness either), and here we have two in a row! Thanks Rose83 and miki, and of course to Jsmith0316 for bringing it out. This is for the first time that I actually understand how Clinton supporters think and see some rationale that I don't find completely, well, irrational. Just like Jsmith, I tried to see it before, but as a natural Obama supporter I just could not see it. Again, thank you. Now onto the topic.
I always asked myself how someone could support a politician who so obviously uses such dirty tactics as deception, manipulation, even lies. Now I see that people support Clinton not despite such tactics but because of them - because they see it as necessary to defeat an equally dirty opponent.
I remember thinking like that not so long ago, but experience from recent years (albeit in my country, which is not the US) taught me a few things that changed my mind:
1. Negative tactics have an amzing power to backfire. They may have a "positive" effect (for the one using them), but it is short-term at best, while the negative effect on both parties are a lot more long lasting (people forget a smear, but they don't forget being lied to).
2. Such "fighter" characters, who are seen as "strong" because of their preparedness to use any means necessary to win, have the capacity not only to fight their opponents, but also their allies. And there really are no permanent opponents and allies, so alienating people who could be your allies tomorrow is a really bad thing to do. Hillary is currently alienating about half of the Democratic party from herself and the other half from Obama. During "war time" (the war currently being between her and Obama) hurting your opponent seems reasonable, even if you also hurt yourelf in the process. But in just a few months there will be a completely different "war" and from the November perspective hurting any one Democrat seems like a suicide.
3. Using unethical tactics such as lies may seem necessary or even fun for those who support the attacker, but don't you mind that she's trying to win the election by decieving the people (i.e. YOU)? If she's decieving people for personal gain during the campaign, she's very likely do keep doing that if elected. And how can you trust her that she genuinely wants to help people, when you've already accepted that she's "no saint" and that deception is one of her strong points?
4. I don't understand how people can think of a politician who would not use dirty tactics as a wimp. It's like saying that people who don't steal, rob and murder are wimps. In a way that's true, but it's "being a wimp" that makes us civilized, isn't it? No one would have a hipocrite and a liar for a friend, but they would have one for president???
5. I find it funny that a lot of Christians, whose ultimate role model is Jesus, would not want a "Jesus-like" presidential nominee. "Jesus" doesn't stand a real chance to win in the end, so let's rather elect a Judas, because that's what a realistic politician is like.
6. As times have changed, such tactics have become less necessary and more harmful for the one using them. The internet changed a lot. Before internet, politicians could lie to the people and get away with it not just to get elected but also for their entire time in power. Now that people are more informed, it's getting increasingly harder to get away with such tricks and quite often they backfire on them the very same day. So I think that time has come (or almost come) when it's actually possible to win by being good.
A lot of people, especially older ones, believe that politicians are inherently corrupt, because of their own bad experiences. Just like the old Jeremiah Wright apparently still believes that white people are inherently bad, corrupt and priviliged, based on his experiences from the 70's, which certainly do support his claims, but are slightly outdated... Times are changing and our society is becoming more and more civilized and I think more just and tolerant. And we've long ago reached an age where being peaceful and smart is worth a lot more than being strong and aggressive (in fact that's quite negative). I just don't know why in politics it still seems to be the other way round...
There. I hope my post was civilized enough and that I gave some of you food for thought without offending anyone.
March 17, 2008 1:30 AM | Reply | Permalink
The shortest answer I can muster... Let's assume that no matter who we nominate, we win.
Hillary will be the better president.
Why?
Because Obama will reach out to the Republicans and they will betray him.
Hillary won't. She'll spend her time wrecking them.
I think we need a Democratic president who will be on the offensive from day one and I know that's Hillary. Every time she's criticized for campaigning too hard, I like her more.
I will support Obama if he's nominated. But when I say I want a fighter in the White House I don't mean a fighter against Obama or Al Qaeda but against Republicans. I think that the woman who invented the term "vast right wing conspiracy" while I was still in high school knows who the enemy is and I believe she'll humiliate them.
March 17, 2008 1:50 AM | Reply | Permalink
What do Hillary supporters think of the alleged "Plan B"; that she's in line for Harry Reid's job if Obama prevails?
Hillary's attributes make her a natural fit for that first for an American woman.
March 17, 2008 1:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm down with that. But I think it's a bit early for plan Bs.
March 17, 2008 11:25 AM | Reply | Permalink
The reason you may see so much critique of Obama is because his supporters are deeply stuck on fascination with the "New". Before a discussion on the merits of the candidates can occur, both participants should be more or less clear and set on practical reality. With Clinton there is not much to be said since she is well vetted and familiar. You can't project a lot of unrealized "hopes etc" onto her candidacy as you can with the quite unknown Obama. What else will we see coming out about him? Not because there should necessarily be pleasure in finding him with "baggage", but you really need to test drive the newer model car just as you might need to with the older reliable model before committing to a tough road and unpredictable destination.
With Clinton there are not too many surprises and we expect her to be a politician, but Obama IS A POLITICIAN, and we expect him to be a "messiah" (my term) because he is such a blank slate and we are all fed up with the crap in our country, and easily project our highest wishes on the blank screen.
It would be well for Clinton minded folks to listen to the hopes expressed by the 'Bama people and the Obama crowd need to listen to the blunt, real critiques (without defensiveness)of the Lady's brigade or else they will really be crying when their guy gets even closer to the prize and sees his legs swept out from under him.
Remember, the dems are up against a repub team that managed to claw, lie cheat and steal their way to putting the biggest brain dead doofus in the white house for 8 years. No small feat and no weak adversary.
March 17, 2008 2:00 AM | Reply | Permalink
While it's true that Obama hasn't had time to accomplish a bunch in the Senate, what he has done has been impressive. I would encourage you to check it out - Google for Gov't, the 'Loose Nukes' bill with Lugar, Ethics bill, and some impressive co-sponsorships. He had a very good record in the Illinois Senate, a Constitutional professorship, a civil rights lawyer, and a community organizer.
Maybe not as long as Hillary - but certainly not a 'blank slate'. I do value her experience as First Lady highly. While I don't think she did much, I'm sure she learned a lot. But I like where Obama is coming from. I value civil rights and the Constitution very highly, and I think he's the right guy for that. We have greatly expanded Presidential powers right now, and I'm not sure that I trust Hillary (and Bill) with that. I think Obama can go in there and make it right. He says he taught the Constitution, believes in the Constitution, and will obey the Constitution. I believe him.
As far as the notion of Obama supporters as starry eyed romantics, I resent that. I've spent hours and days researching all the candidates. I've talked about it with my friends, and made a reasoned choice. And yes, I'm aware of what the Repubs have in mind. Karl Rove is working for John McCain. He stole a bunch of elections in 2000,02, 04, and 06. I think he might try to steal an election in 2008. Just a hunch. And I've watch one of the toughest guys there is, John Kerry, go down before him, against all odds, and I'm STILL bitter about it.
Look, one thing that Obama is a LOT better at is thinking on his feet. If Hillary is prepared, she's great. But I've seen Obama ( and other Dems) blindside her, and she gets lost, and gives very predictable answers. I don't think that's gonna get it this year. We had our 'Test Terrorism Alert' last week. Anybody catch it? I think they threw it out there to see what it would do to the polls. McCain gained three points in a week. They are paying 80,000 Sunni Iraqis 10$ a day to not shoot Americans. They are going to try to make Iraq look like Hawaii for the next 6 months - where was McCain today? In Iraq.
So yeah, I've thought about it. I think Obama is the right one to beat McCain. Never underestimate your enemy - McCain is sharp, and he is capable of conveying that to people. I think he could embarrass Hillary, and I don't think he can Obama.
March 17, 2008 3:18 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ok I saw a request for why i support Obama so I will oblige. It may be a bit shorter, because I have to work early and I should be asleep already, not because I have less to say.
First and foremost is ethics. i am not saying Clinton does not have them, however Obama has pushed for open government and ethics from government agencies since he started in politics. I believe this stems from his life experience and seeing the problems most average Americans see. I think that opening up government so that less can go on behind closed doors will hinder those that work to give away our rights and money to those who do not deserve it.
I too think he is a fighter. He is just far more subtle. Look at his attacks against Mcain, they are subtle, they make Mcain look foolish whenever he says anything, and Obama comes out clean on the other side. He is the constant lawyer, taking the enemies arguments, turning them on there head and throwing them back, leaving the target wondering what the hell just happened. I am sure Clinton's supporters can testify to that whenever Clinton is given an elbow to the gut and Obama's supporters have no idea it happened. They still see him the same as they did before he threw the elbow, as the clean politician. Comparing his words when he adresses Mcain vs. when he addresses Clinton also leads me to believe he is holding back against a fellow Democrat. I don't think this makes him clean, I think it makes him smart. He knows it is what his supporters want to see. He knows when he needs to fight, and when he just needs to keep it clean. Picking battles is incredibly important.
Constitutional law. This man knows what this country was meant to be from the start. I believe he puts some serious weight on our rights.
I'll be honest here, a big part of it is his refusal to take money from lobbyists. I just have a hard time believing that Senator Clinton, or any politician that receives millions from any industry will do anything to restrict said industries from screwing we the people. I'll also be honest that the whole thing may just be a ploy on his part because it is what we want to here, I am not naive. However I think his history, once again shows a commitment to ethics.
That said this is the sole reason I support his health care over hers, it has nothing to do with the mandates or the universality. I just have a hard time saying I support a mandate when I do not trust the health insurance industry and I do not trust that she can really do anything to regulate them when she has taken so much money from them. I also believe that Obama's plan is a first step. I believe that without taking there money he will have a lot more freedom to introduce single payer down the line when people see that, "hey this ain't so bad". I truly belive she will be stuck at her original plan. It would be nigh on impossible for her to say, hey, thanks for all that money but I am going to phase you out.
Next he is truly able to inspire a great many people to be more active in politics then they ever have before. All of these people are doing more then just marking a ballot. before Texas his supporters made over 150 thousand calls on his behalf. Which I am sure took him from a 20 point loss to a 10 point loss in Ohio and a 2 point loss in the Texas primary and a win in the caucus. Imagine if he is able to keep this up (it hasn't slowed down yet, just gotten more support) Say congress tries to block something and he can get 100 thousand people calling there congress representatives. He is running on the fact that we the people can truly have a government for the people, and all it takes are a few calls or letters and a president who is truly working for us.
I think his electability is under rated. People are judging the coming election on past examples, however the nation has never been in this type of position. Sure we have had it rough from time to time, but lets list our problems now.
Recession. Check.
War. Check.
Shredding of our constitutional rights. Check.
The youth getting out in numbers that match there elders. Check.
These are new times we are in, and while the past my give some insight, I think the present is not the past. We have 26 million votes, in a primary. We have the ptential to blow this thing away.
in the 90's studies showed that roughly 60% of the country considered itself conservative or conservative leaning. The role has reversed in a recent study. 60% say they are either liberal or that they are independent leaning liberal.
I think despite what some people have posted about past elections that the current situation in this country changes things. Obama or Clinton could still lose. One way would be a new attack on America before the election, but other then that it's all ours to lose.
I am sure I could come up with more but I am now tired. I would just like to finish by saying I am a 29 year old who has led a pretty cynical life. I have a college degree and have not been a sucker since I was a teenager. I am not a gullible kid. I was roped in by the rhetoric because it sounded good to my ears and heart. I stayed because upon inspection of his record and his life before politics I liked what I saw. Is Obama a messiah? No. Do I trust him implicitly? No. He is just a human being. However I respect him, I do not see some secret agenda, I see a human being who saw a lot of nastiness and thought maybe he could change something. I think he has gotten a little dirty in the process, but who hasn't?
March 17, 2008 3:36 AM | Reply | Permalink
Have you seen this video...
watch the entire thing... you'll see during God Bless America...
Obama refuses to put his hand on his chest....
hummmmmmmmmmmm WHAT DO YOU THINK THIS MEANS AMERICA...
http://youtube.com/watch?v=5N-1-g90bW0
March 17, 2008 4:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
Is that Logo or Loco - nothing new huh? After this great civilized discussion that's all your brain can conjure - jeez. Sad.
March 17, 2008 6:47 AM | Reply | Permalink
It means your an idiot who can't be bothered to go to http://www.snopes.com/politics/obama/anthem.asp
March 17, 2008 9:35 AM | Reply | Permalink
It could mean that he knows that our National Anthem is "The Star Spangled Banner" not "God Bless America."
March 17, 2008 1:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
'86? congressional election year?
1984 is the year to focus on, because its the year Democrats lost big.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._presidential_election,_1984
Walter Mondale and Geraldine Ferraro got owned by Ronald Reagan and George Bush. One state win, that's a joke.
Mondale thought he would be setting a great precident by selecting a woman as his VP running mate, ignoring some good presidential candidates he could have gone with (Geraldine was just a member of Congress from NY). Jesse Jackson ran for president that year and had won 3 state primaries, Mondale could have better his losses that year if he picked Jackson but instead he stiffed him, and that the black vote the Democratic party ignored joined the Reagan revolution.
I look back at that and wonder what the hell was Mondale thinking buy not picking any of the presidential candidates that year.
But what was so special about 1986?
March 17, 2008 6:59 AM | Reply | Permalink
I mean, similar criticism doesn't put Hillary and Al Gore in identical positions. Her emotional caprice is hardly the determinuing factor for why I'm going for Obama, it's incidental to the larger whole. I've already said the way she has handled executive power before makes me wary of her ability to really lead the nation. I think she is a very intelligent, politically-savvy, and knowledgable woman, but I don't know if she can lead.
Herbert Hoover was a genius of economics. In theory, there was no candidate better qualified to deal with the economy. Yet, for all his brilliance, he was an utter flop when the Great Depression hit. Hillary belongs way up in the government, without a doubt, but I still think she doesn't have what it takes to really lead. She has shown me that she's a fighter, a legislative pitbull who can get things done. But political pit-fighting and steering the state are two different things. I doubt Hillary can bring about real compromise or consensus, and while she will likely bring about change, how long will those changes last in the next administration? For issues like healthcare, you NEED compromise--a bipartisan, moderate route. It's the only way these critical issues start holding water for everyone and cease to be a "liberal" agenda. Incentives work better for all parties than mandates. It's the middle ground, but you need a middle ground if you want things to stick. Otherwise, unpopular decisions will just be overturned when a new majority sweeps Congress. I'd rather have post-partisan permanance than partisan fluctuations of interest. Obama at least offers the chance of a new consensus-building. Hillary doesn't.
But look, in all honesty, both Obama and Hillary are highly qualified and I (and I hope you) will vote for Democrat in November. Either candidate will realize a good deal of the vision of the other.
March 17, 2008 10:19 AM | Reply | Permalink
This post was clearly an opportunity for Obamaniacs to trap Clinton supporters and air their grievences towards Hillary.
I do not believe for a second that she is alienating half of the Democratic Party and killing her chances in November. The truth is that many people have had a tough decision on who to back, and that has shown in the voting.
Further, those who post on this and other similar sites are so overwhelmingly tilted towards Obama. The group is a poor representation of the party as a whole regardless of how strongly they may feel that they are a cross section of voters.
Anyone who tries to answer the question posted in the original post is setting themself up for failure. To do so would be automatically operating within the frame set by the author (which is clearly not an objective one), that gives B.O. supporters the chance to trap that person.
It reminds me a lot of the debates - they ask Hillary a question and Barack gets to play softball.
So if you want a conversation that is really substantive, let's try this - post an issue and let's discuss their respective stances on that issue, as opposed to a general discussion on the candidates. Otherwise, it is just going to be the ranting of fired up supporters on both sides, and not get to any real resolution or discussion.
But then again, maybe that is not really what you wanted in the first place.
March 17, 2008 11:02 AM | Reply | Permalink
Yeah, it really boils down to a fundamental matter of appeal. I partly agree with you on the evident MSM bias against Hillary. Making fun of her cackle or her wardrobe or all these other petty issues is so inane and petty. However, for all this pettiness, I'd like to see them grill her more on her tax returns (they are important--I need to know to whom she feels obliged), or spend less time questioning the extent of her foreign policy credentials and more about why it's significant. But the MSM is just tabloidal. I can remember the day Hillary released a memo boasting her foreign experience Chris Matthews spent the entire segment of Hardball talking about "as far as I know." It was so absurd. Personally, I thought it was kind of smarmy, but it didn't deserve sixty minutes. Even this Rev. Wright stuff gets the wrong kind of coverage--all the media ever talks about is strategy and jungle-gym gossip (was Obama there? Is he lying? Will Rev. Wright hurt his chances? What will the Republicans do with this?)--it's just a dismal inevitability.
I mean, I hope you'll vote Democrat either way. Personally, accomplished as Clinton is, her actual handling of power in the past makes me wary that she can handle it. Herbert Hoover was an economic genius, but none of that brilliance helped him in the Depression. It's not just about resumes.
Neither is it just about a feel-good message. But the truth is, I have a faith in Obama that'll allow me to take the gamble. Should he become President, there's no telling how he'll be, but I want to see this approach of his in action. It could be dynamic, it could be more of the same, I really don't know. I'm aware of the risks and the potential disappointment, but I want to give him a chance. Plus, for me, the only Presidents I have ever been conscious of are Bushes and Clintons. I need a change, yo.
She is committed to universal healthcare, but I'm wary of her ability, not so much to make it happen, but to have it stick. It's a polarizing issue, which is why I think Obama's incentive strategy is a better starting point. I'd like healthcare to become a broader issue instead of part of the agenda of the progressive left. I like the progressive vision and moderate policy of his incentives. I feel more people can get on board with incentives than mandates. I'm just worried if Hillary's fighting for change will make those changes last.
March 17, 2008 11:10 AM | Reply | Permalink
I tend to agree with AKBNYC, in that these types of posts tend to be "really, seriously, post your reasons why you would vote for Clinton... we'll hold the political football for you, really Charlie Brown." So, we'll see just how sincere the OP really is. Here are the main reasons why I'm more inclined to vote for Ms Clinton than Mr Obama.
1. Ms Clinton wants to scrap No Child Left Behind, and start education reform from scratch. Mr Obama wants to tweak it, only. Since I'm fundamentally opposed to "teaching to the tests", I support Ms Clinton's efforts.
2. Ms Clinton's rhetoric concerning gobalization seems more rational. As someone who supports international trade, I appreciate Ms Clinton's more nuanced approach to business. Mr Obama has sounded rather populist and anti-trade in his policy speeches. Although Ms Clinton has started to lean leftwards considerably in this regard, she appears more pragmatic with her approach to free (and fair) trade.
3. I prefer Ms Clinton's views of health care reform to that of Mr Obama's. The differences between the two have been hashed out countless times on boards such as these, so I won't go into the minutae.
4. Both have good energy policies; however, it seems Ms Clinton's goes farther in scope and funding that Mr Obama's.
5. Ms Clinton has traditionally supported women and children's health, development, and education opportunities. She has been championing these issues for decades, and it's a very important issue for me. Both have good platforms, I just find Ms Clinton's more appealing.
March 17, 2008 12:36 PM | Reply | Permalink
1) health care, Obama's starting point is too far to the right. By caving on mandates from thew outset you have already given the republicans 1/2 the store. Edwards knew that and I believe that is the only reason he has nopt endorsed Obama so far.
2) She will end cowboy diplomacy and restore our credibility with the world. I've personally discussed her plans with Joe Wilson and think they are brilliant. Obama is way weak by comparison, and we just don't know what he would really do.
2.5) She will bring a "vital voices" like perspective to the middle east and use the empowerment of women as a way to heal the very male dominated adversarial eye-for-and-eye mentality that dominates so many serious conflicts.
3)She will push for a big investment in a green economy which we will need to break out of our economic woes and attempt to reverse or ameliorate global warming.
4) she will work dutifully and diligently and correctly to undo most if not all of Bush's attacks on science and good government. I don't see Obama even discussing this. She says it in every speech
5) she would pick Obama as a running mate and heal the wounds of this campaign, giving him a chance to prove himself, to the skeptics as a VP and then his own 8 years as president, which I'm sure he would do very well. Obama would pick a female running mate from republican state or such and it would not be as healing nor as helpful in the general as if he joined up w/ HRC herself.
March 17, 2008 1:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
When did she say that she would pick him for VP?
I heard her say "it might be possible", but first we need to annoint her the nominee.
I heard Bill Clinton say "they would be unstoppable".
And I heard many of her surrogates talk about how Obama is not qualified for C in C, but would make a great VP.
I never heard anyone say that she would definitely pick him if she is the nominee. Lots of implied inuendo, but that's status quo for HRC.
March 17, 2008 3:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
sorry for the typos, I hope you get the meaning.
March 17, 2008 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Certainly, Hilary's facility with policy is to her credit. She obviously understands the issues well and holds many positions that I agree with. As far as domestic policy goes, they are not that far apart and would both be a massive improvement over the incompetent incumbent. She and Obama will attempt the same basic things and draw from pretty much the same pool of advisors.
However, Hilary (along with Bill and many other Democrats) made a choice a long time ago about how to win elections. That choice is to be hawkish on all issues regarding national security so as to reduce Republican advantages on those issues and to win elections only on economic arguments (it's the economy, stupid!). Her votes on the Iraq war and on Kyl-Lieberman are entirely because of that perspective. This approach has been disastrous for our country - it leaves the Republicans with no restraint and pushes them ever further to the right in search of advantage (elections of 2002). Democrats used to lead the very successful consensus foreign policy of engagement and international leadership.
Obama has been willing to stake out a different perspective on foreign policy and argue for engagement. He can move this country in a positive direction on foreign policy. This is an argument that we can't continue to concede to the right. We must make a positive argument for a different approach. Hilary hasn't done that in the past and there is no reason to believe that she will change in the future.
If Hilary wins, there will be no argument about the war in the general. None. The basic assumptions behind the entire war will never be examined, and any politician watching will make the correct deduction that support for war is always by far the safer bet, no matter how specious the rationale. She and McCain will both claim to have draw down plans as things improve and she will (correctly) claim to be the more competent economic steward.
For me, it's the deal-breaker. No amount of policy papers is going to help us if all of our money is being bled into the sands of Iraq (or Iran or Syria).
March 17, 2008 1:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
I confess that I have not read all the comments as there are so many and that my comments may be considered contrary to the purpose of this thread
First ...Someone mentioned Sen. Clinton's school days ...let's remember that she was also PRESIDENT OF THE YOUNG REPUBLICANS AT WELLESLEY.
SECOND ...Let's note that the Clinton campaign folks are the ones challenging the processes [TX, NV, IA, NH] that has been in place for years and got her husband elected. Suddenly, because her entitled inevitablity is being succcesfully challenged by someone who is not a part of the good ole Wash. club she finds so much undemocratic about the process.
THIRD ...No matter her policies and there are very few differences between the candidates, her record demonstrates that she would not be able to get very much done due to her inability to play well in the sand box as well as republican angst against her and their hatred of Bill.
March 17, 2008 2:16 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have a serious question for those thinking that the Hillary camp is putting out all of this "negative" press regarding the pastor at Obama's church. That church appears to be predominantly black. Who would have sent out that tape from that congregation? Has anyone thought of the possibility that Obama leaked it out himself? That the idea to make Hillary Look like a racist isn't just another political ploy by the Obama camp to undermine her? The timing is perfect, with the good pastor retired now, How would she have gotten hold of such a tape? On my worst day, I wouldn't sell out the preacher in my Church.
March 17, 2008 3:56 PM | Reply | Permalink