Obama's popular vote lead?
Instapundit finds that nearly all of Obama's current popular vote lead comes from one county in Illinois. I'm an Obama cheerleader, but does this threaten his claim to a legitimate lead?
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Instapundit finds that nearly all of Obama's current popular vote lead comes from one county in Illinois. I'm an Obama cheerleader, but does this threaten his claim to a legitimate lead?
I am just curious how you narrow a lead in votes to one county, when the tally total is a summation of it's parts?
This fuzzy math game gives me a headache.
March 26, 2008 1:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
I doubt it will matter. The numbers are the numbers, and the voters have spoken. Any number of them could have voted for Clinton if they desired. The popular vote tally is just that! He is more popular than she is. Districts and states, etc., are important for determining delegates.
March 26, 2008 1:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Please explain to me how the man wins all those primaries and caucuses, and they whittle it down to Illinois. I mean, does it make any sense to you?
March 26, 2008 1:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
Good info there, thanks! Worth pointing out that if you also subtract New York votes (hillary's home state), Obama's overall lead (without Florida or Michigan) is 377,600.
March 26, 2008 1:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
Obviously the folks that know Obama the best helped him win his adopted home state (which is Hillary's native state) by twice as many votes Hillary won her adopted home state by.
Of course, you could just as easily say Obama's 700,000 vote lead all came from VA (278,000) MD (218,000) and WI (196,000). Pretty meaningless, particularly when you also consider that caucus states IA, NV, ME and WA aren't included in that popular vote count (RealClearPolitics.com estimates that would be another 110,000 net plus to Obama if counted).
But I guess it makes as much sense as saying small states, red states, caucus states, states with large African-American populations, etc., don't count.
March 26, 2008 2:56 PM | Reply | Permalink
Desperate times call for desperate systems of measures.
March 26, 2008 2:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
"I'm an Obama cheerleader, but does this threaten his claim to a legitimate lead?"
Ummmmmmmmm, hmmmmmmmmmmmmm, hold on a second, checking the math............wait, one second, counting on fingers............... um, ok, yeah, i got it. NO.
March 26, 2008 2:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
Other than presenting another piece of meaningless campaign trivia, 429,000 is hardly "nearly all" of 711,000. What you posted does not reflect what Instapundit posted.
It is indeed silly season.
March 26, 2008 3:08 PM | Reply | Permalink