When people talk about Pennsylvania, a state Hillary was expected to win, had a nearly 30 point polling lead a month ago that dwindled to 5, that she actually won by 9, here is what you need to tell them. Because the mainstream media won't.   As of today, the pledged delegate counts are 1487 for Obama and 1331 for Hillary. Superdels already decided: 232 Obama, 255 Hillary Total estimated delegates as of today: 1719 Obama, 1586 Hillary.   It takes 2024 delegates to get the nomination.   Here are the remaining races, conservative (in Obama's favor) estimates of the votes, and the delegates awarded.   Guam, 4 delegates, 2 each (with only 4 delegates, wide margins will still split them 2/2) NC: Obama 54% (65), Clinton 46% (50) IN: Obama 43% (31), Clinton 57% (41) WV: Obama 43% (12), Clinton 57% (16) KY: Obama 43% (23), Clinton 57% (28) OR: Obama 52% (27), Clinton 48% (25) MT: Obama 54% (8), Clinton 46% (8) SD: Obama 52% (8), Clinton 48% (7) PR: Obama 42% (23), Clinton 58% (32)   So that would place the delegate totals (including the pledged and supers that have declared to date) at:   Obama 1915, Clinton 1798   The remaining uncommitted 308 superdelegates will need to decide this.   If Hillary receives 60% of them (unlikely, since Obama will have the lead in pledged delegates), that will put the totals at:   Obama 2038, Clinton 1983   In fact, Hillary will need a full 74% of the remaining uncommitted superdelegates to reach the 2024 number. The number is likely more than that since I was very conservative in predictions of the remaining races.   All the stuff on this page above this line can be summarized as such:   Obama has already won the nomination.