« Obama should just keep on keeping on. | flavius's Blog | Obama on thes gas tax , good economics, bad politics »

And now for something completely different


For a vigorous but subtle defense of HRC's and Obama's
position on withdrawing from Iraq  read Steven Simon in the May/June foreign affair. Or for a taste just read this excerpt

<blockquote> The surge may have brought transitory
successes...........but it has done so by stoking the three
forces that have traditionally threatened the stability of Middle Eastern states:tribalism,warlordism , and sectarianism. States that have failed to control these forces have ultimately become ungovrernable, and (my underline)this is the fate for which the surge is preparing Iraq.  A strategy intended to reduce casualties in the short term will ineluctably weaken the prospects for Itaq's cohesion  over the long run.</blockquote>


4 Comments

| Leave a comment
user-pic

"Warlordism" is a word? Cool!

user-pic

Simon served on the National Security Council .
Maybe it's NSCspeak.

user-pic

Thank you for policy substance!

From the minute it was cobbled together, Iraq has been capable of flying apart in terrible ways.

I am so sad, and so sorry, that our country has made those terrible fractures even more dangerous. Some Americans actively approved, while others did far too little to stop it. But eventually, it was our government deciding, and it is our shared fault as a nation.

If I saw a way that we could make life truly safer for Iraqi families by risking more American lives and spending more American money, I'd think that was our duty.

But I don't see that path open before us, and I fear that our continuing presence just slows down the process of the Iraqis finding their way to something like stability.

What a terrible thing we have done.


user-pic

Here's some more of what Simon says.

Given the current trajectory,significant Sunni segments of the post surge Iraq will continue to be funded by the United States ,but will remain beyond the control of either Bagdad or Washington. They will also be in a position to establish ties with neighboring countries......When it withdraws....the US will be leaving a country more divided than the one it invaded-thanks to a stragegy that has systematically nourished domestic rivalries...

At this stage,the US has no good option in Iraq. But the...dangers of the current..approach demand (that) ...Washington must return to the kind of diplomacy that ...Bush has...neglected.

In order to attain that kind of cooperation ,Washington must make a public commitment to a phased wisthdrawal.

The point ..is not to focus on the precise...Rather what is necessary is to make clear that the US intends to withdraw. Should the Bush adminstration suspend the currently programmed withdrawals (it just did, last week-Flav )it would send precisely the opposite message.

Leave a comment

flavius

user-pic

Following: 1
Followers: 13

Posts
Comments & Recommends


  • Location Long Island
  • Party Democratic
  • Politics slightly left of the party's center

Favorites

  • Favorite Blogs Brad Delong
  • Favorite Books Skidelsky's biography of Keynes; Naipaul's "In a Free State"
  • Favorite Quotes First they came for the socialists and I did not speak out because I was not a socialist. Then they came for the trade unionists and I did not speak out etc. Then they came for the Jews and I did not speak out etc. Then they came for me-and there was no one left to speak for me.

Bio

Worked outside the US for 15 years.

All Reader Posts
How to use myTPM

Advertise Liberally
Share
Close Social Web Email

"To" Email Address

Your Name

Your Email Address