Clinton's time line comparison helps Obama
Clinton's references to other Democratic contests not being "wrapped up" until is June is misleading because the nomination contest this year started two months earlier.
Yet this is Clinton's argument for staying in the race; as her way of saying that this seemingly endless contest really isn't that unusual. Despite being a bad comparison, the public at large takes her word for it.
As I've said before, the length of this contest is more a sign of two strong candidates rather than two weak candidates. (The third option, that one candidate is strong, and the other is weak, doesn't make much sense.) But, heading toward the general election, hearing things like "Obama took longer to get the nomination than anyone else" and "it was won with the smallest majority of delegates" could make the Democratic Party nominee sound bad-- Even though it's the result of strength, not weakness. (2008 was a great year for Democrats to run, and we had many other high quality candidates.)
So, it's much better for the party overall for Clinton to keep on emphasizing that this rather long contest shouldn't be thought of as too long at all. On certain matters, like this one, it seems Clinton has infinite credibility and is getting a free pass. This argument received even more attention due to Clinton's rather unfortunate comments, leaving the specific "June is normal" claim unchallenged.
Ultimately, Clinton achieved a twofer: She brought up a vivid and well-discussed reminder that this contest isn't long, and she has started to rather dramatically implode her campaign. This will be her "Dean Scream" moment and by the end of June we'll have a nominee and everyone will have forgotten the worst of what we've been through.
Yet this is Clinton's argument for staying in the race; as her way of saying that this seemingly endless contest really isn't that unusual. Despite being a bad comparison, the public at large takes her word for it.
As I've said before, the length of this contest is more a sign of two strong candidates rather than two weak candidates. (The third option, that one candidate is strong, and the other is weak, doesn't make much sense.) But, heading toward the general election, hearing things like "Obama took longer to get the nomination than anyone else" and "it was won with the smallest majority of delegates" could make the Democratic Party nominee sound bad-- Even though it's the result of strength, not weakness. (2008 was a great year for Democrats to run, and we had many other high quality candidates.)
So, it's much better for the party overall for Clinton to keep on emphasizing that this rather long contest shouldn't be thought of as too long at all. On certain matters, like this one, it seems Clinton has infinite credibility and is getting a free pass. This argument received even more attention due to Clinton's rather unfortunate comments, leaving the specific "June is normal" claim unchallenged.
Ultimately, Clinton achieved a twofer: She brought up a vivid and well-discussed reminder that this contest isn't long, and she has started to rather dramatically implode her campaign. This will be her "Dean Scream" moment and by the end of June we'll have a nominee and everyone will have forgotten the worst of what we've been through.
Advertisement





Okay, I'll play nice.
But, I will point out that by Hillary's month count, she should've quit in April. Just saying.
May 25, 2008 11:11 AM | Reply | Permalink
I only wish those who accept her at her word that she isn't partly staying in the race in case Obama gets assassinated would then question her time line example and push her surrogates on it. It doesn't have a leg to stand on and once again it goes unchallenged.
May 25, 2008 12:00 PM | Reply | Permalink
Even worse for Hillary's math:
The sitting Democratic President and, thus, the de facto front-runner for the 1968 election, Lyndon Johnson, did not drop out of the race ("I will not seek, and I will not accept the nomination of my party for another term as your president.") until March 31st of 1968!
So, basically, the 1968 nomination process was compressed into the months of April and May.
Hillary, by contrast, has been running for President since her first veiled run for "Senate" in 2000. So, by her math, maybe she should've dropped out in January 2001.
May 25, 2008 2:22 PM | Reply | Permalink