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Gallup Has Obama Back to 50%


http://www.gallup.com/poll/107014/Gallup-Daily-Democrats-Tied-Record-12th-Day.aspx

Rebound, baby, rebound.

This marks yet an other day where he inches up.

Wright, Schmight, so I say.

Come on Hoosiers, are you really so easily pandered to that you'll keep your party in turmoil?  End this tomorrow!

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Hillary will blow up the party before dropping out. She has to her support just does not exist among those under 50 makes this her best chance to win the presidency. No matter what happens this is going to the convention.

Nope. Once Obama hits 2024, more supers will leave Clinton and push it up even further, making any ploys of hers irrelevent. This will be over in June.

Oh, I think for sure if she loses tomorrow, she'll leave the race. The problem is that she will likely win in Indiana, and if she does, it just delays the inevitable.

But 50% and looking down is nicer than where the Queen of Tuzla is this morning.

Gallup Daily: Democrats Tied for Record 12th Day

Obama’s 5-point lead, 50% to 45%, is within poll’s margin of error

PRINCETON, NJ -- Barack Obama has a five percentage point edge over Hillary Clinton for the nomination among national Democrats, 50% to 45%, in Gallup Poll Daily tracking from May 2-4. THIS IS NOT A STATISTICALLY SIGNIFICANT LEAD, but a continuation of the close race seen for nearly two weeks.

Although there have been variations in the gap between Clinton and Obama in recent weeks (for example, Clinton led Obama by four points at one time last week), the two have been statistically tied in national Democratic preferences continuously since Gallup's April 21-23 interviewing -- spanning 12 Gallup Poll Daily tracking reports. This is the longest stretch the two have been tied since tracking began in January -- beating an 11-day streak seen at the start of March.

Obama won 2,264 votes in Guam's Democratic caucuses on Saturday, May 3, to Clinton's 2,257 votes. It is unclear from Gallup's Sunday tracking results whether Obama's razor-thin 7-vote victory there boosted his candidacy among Democrats nationally. The upcoming Democratic primaries in North Carolina and Indiana on Tuesday are poised to be much more important events in shaping national Democratic perceptions of whether Clinton or Obama should lead the party's ticket for president this fall.

John McCain continues to hold a slight, but significant, lead over Obama among national registered voters for the general election, as he has for the past several days. Gallup's latest five-day rolling average of national registered voters, from April 30-May 4, shows McCain leading Obama by four percentage points, 47% to 43% (He has led Obama by as many as six points in recent days.).

At the same time, Clinton ties McCain in national voter preferences for the fall; each is favored by 46%. -- Lydia Saad

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