« First super delegate of the day | Little Fish's Blog | Extrapolate 25% of current Lake Co returns, Obama wins! »
Lake County: 70% Obama lead would erase gap
Lake County: 70% Obama lead would erase gap
Indianapolis went for Obama 67%
Indianapolis went for Obama 67%
Advertisement





I heard less than that - 57% needed.
May 6, 2008 11:30 PM | Reply | Permalink
I used uber conservative figures.
May 6, 2008 11:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
Well it depends on the voter turnout. Anyway the delay is not good. It suggestive of Chicago politics were the vote in some districts is withheld until they can get the right count. It is particularly not good fro Obama, being from Chicago and Gary, IN, a satellite of Chicago being the one hold out.
May 6, 2008 11:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
The less you speak about it the less you give her supporters or trolls to run with.
Just let it all come out, and then insert thought.
May 6, 2008 11:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Check Booman his analysis is pretty on point 99% of the time.
May 6, 2008 11:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Though the analysis omits the remaining votes to be counted in other counties, and there are a couple currently going Clinton's way.
None-the-less, it's a very good showing for Obama, and it seems that the Clintons were a bit dispirited curing the Senator's "victory" speech.
May 6, 2008 11:44 PM | Reply | Permalink
MSNBC says 60%
May 6, 2008 11:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
I may be wrong, but I think Lake County mirrors Indianopolis, except 1/2 the size. Smaller vote pool means he needs a larger share to cover a fixed gap, 40K.
Eitherway, there seems to be whispers that the margins are huge in Lake.
May 6, 2008 11:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hillary has to have her lawyers/monitors up there - Though this wait is ridiculous.
May 6, 2008 11:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
It could happen. Obama could pull this out yet. If it were to happen though, I'm not sure Clinton would drop out - which would be tiresome, ugly and desperate. In other words an extension of the road we've been on.
When push does finally come to shove though, will Clinton direct her supporters to embrace Obama? And will they listen? I've often wondered what percentage of her supporters are actually pro-Hillary as opposed to anti-Obama. Today's exit polls perpetuated my concern on the matter.
May 6, 2008 11:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think most of them are anti-black anyone AND pro-Bill Clinton. I have yet to meet, IRL, a Hillary Supporter who liked her or knew anything about her.
May 7, 2008 12:33 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is fun. Feels like 2006.
May 6, 2008 11:48 PM | Reply | Permalink
The first quarter of lake county looks good for Obama. That must be largely Gary.
May 6, 2008 11:49 PM | Reply | Permalink
Shameless Plug:
Chat room...requires AIM name:
http://chat.aim.com/chats/politics/tpm
May 7, 2008 12:11 AM | Reply | Permalink