Nothing since End of March and that one was not very unreliable.
Research & Research, poll dates 3/31-4/5/08: Clinton 50, Obama 37. Those are the numbers the MSM is using to predict what's going to happen. It's all kind of silly. Maybe there'll be a poll sometime this week; if there is you can bet it'll be picked to death on TPM.
Realclearpolitics updates their poll results quickly, though I can't find any Puerto Rico polls there.
The poll I mentioned was found on pollster.com.
I believe that most pollsters have dropped Clinton as a competitor.
There's a number of 13% lead for Clinton floating around,but there's no way of knowing the accuracy.
Actually, we know it's theoretical accuracy: margin of error of more than four per cent, 19 times in 20.
Total of 400 respondents, taken at least two months ago, among people who don't get to vote in November.
A lot of stuff has happened since then; turnout will be the deciding factor.
Hillary won't win by 13, and if the Obama campaign has done its usual groundwork, he just might pull off an upset.
Personally, I am hoping Obama kicks her ass in PR, SD and MT, to help shut her down sooner.
Lol. She's probably going to win Puerto Rico but I don't it's going to be a blowout like West Virgina. Maybe 5 - 7 points.
Nothing since End of March and that one was not very unreliable.
May 26, 2008 7:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
Research & Research, poll dates 3/31-4/5/08: Clinton 50, Obama 37. Those are the numbers the MSM is using to predict what's going to happen. It's all kind of silly. Maybe there'll be a poll sometime this week; if there is you can bet it'll be picked to death on TPM.
Realclearpolitics updates their poll results quickly, though I can't find any Puerto Rico polls there.
May 26, 2008 7:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
The poll I mentioned was found on pollster.com.
May 26, 2008 7:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
I believe that most pollsters have dropped Clinton as a competitor.
There's a number of 13% lead for Clinton floating around,but there's no way of knowing the accuracy.
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/puerto-rico.html
May 26, 2008 7:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, we know it's theoretical accuracy: margin of error of more than four per cent, 19 times in 20.
Total of 400 respondents, taken at least two months ago, among people who don't get to vote in November.
A lot of stuff has happened since then; turnout will be the deciding factor.
Hillary won't win by 13, and if the Obama campaign has done its usual groundwork, he just might pull off an upset.
May 27, 2008 1:57 AM | Reply | Permalink
Personally, I am hoping Obama kicks her ass in PR, SD and MT, to help shut her down sooner.
May 26, 2008 9:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
Lol. She's probably going to win Puerto Rico but I don't it's going to be a blowout like West Virgina. Maybe 5 - 7 points.
May 26, 2008 9:34 PM | Reply | Permalink