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Poll Shows Clinton Base Starting to Shift to Obama
The latest Gallup poll shows that the base of Clinton's support nationwide is starting to swing towards Obama.
The poll was conduct May 16-18 and shows a gain of 12 points since the first of May. The pickups came from Clintons base. Among Whites, both run to a 47% draw. With Women, Obama takes a 49-46 lead. Obama also leads with those with a high-school degree or less 47-46. Among Hispanics, Obama opens up a significant lead of 51-44.
The poll was conduct May 16-18 and shows a gain of 12 points since the first of May. The pickups came from Clintons base. Among Whites, both run to a 47% draw. With Women, Obama takes a 49-46 lead. Obama also leads with those with a high-school degree or less 47-46. Among Hispanics, Obama opens up a significant lead of 51-44.
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paging idiotic
May 20, 2008 2:01 PM | Reply | Permalink
Clinton Leads in Clinton-Won States
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/5/21/11544/6652/16/519665
Hillary Clinton has won. It's all over. In states where she received more delegates, she has won a majority of the elected delegates. There's no way for Barack Obama to catch up. Not reasonably. Not quickly. Not even tautologically.
If you count the states where she received more delegates, she's ahead 1022-704. That's more than three hundred votes people! That's all 18 of the states! How can we take this nomination away from her?
It gets even worse for Obama. If you add her the ‘super delegate’ contests that she's won, she's ahead 1,315.5 to 704. That's 65.1% of the delegates, in all the states where she won and all of the ‘super delegates’ who she's won. That's a 30-point margin. How can we take it away from her...!?!?
IT GETS EVEN WORSE FROM THERE.
If you look at states where Clinton won by a 30-point margin, she's ahead 124-31. That's 80%-20%!, a 60% margin! Add in her ‘super delegates‘, that 417.5 - 31...! 93% - 7%...!
HOW CAN THEY TAKE THIS AWAY FROM HER...!?!?
The math is on her side...! Any way you look at it (from counting Michigan and Florida, but not Iowa, Nevada, Maine, and Washington, to just counting states she's won) HILLARY HAS CLEARLY ALREADY WON.
Obama should be ashamed of how many states Clinton can't count, because she didn't win them. He's making their votes not count because he won more of them.
Shame on him. He's using Karl Rove-style tactics*.
*Also, Hillary should win because Karl Rove thinks she's the stronger candidate.
May 21, 2008 1:41 PM | Reply | Permalink
Show this to Pat Buchanan every time he harps up in that weird horse yelling voice that "*insert percent here* of Hillary Clinton's supporters say the won't vote for Barack Obama during the National election!"
May 20, 2008 9:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
I guess Gallup didn't poll anyone in Kentucky.
May 20, 2008 9:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
I guess you think Kentucky is the most populous state, or at least in the top half.
May 20, 2008 10:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
I guess Kentucky represents New York?
May 20, 2008 10:39 PM | Reply | Permalink
I guess you think Kentucky is the country.
I'm sorry, what part of "nationwide" didn't you understand?
May 20, 2008 10:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just more evidence, in my opinion, that Hillary Clinton's arguments are total and complete cow dung. I couldn't be happier with these poll results. Though I would like to see the next poll concerning this subject. One poll doesn't necessarily suggest a huge amount, which is why I'd like to see a trend. Still, it's definitely not a negative. Go Obama!
May 21, 2008 12:27 AM | Reply | Permalink
The latest Gallup polls show a huge shift in the Democratic voters' opinions. He jumped up 10 points over a week ago, in what has been a very stable/close poll for months now.
May 21, 2008 11:00 AM | Reply | Permalink