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Who Should Obama Pick for VP and Why?


The Evans-Novak Political Report lists some potential VP choices for Barack Obama, and speculation is mounting that Obama will pick in the 10 days after he returns from his trip and before the Beijing Olympics.  I have some different views to share, and I'd love to hear what others think as well.  Who should he pick and why?

Right now, my top four choices, in no particular order, are Joe Biden, Bill Richardson, Chris Dodd, and John Edwards.  All four are familiar with the process and have been vetted by running themselves, so gaffes and blunders are hopefully less likely.  They are all very solid progressives, some better on some issues than others (Dodd on FISA, Edwards on poverty and trade, Richardson on energy, Biden on foreign policy, etc.). 

Biden, Richardson, and Dodd all have foreign policy experience.  Richardson and Edwards help reinforce Obama's message of change and can run as D.C. outsiders.  Richardson has executive and diplomatic experience and may help with the Western and Hispanic vote. 

I do think age is potentially a factor.  None of them are too old to run for VP right now, but as Dodd is 64 and Biden is 65, they might be too old to run for president themselves after serving as VP.  That has some potential upside as well, however, as it may align their interests better with Obama, without requiring them to chart their own paths in order to run in 2016.  Richardson is 60, and Edwards is 55, so they would not be too old to run in 2016.  (I realize this is getting ahead of ourselves to some degree.)

I would love to see him pick Claire McCaskill, but I think her Senate seat is too important.  I don't know enough about Janet Napolitano or Kathleen Sebelius to have an informed opinion.  Let me know your thoughts in the comments.

I don't want Obama to pick a VP who is more conservative or less experienced than he is.  I don't think that will help him in the White House, as that person could potentially undermine some of the progressive parts of Obama's agenda, and I doubt it will really help him much in the campaign. 

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Here are the Evans-Novak VP choices and my comments. My other questions are who is known as smart and hard-working? With whom would Obama be the most comfortable working?

1. Virginia Gov. Tim Kaine: The logical choice is a moderate Southern governor, and Kaine is the only one who fits that description. His negatives are multiple: only been governor for two and one-half years, with few accomplishments; an absolutely zero profile nationally with low charisma to match; hard to imagine him as President of the United States. But he's popular in Virginia, which hasn't been carried by a Democrat for president since '64, but would be possible with Kaine on the ballot.

[The moderate Southern governor logic is tired. VA is in play regardless, and Kaine is a bit too conservative. I like him, he's an outsider, but they accurately note his many drawbacks.]

2. Sen. Joseph Biden (Del.): He is qualified to be President, and gives foreign policy expertise to Obama. He adds experience and age to the ticket, is a Catholic and was impressive as an unsuccessful presidential candidate (much better than in his disastrous '88 run). The downside is that he talks too much, but who listens to vice presidential candidates anyway?

[Good potential choice]

3. Sen. Evan Bayh (Ind.): He adds moderation and is presentable as a future President. But a fellow senator from the neighboring state of Indiana doesn't add much balance. If he could really bring Indiana into the Democratic fold, it would be worth putting him on the ticket. But that's a stretch.

[Too conservative, too boring. He is young and has executive experience as a former governor. Does he have any foreign policy experience? I assume he voted for the war, although so did several of the other Senators who are potential VP candidates.]

4. Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell: He is very able and very experienced, a ticket-balancer: age 64, Jewish, Clinton supporter and pins down a state that Democrats must win to elect a president. The problem is that he just doesn't look or sound much like a president.

[Too old-school, too many pro-Clinton, anti-Obama statements from the PA primary, we are going to win PA anyway, not as young or pro-change.]

5. Al Gore: Back again! We don't think he would do it, but it's possible. The question: Does he drive off more independents and Republicans than he attracts?

[He's only 60, so age is okay, and obviously has tons of experience and is high-profile and vetted, but he seems pretty set against running. I think the idea of making him VP and giving him the Admin's energy portfolio makes a lot of sense and would love to see it, but would it perversely make it harder to pass an audacious energy bill?]

6. Sen. Bob Casey Jr. (Pa.): He's only 48 years old and elected to the Senate just in 2006, so it doesn't make much sense to have two young first-term Senators on the ticket. Also, he would be an insult to his blood enemy, Rendell. But otherwise he's a ticket-balancer: Catholic, pro-life, pro-gun. He endeared himself to Obama campaigning against the Rendell organization in Pennsylvania.

[Too conservative -- I actually wouldn't want him to be President b/c I'm afraid of the Supreme Court justices he would appoint, and we're going to win PA.]

7. Sam Nunn: The former senator hasn't run office since '92, so it's doubtful how much he would help in the probably unwinnable state of Georgia, and he would be 71 years old when elected. He is still anathema to the gay community for his opposition to "don't say, don't tell". Nevertheless, his national security experience makes him attractive to some party insiders.

[I hope this is a joke. Too conservative, too old, out of the game for too long, etc.]

8. Sen. Hillary Clinton (N.Y): Immensely improbable if only because it brings Bill Clinton back into the picture.

[I like Hillary and Bill, but I just don't think it would work. It brings too much drama back from the primaries and stomps all over the change message. She obviously has the experience, although I think Obama wins most of her primary voters even without her on the ticket, and the ones he loses might not vote for him even with her on the ticket.]

I would personally like to see John Edwards in the slot. They obviously will have many domestic issues to clean up and I think Edwards is the best pick to help address these. I think Richardson would be a good pick for a cabinet post, maybe Secretary of State.

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I agree. I think Edwards would do a very good job of pushing for progressive domestic legislation along the lines that I would like to see and has a good handle on domestic issues generally.

I like Governor Sibelius because she is a 'twofer'. Her childhood as the daughter of an Ohio governor gives her strong ties to an important state in addition to her own state of Kansas. I like how she stood up to George Bush about the deployment of Kansas National Guard troops to Iraq and how it harmed the state's disaster relief efforts. I think she could be a good President.

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Do you know how well Gov. Sebelius handles the media? Does she come across well? I've seen her mostly in her capacity as an Obama surrogate, and I thought she performed effectively in interviews. Still, it would be a big jump from Kansas to VP, in terms of the media spotlight.

I wonder how much her Ohio childhood and her father would help in Ohio. It's always hard to gauge that.

GOP and MSM seems to think Mitt Romney would help McCain with Michigan because of his connections there as his father was a popular Governor.

Basically the feeling is is that Romney would help in Michigan and the Mountain West.

I think we're going to see an outlier. There are other people for who have incredible experience and a certain gravitas with foreign policy and the the armed services.

One to consider is Anthony Zinni -- Viet Nam vet, retired four star general, former Commander in Chief of CENTCOM, U.S. Special Envoy to the Israel and Palestinian Authority, Mideast expert, Catholic, Pennsylvania native. One more ... really, really smart.

If he gets the nod, Wikipedia will crash.

Picking a running mate because he/she appeals to McCain supporters is essentially bringing a bit of McCain (lite) into the White House.

I'd rather see Obama pick a VP based on who will best help him govern, not who will best help him win. Obama himself has said politicians spend too much time worrying about how to win the next election and not enough on why they should.

For me, the best pick is Richardson. From the debates, I got the sense that he and Obama share a philosophy of governing as well as common positions. I think Richardson was the only one to the left of Obama on pulling out of Iraq. Plus, his breadth of experience would be a benefit as Obama tries to get up to speed on issues he hasn't really dealt with before.

Picking a running mate because he/she appeals to McCain supporters is essentially bringing a bit of McCain (lite) into the White House.

I'd rather see Obama pick a VP based on who will best help him govern, not who will best help him win. Obama himself has said politicians spend too much time worrying about how to win the next election and not enough on why they should.

For me, the best pick is Richardson. From the debates, I got the sense that he and Obama share a philosophy of governing as well as common positions. I think Richardson was the only one to the left of Obama on pulling out of Iraq. Plus, his breadth of experience would be a benefit as Obama tries to get up to speed on issues he hasn't really dealt with before.

The fact that he's Hispanic and from the West is just gravy.

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The home-run choice would have been Mark Warner - incredibly popular at home and a business success who can address the economy - but since he's out of the running, my top choices are:

- Kathleen Sebelius - she can connect with the average middle-American voter on the economy

- Brian Schweitzer - see above

- Jack Reed - new enough on the national scene to speak of change, but a man of such utter competence that it would reflect incredibly well on the judgment of Obama.

A vote for Biden: foreign policy pro; long career and experience as a Senator which means that he knows how to deal with Congress so that change could actually be implemented in legislation; will not want to run for POTUS again himself (probably) but, should it become necessary, has full creds for stepping in smoothly.
Katherine Sebelius, though qualified as a choice, would offend Hillary's supporters, and her calm, cool personna (a plus, in fact) would be perceived as being too much like Obama's for the people who vote on the basis of with whom they would feel comfortable having a beer.

I think he needs to pick a woman (not Hillary, despite any hurt feelings on the part of her or any diehard supporters), and to me that says Sebelius.

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As a Vietnam-era draft resister and a longtime anti-imperialist, I'm surprised myself to see the name I'm mentioning, yet can't resist the chance to be the first to mention Wes Clark for VP.

Totally reinforces Obama's credibility as Commander In Chief, and to my mind the little kerfluffle the Repubs tried to raise last month on his just-beginning-to-touch on McCain's actual military judgement and record is _exactly_ what the Obama strategists wouldn't mind having the media dredge back up and expand and become the issue of the week.

Plus Clark's Presidential-ness well trumps just about any Republican name McCain may have under consideration.

Don't know how he stacks up on all the other little considerations (age, religion, state) but the balance of his being the former NATO commander who barely lost any troops in his war, and the same-ness of his having second most-polished and accomplished "managerial manner" in American politics after Barack himself ...

to me, it puts Lyndon Johnson's popular vote percentage record in serious jeopardy.

I did a fourteen part series on this very question at the beginning of the summer. If you'd like to familiarize yourself with some of the contenders, you can read the profile series here:

http://www.theleftanchor.com/vice_president_profile/

John Edwards has been my personal favorite, but I'm not sure he has much of a chance. Right now, I think Kathleen Sebelius makes the most sense (even though she'd be perfect to take the KS Senate seat in 2010), but part of me suspects Obama's going to pick a male as his running mate.

I also really liked Mark Warner, and was sad to see him issue his Sherman statement on the matter.

Nationally R and G has it as a tossup. More importantly R has Obama behind by 10 in Ohio, down by a few in Florida, with no chance in W VA and Arkansas. With Hillary all of these would be in play. Obama is a stronger fellow than you think and he can handle the ex-president. Besides Bill owes this to Hillary and WILL stay out of the picture.

Do you want to win or just take your football and go home.

How does Joe Biden as VP not "stomp all over the change message?" He has been in the Senate forever. I can understand reasons for adversion HRC but not because she stomps all over the change message. Anyone currently serving in Washington would be eliminated if Obama was really using this a criteria.

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