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Obama the Celeb?


From Greg Sargent at Election Central:
The McCain campaign triples-down on its "celeb" sneer, releasing a third ad on the topic that hits the theme even harder than the last two...Clearly, the McCain camp thinks this is working, and they're going to keep hammering away at it for weeks, if not months.
But is it working? The "experts" weigh in at WaPo. Predictably, the conservatives congratulate McCain on a successful ad; the liberals express mild concern or shrug their shoulders.
ED ROGERS, former deputy assistant to President Bush
John McCain's celebrity ad was effective...Questions about Obama's desire for celebrity status will linger.

CARTER ESKEW, chief strategist for Al Gore's 2000 presidential campaign
A casual attempt this week to flick McCain's charges off his shoulder dragged Obama into a silly and distracting discussion of race. The ghosts of losers past must haunt his team -- will Obama be Swift-boated if he doesn't strike back hard?

BENJAMIN GINSBERG, veteran of three Republican presidential campaigns
Over the next 12 weeks, the McCain campaign needs to reinforce its message, making certain that voters retain the image of Paris-Britney-Obama in one vacuous celebrity breath.

WILLIAM A. GALSTON, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution
The Obama campaign needs to think harder about how to respond.

EDWARD J. ROLLINS, head of Ronald Reagan's 1984 reelection campaign and Mike Huckabee's campaign chairman this year
An ad man's dream.

TAD DEVINE, principal consultant to Al Gore in 2000
Will they work? Perhaps. But I believe that Obama will prove to be a more elusive target than previous Democratic nominees, stretching back to George McGovern, who were subjected to the Republican attack machine.

RALPH REED, Southeast Region Chairman for the George W. Bush campaign in 2004
Obama's celebrity has spawned a kind of modern-day Beatlemania, complete fainting fans, Men's Vogue cover shoots, swooning politicians and an admiring press corps. But with the celebrity ad, McCain has now officially taken that strength and turned it into a weakness.

JAMAL SIMMONS, press secretary to Bob Graham's and Wesley Clark's presidential campaigns
While the Republican's strategists must believe that these negative attacks will take a toll on Obama, the greater danger is for McCain, who is proving the Democrats' point: John McCain is a maverick no more.
Certainly, the ads are effective in the sense that they've attracted significant media attention. But will the charge itself stick? During the primary, Hillary Clinton and Republicans floated a number of caricatures of Obama:
- inexperienced
- elitist
- naive
- unpatriotic
- empty suit
- plagiarizer
- tainted by associates
- brass-knuckled politician

Most of these caricatures failed to take hold. Judging by anecdotal experience, I suggest that the elitist and inexperienced/naive attacks were the most effective and still dog Obama. Other attacks, such as Obama's association with Ayers/Wright/Rezko or his alleged plagiarism, have all but disappeared from the campaign narrative.

And the celebrity charge? Many people who call it effective allude to Obama's perceived elitism. The elitisim charges have been effective because Obama is, to an extent, elitist--in his education, in his tastes, and in his rhetorical style. But celebrity is not elitism. In the age of American Idol, celebrities are often quite plebian: undereducated, unintelligent, crass. Britney Spears, in particular, is often criticized for lacking class and derided for her "trailer trash" ways.

Moreover, despite the media attention he receives, Obama does not seem to love the spotlight. He seems a tad uncomfortable with the adoration and is protective of his personal life, in contrast with Spears and Hilton, who seem to relish in their exposure. The charge of celebrity fits much better with Obama's predecessor, Bill Clinton, who enjoys the spotlight and engages in tabloid exploits. Clinton is less of an elitist than Obama but more of a celebrity. I also note that Americans did not seem to begrudge Bill his celebrity.

For these reasons, I predict that while the celebrity charges have a enjoyed a solid summer week of media stardom, they will soon exit stage right.


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Here's how we should respond.

[Dark picture of McCain, menacing music.] "John McCain has called Obama the world's biggest celebrity."

[cut to brightly-lit picture of Obama, wearing chambray shirt with sleeves rolled up]

"This is another lie from a tired party that has run out steam. How can Obama be the biggest celebrity . . ."

when his shirt doesn't even change colors?"

[cut to picture of Genghis, with flashing shirt]
[overlay chyron on picture: "World's Biggest Celebrity."]

"Obama for President. He dresses better than Genghis."

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This from a guy in a vest and ruffled shirt

But sadly, I disagree about the ads, sort of.

It's true that celebrities are not necessarily classy in an old-fashioned sense. But a lot of Americans wouldn't know that sort of class if it ran them over in a Volvo. "Celebrity" is what counts as the top of the class ladder for your average 21st-century tv-watcher.

And the Republicans will blur boundaries between different sorts of elitism as needed. The Ivy League? Hollywood? France? They're not the same thing, but the point is that they're *not* Carthage, MO or Youngstown, OH -- and that'll do if your only purpose is to stir up ressentiment.

Moreover, as Josh & co. have pointed out, part of the effect is to identify Barack as an "entertainer" rather than a "leader" -- a task made easier by racial framing.

So I actually think the "celeb" stuff a pretty good strategy for McCain, and I don't expect it to disappear.

But I also don't think it'll work. The fundamentals are on our side. Economy's tanking. Eight-year itch. Barack is a great candidate. McCain is a serial flip-flopper who looks his age, can barely read a teleprompter and can't stay on the same message for more than six hours at a time. Poll numbers are stable. Financial advantage favors us. Etc. etc.

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"Celebrity" is what counts as the top of the class ladder for your average 21st-century tv-watcher.

People have different notions of class of course, but do you really think that most Americans think that Britney is at the top of the class ladder?

Urban Dictionary: trailer trash
Britney Spears and Kevin Federline

The Ivy League? Hollywood? France? They're not the same thing, but the point is that they're *not* Carthage, MO or Youngstown, OH -- and that'll do if your only purpose is to stir up ressentiment.

The effect of these labels may be the same, but that doesn't mean that you can get any label to stick. Reykjavik is no Youngstown either, but Obama ain't Icelandic (or French, for that matter).

Moreover, as Josh & co. have pointed out, part of the effect is to identify Barack as an "entertainer" rather than a "leader" -- a task made easier by racial framing.

This is slightly different and supported by the racial framing, I suppose. But really, does Obama seem like an entertainer to anyone? He's not particularly funny, he doesn't sing, and he doesn't party. McCain is much more of an entertainer than Obama.

My point is that "elite" works because it sort of fits. "Celebrity" and "entertainer" just don't fit very well. You and I have read all manner of criticisms against Obama these past few months, and while there has been some grousing about his being a "rock star," it has generally been framed as a criticism of his supporters and the media, not his character. The character attacks have been of a different vein--elitist, smug, lying, etc. For that matter, I don't see fogu or marginalplayer taking up McCain's charge of "celebrity" even now.

That last point is interesting. Also puzzling, because (if I recall rightly) there was a lot of that *kind* of talk back in the primary. Obama as fast-talking pretty boy, etc. But you're right that it's not very visible now.

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Let me put it another way, the attacks that have been most successful even resonate with Obama supporters like me. I admit that he's inexperienced. I admit that he's a bit elitist. I worry that he won't be able to deliver on his promises.

But a "celeb?" Perhaps others will disagree, but it seems off to me. I don't mean to get into a semantic debate about the terminology. It just seems to me that the only resemblance between Obama and Britney is the amount of press they receive.

If the current framing has been in any way effective, it is due more to the perception, pushed by the press, that McCain is on the offensive and winning the bitch-slap contest and less due to the substance of the actual framing.

Barack will soon stand before a huge crowd of swooning supporters to give his thunderous speech with all the cameras rolling, and while even his biggest haters are watching live, for they too will be part of the world audience, he'll once again mock all the silly Republican talking points. The crowds will roar with laughter, Chris Matthews will get more tingles up his leg, and the Republicans will have to come up with a new smear for September. Meanwhile, he gets to be a celebrity and a statesman while he and we all get to it.

while he and we all get to enjoy it.

Yes, we will enjoy it. The celeb stuff is evidence of a campaign running on tactics not strategy. Obama's got a strategy.

For fun while we wait,

"Who Does McCain Remind you of? A New Game for Hard Times"
http://msa4.wordpress.com/

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Well put. McCain going negative and mocking Obama is perfect fodder for a hungry media and a bored populace. It doesn't matter what McCain criticizes Obama for, as long as it's suitably derisive and controversial. The attention that the ad has received has little to do with the effectiveness of the message.

And even if this did eventually put his back up against the wall, all he has to do is use his Magic Gettysburg Address Powers. The harder they hit him, the more powerful the Speech becomes (see Wright, We-are-now-all-responsible-for-our-own-pastor's-knowledge-of-imperialism.)

Magical Gettysburg Address Powers, activate!

Form, Major Address on 45th anniversary of I Have a Dream!

Form, Major Address in midOctober on American Dream and Republican Economic Failures!

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Some interesting Letters to the Editor today on Dowd's "Green-Eyed Monster" column on topic.

First, Jesse Jackson basically writes in to say "he's my kinda celeb." Reading that, I visualize Axelrod et. al. going "oh geez, pleez, why can't he shut up?"

More seriously, I thought the letters from Ted Brindisi and Thilo Weissflug expressed well the two main possible kinds of reactions to the McCain advertising theme. Brindisi is a swing type that the questions raised have affected, the "Mr. Cool" thing really bothers him, and the ads have reinforced it. He can be won over, though. The Weissflog letter, on the other hand, shows how it can backfire, lose him some voters.

Obama may be elitist because he chooses to help "poorer" folk rather than richer folk but he is not an elitist because he went to college or has particular tastes. Elitism is thinking a certain group of individuals is entitled to something that others are not. Example: John McCain believes in benefits for "officers" only--those who have put in at least 12-years of service (excluding about 75% of the armed forces personnel who actually lay their life on the line.) THAT to me, is elitist.

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Technically correct, but "elitist" has taken on a better known colloquial connotation closer to "snobbiness."

BTW, being on the recommend list a mere few minutes after posting definitely smacks of celebrity.

Warning: Making it to the top will earn you the dreaded title of "the one."

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It's a heck of lot easier to do now than last spring. Nonetheless, I doubt that this post will or should accede to that high post.

But some people call me "the shirt."

He's just riding on Wayne Newton's coat-tails. Or lapels.

Nice post, as always, Genghis.

This is pretty much something I've been pondering for a while now: the effectiveness of McCain's attacks. I sort of had a post on it a while ago, but focused more on the overall strategy. And that's, I think, where the issue of effectiveness comes into play. Are McCain's "celebrity accusations" effective in the long-run? I really have a hard time believing it.

I also think many people forget that most people aren't even paying attention to this stuff right now. It's difficult to remember that because we're all so ingrained in politics. But the majority of people really aren't paying attention as closely as we are.

But... If we wanna simplify it, I have yet to see a single piece of real empirical evidence to suggest McCain's ads have been effective. The only "evidence" is circumstantial, such as the Republican pundits for the MSM, and the fact that McCain continues to push the "Obama celebrity" image. Maybe they know something no one else knows?

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Thanks, Chrono. To be fair, many people who argue that the ad was effective point to the fact that it has received widespread coverage, so many people have seen it. Also, the Obama campaign has been forced to devote resources to countering it. For these reasons, I think it has been effective, though there has also been a downside to McCain in terms of his reputation as a candidate of substance.

But the effectiveness of the ad is not the same as the effectiveness of its message. We can't know for sure whether the charge will stick until it has had time to sink it. I think it won't for the reasons that I've presented above.

But the effectiveness of the ad is not the same as the effectiveness of its message.

Quite right. A very good distinction. And I think when I said "effectiveness of the ad" I meant to say "effectiveness of its message". That's the real key, anyway. Whether an ad gets a lot of coverage or not, the effectiveness of the message is what, in my opinion, determines success of failure.

Now I see what you mean by my last post being too "supercilious."

Ghengis, I was just getting ready to leave work and head off for a relaxing weekend free from urban concerns when I saw your post. As always you've earned my rec (particularly since I failed to show up at your fundraiser). As is sometims the case, I niggle. The problem with your theory, as I see it, is that you take the ad too literally. The question is not whether Obama is or wants to be a "celebrity." The message of the ad is "don't be blinded by celebrity." Put another way, Obama is being put on a pedestal he didn't earn. Obviously, this is an incredibly stupid ad - no other way to put it. Whether it is effective remains to be seen, but I think McCain will continue to hammer at this theme as it dovetails with the others you identified in your post. The Obama campaign has been remarkably slow footed in answering and putting out its own message.

What is the best response? I'd say more if I weren't headed for the door. Instead, I'll link to this outstanding piece which probably says it better anyway.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/drew-westen/why-voters-say-they-dont_b_117238.html

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Nice...comment and run. Very well. Now I can savage your niggle, and you'll never know.

The question is not whether Obama is or wants to be a "celebrity." The message of the ad is "don't be blinded by celebrity."

I'm not getting the same message. Or rather, I don't see that as the import of the ad. "Don't be blinded by celebrity" is not a resonant message. Furthermore, voter on the fence are unlikely to consider themselves to be blinded by celebrity. Furthermore, the follow-up ads, e.g. "isn't life grand" clearly imply that Obama is a celebrity.

And looking at the quotes above, it's clear that the "experts" take the ad to suggest that Obama is and/or wants to be a celebrity:

"Questions about Obama's desire for celebrity status will linger."

"...making certain that voters retain the image of Paris-Britney-Obama in one vacuous celebrity breath."

"Obama's celebrity has spawned a kind of modern-day Beatlemania"

Having savaged your niggle, I now thank you for rec and the excellent huffpo link. The article itself is worth discussion--which you and I will not have since you've left. It sounds plausible, but on a second reading, it seems to be heavy on assertions and light on evidence.

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Ditto of Genghis' thanks for the link.

Drew Westen is someone who's advice on this type of thing should be taken very seriously. For those that aren't aware of his work, Norman Kelley posted here a link to what he had to say 5 days ago on the same topic, also on HuffPo, and here is TPM member American Dreamer's rave review of the paperback version of his book back in May.

RALPH REED, Southeast Region Chairman for the George W. Bush campaign in 2004 : "Obama's celebrity has spawned a kind of modern-day Beatlemania, complete fainting fans, Men's Vogue cover shoots, swooning politicians and an admiring press corps. But with the celebrity ad, McCain has now officially taken that strength and turned it into a weakness."

You know, nothing tells me that something is happening better than Ralph Reed telling me it's official! I think the only thing that's official is that the GOP and its supporters officially think that the electorate has its head plated firmly up its ass. Can they possibly insult our intelligence any more than this "Britany-Paris-Obama" association which is supposed to make us see past Obama's brilliant intellect, cool and calm, and inspiring leadership, and to see, instead, his inner republican -- a vacuous, immoral, empty suit that is nothing but a flash in the pan. And what better to contrast with than a man who, by his own admission, is older than dirt.

The most interesting fact about today's "painful" ad is that for the first time I can recall, the Obama campaign said point blank "This ad is a lie".

I'm thinking this is political jujitsu, and starting in about three weeks, the McCain campaign is going to be facing the ceiling fairly often as the mat slams into their collective back.

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The celebrity meme reminds me of the Republican South Carilina 2000 primary. Here is a blast from the past:

Former First Lady Barbara Bush, George W. Bush's mother, complained to The Republic that the media were treating McCain like "sort of a star figure" and buying his campaign's "baloney" that her son was the establishment candidate.

"That's the silliest thing I ever heard," she said.

Back in South Carolina, the Bush campaign went negative, slamming McCain hard on taxes and veterans issues.

The Bush campaign's use of a marginal veterans rights activist named J. Thomas Burch to personally attack McCain for allegedly "abandon(ing) the veterans" incensed McCain. Five senators who fought in Vietnam led by Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., even fired off a letter to Bush defending McCain's record and urging Bush to apologize and "disassociate" himself from efforts "to impugn John McCain's character and so maliciously distort his record on these critical issues."

McCain slugged back with particularly pointed TV ads.

The McCain spots accused Bush of lying like President Bill Clinton and asked viewers if they "really want another president in the White House that America can't trust."

Comparing a candidate to Clinton is "about as low a blow as you can give in a Republican primary," Bush groused.

Things spiraled downhill from there.

Bush's own anti-McCain campaign was overwhelming enough. But the third-party groups also ran TV and radio spots savaging McCain, and other foes deluged voters with anti-McCain messages ranging from the nasty to the outrageous. Political pundits still argue about whether some of those smears were linked to the official Bush campaign.

"In e-mails, faxes, flyers, postcards, telephone calls and talk radio, groups and individuals circulated all kinds of wild rumors about me, from the old Manchurian Candidate allegation to charges of having sired children with prostitutes," McCain wrote in Worth the Fighting For. "There wasn't a damn thing I could do about the subterranean assaults on my reputation except to act in a way that contradicted their libel. When things got so bad that I became discouraged by my own negative ads, we pulled them. But I spent too much of my time denouncing my opponent's campaign tactics instead of sticking with the message that I believed in and that had worked so well in New Hampshire."

The Manchurian Candidate was a 1962 Cold War thriller starring Frank Sinatra, Angela Lansbury and Laurence Harvey as a brainwashed former Korean War POW groomed by the Communists to infiltrate U.S. politics as an assassin. From time to time, fringe critics of McCain have sought to draw parallels between the movie plot and McCain's story.

A South Carolina mother brought to McCain's attention a story about a disturbing telephone call her 14-year-old son took. The youth, a Boy Scout, idolized McCain and became frightened and upset after the anonymous caller denounced his hero as "a cheat and a liar and a fraud."

McCain took the telephone call up with Bush, who denied having anything to do with it. "If I find out it was somebody from my campaign, they're not going to be in my camp anymore," Bush promised.

Another round of calls allegedly disparaged Cindy McCain as a drug user.

The more things stay the same, the more often Paris Hilton will change bikinis...

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errata to my last post. the blockquote should have gone all the way down to the second to the last paragraph.

This is the summer doldrums, Genghis.

McCain is grasping at straws, any straws, in order to make Obama look "bad".

Ignore this. It doesn't matter, it won't take a foothold, and everyone who's a Republican already KNOWS in their heart that Obama is nothing but an arrogant showman.

In other words, "Nothing to see, here, ladies and gents.....move on."

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My gut tells me that McCain will come to regret spending the summer months point out, basically, that people love Obama and don't care at all about McCain.

We need a Dem pundit who will say this.

"Obama isn't the one with Hollywood friends like notorious womanizer Warren Beatty. Obama isn't the one that showed up mocking the institution of marriage in movies like "The Wedding Crasher". He's not the one that demonstrated Hollywood values by ditching an injured wife and volunteering his wife to join a bunch of trollops in taking off her top for a bunch of bikers. That was John McCain."

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