Not Panicking, Not Shaking, Not Gonna Get Scared
2 points. That's what McCain leads by in the Gallup Daily tracking poll. That's on the first day of the weekend too, when McCain supporters are more likely to be home than Obama supporters. That's assuming that Gallup is using the right mix of cell phones and land lines and that those 2 million new registered democrats have made their way on to their calling lists. I have my doubts, but let's go ahead and call the Gallup accurate and McCain is up 2 points. Let's look at the electoral college maps. If Obama holds in Pennsylvania and Michigan, then he has to win Ohio, Florida, or Colorado and New Mexico. The RCP averages have him down slightly in Ohio and Florida and up slightly in Colorado and New Mexico. That means, if those polls are accurate, Obama would win the election. It hasn't been a great week for Obama and it appears he would still win the election if it were held today. Let's talk about the press. They are finally getting pissed off. Why shouldn't they be? The McCain campaign has decided that Sarah Palin is to be treated differently than every other candidate in the modern era of politics. She can't be interviewed except by friendly figures, she can't be called out when she lies, and she is not required to demonstrate even a passing knowledge of foreign policy issues. We are seeing something I would call a Palin bubble. Bubbles burst. This one will too, but we don't get to decide when. Adoration is followed by scrutiny and the thinner the story the faster it all peters out. Remember when the press became critical of Obama? It took him three of four months to right the ship, and Sarah Palin doesn't have three or four months. As soon as the debates start this election will be Obama v. McCain again. One final thought: call and canvass. Hook up with the official Obama campaign. Do it tomorrow. Follow through. This election will be won or lost by which campaign turns out more bodies and achieves more face to face interaction. Don't give up. This was never going to be easy.
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Momentum is like that. It initially doesn't feel like much but the mass keeps building and building. Soon it becomes a wall, pressing harder and harder against the tide. it can't be held. It splashes over the top. Your help panics and runs leaving you to hold more by yourself. Like water the wave of influence keeps flowing. It can't be stopped. It keep flowing and flowing, pushing and pushing.........Obama is finished.......
September 14, 2008 12:17 AM | Reply | Permalink
"That's on the first day of the weekend too, when McCain supporters are more likely to be home than Obama supporters."
The tracking Gallup you are looking at reflects Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.
Saturday won't show up until tomorrow.
September 14, 2008 12:48 AM | Reply | Permalink
This is McCain's peak and he hasn't even come close to touching 50. We saw O touch as high as 52 during his peak. There is some good out of these lame ass polls. There is also the revelation that millions of voters aren't being polled and won't be until the stats come in on the 5th.
September 14, 2008 3:19 AM | Reply | Permalink