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Poll Watch: Gallup Just Out and Barack is back up by two
You could feel it coming, a message sharpening, the media waking up to its mission to inform...a tide turning...
And it has!
Hot Line - Obama ahead
R2000 - Obama ahead
Zogby - Obama ahead
Rasmussen - Obama closing, McCain clinging by +1
And now...drumroll please...here's Gallup.
Obama leads, +2 link.
But just because the bounce up for McCain has bounced back down, don't back down on your committment to change. We make the numbers move. Isn't it fun!
And it has!
Hot Line - Obama ahead
R2000 - Obama ahead
Zogby - Obama ahead
Rasmussen - Obama closing, McCain clinging by +1
And now...drumroll please...here's Gallup.
Obama leads, +2 link.
But just because the bounce up for McCain has bounced back down, don't back down on your committment to change. We make the numbers move. Isn't it fun!
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And note, according to Nate Silver at www.fivethirtyeight.com, Rasmussen has recently "reweighted" their Party Identification numbers, so that Republicans responses are favored in their samples. So, those results, both nationally and on the State-level, will be biased toward McCain. Just ever so slightly...
Party on!
September 17, 2008 1:28 PM | Reply | Permalink
Great point, Carol.
And Rasmussen has a known "house bias" for the GOP.
Next thing to watch is whether or not battleground states, especially Florida and Ohio, start to move back into toss up and out of the leaning McCain column.
September 17, 2008 1:37 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'm confident that OH will move back into the Blue. FL will swing in the polls. On Nov 4th??? Well, let's just say it will be a late night watching those returns come in. Let's just hope there are no hanging chads deciding this one.
Watching NV and NM closely, as well. And VA, too.
It's a nailbiter.
September 17, 2008 3:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
NV, NM and Virgina are key. As is CO and IA.
Combined they take pressure off of Ohio, forces McCain to play defense and that, ironically, means a strong GOTV effort in Ohio could put Obama over the top there, too.
Gregory
September 17, 2008 4:08 PM | Reply | Permalink