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   <title>David Seaton&apos;s Blog</title>
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   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/david_seaton//1840</id>
   <updated>2009-01-07T20:37:56Z</updated>
   
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<entry>
   <title>Annus horribilis: (Clarification) </title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/2009/01/annus-horribilis-clarification.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/david_seaton//1840.250743</id>
   
   <published>2009-01-07T20:24:25Z</published>
   <updated>2009-01-07T20:37:56Z</updated>
   
   <summary> I get a feeling that my last post,&quot;Annus horribilis... and you are pretty cute yourself&quot; may have been so chock full of goodies and long winded quotes that some of my readers may have had a bit of trouble...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>David Seaton</name>
      
   </author>
   
   <category term="10926" label="crisis" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   
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      <![CDATA[ <img alt="" src="http://image.guardian.co.uk/sys-images/Guardian/Pix/pictures/2006/05/26/chicken192.jpg" align="top" height="219" width="425" /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">I get a feeling that my last post,"</span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/2009/01/annus-horribilis-and-you-are-p.php">Annus horribilis... and you are pretty cute yourself</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">"
may have been so chock full of goodies and long winded quotes that some
of my readers may have had a bit of trouble seeing just what I was
driving at, so today I'll try to be more concise and to the point.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">I
am coming to believe that at the bottom of the crisis is the creeping
impoverishment of the once universally envied American middle class;
this impoverishment has been brought on by an American lead revolution
in productivity, which has made American workers </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">themselves </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">redundant
except as consumers. This process resembles the flight of a legendary
bird that flying in ever tighter concentric circles, finally flies up
its own behind and disappears.</span><br /><br />]]>
      <![CDATA[<span style="font-family: verdana;">The communications revolution of
the Internet, which makes it possible for Indian and Bangladesh
knowledge workers to do the back office work of the American
multinationals and for Chinese factory workers to produce most of the
world's hard goods at amazingly low prices, has left the American
middle class with only the universal role of "consumer of last resort".
How does that play?</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Since
today's Americans are no longer much needed for useful work, they have
to be loaned money from the earnings and savings of those around the
world who now do that real work, in order for them to be able to buy
the things those workers and savers produce. If Americans ever stop
borrowing money to buy all of this, or if other people stop lending it
to them, then the world will collapse... Or so the story goes. That is
about as an encapsulated summing up of the situation as you are likely
to find anywhere.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">First,
lets look at the impoverishment part. In my last post I quoted The
Atlantic's James Fallows at length. Today I'll limit myself to one
paragraph: </span><blockquote><span style="font-family: georgia;">Half
this country's households live on less than $50,000 a year. That sounds
like a significant improvement from the $44,000 household median in
2003. But a year in private college now costs $83,000, a day in a
hospital $1,350, a year in a nursing home $150,000--and a gallon of
gasoline $9. Thus we start off knowing that for half our people there
is no chance--none--of getting ahead of the game. </span><a style="font-family: georgia;" href="http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200507/fallows"><span style="font-style: italic;">James Fallows</span></a><br /></blockquote><span style="font-family: verdana;">Now, lets have a quick look at how the "working poor" can consume all they must consume in order for the world to survive:  </span><blockquote style="font-family: georgia;">Today's
global crisis was triggered by the collapse of the U.S. housing bubble,
but it wasn't caused only by it. America's credit excesses were in
residential mortgages, commercial mortgages, credit cards, auto loans
and student loans.<a href="http://www.rgemonitor.com/roubini-monitor/254973/nouriel_roubini_says_worst_still_is_ahead_of_us_year_in_review"><span style="font-style: italic;"> Nouriel Roubini </span></a></blockquote><span style="font-family: verdana;">Here follows the Financial Times chief economist, Martin Wolf summing it all up and projecting what will probably happen:  </span> <blockquote style="font-family: georgia;">What
makes rescue so difficult is the force that drove the crisis: the
interplay between persistent external and internal imbalances in the US
and the rest of the world. The US and a number of other chronic deficit
countries have, at present, structurally deficient capacity to produce
tradable goods and services.(...) (This)means that US rescue efforts
need to be big enough not only to raise demand for US output but also
to raise demand for the surplus output of much of the rest of the
world.(...) Now think what will happen if, after two or more years of
monstrous fiscal deficits, the US is still mired in unemployment and
slow growth. People will ask why the country is exporting so much of
its demand to sustain jobs abroad. They will want their demand back.<span style="font-style: italic;"> <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/4f5c5ba2-dc22-11dd-b07e-000077b07658.html"> Martin Wolf - Financial Times</a> </span></blockquote><span style="font-family: verdana;">In
plain language, the US government is going to print a lot of money
(lots and lots) and hope that it gets into the hands of American
consumers so that they can buy Chinese goods in the hopes that the
Chinese don't sell off their US treasury bonds and destroy the dollar
(think a hundred dollar cardboard cup of coffee in McDonald's, think
granny spending her month's pension on a bucket of KFC).</span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;">If this doesn't work, Wolf thinks the results will be catastrophic:</span><br /> <blockquote style="font-family: georgia;">Once
the integration of the world economy starts to reverse and unemployment
soars, the demons of our past - above all, nationalism - will return.
Achievements of decades may collapse almost overnight.</blockquote> <span style="font-family: verdana;">What I don't have clear is exactly whose "nationalism" it is that Wolf is talking about. </span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;">As
far as I know Americans are, and always have been, very nationalistic,
except that they call themselves "patriotic", and only when other
people are patriotic do they call it "nationalistic"... </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">I confess that I fail to see much difference and s</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">ince Wolf is not American, I'm not sure what he means. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">In
my opinion those are the different forces that are pulling and tugging
the situation into one shape or another and what the final shape will
be depends on what or who tugs the most.</span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />Optimism or pessimism?</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">If
you think it would be great if things had stayed the way they were,
then you should be pessimistic. If you think things sucked the way they
were and would like to see things change, then you can be optimistic.
Things are going to change anyway and, who knows, they might end up
better.</span><span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><a href="http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/"><font style="font-size: 0.8em;">http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/</font></a><br /></span>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Annus horribilis... and you are pretty cute yourself </title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/2009/01/annus-horribilis-and-you-are-p.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/david_seaton//1840.250389</id>
   
   <published>2009-01-05T21:17:40Z</published>
   <updated>2009-01-05T21:24:29Z</updated>
   
   <summary> &quot;My bucket&apos;s got a hole in it, and I can&apos;t buy no beer&quot;Hank WilliamsI am getting the feeling that we are entering the most fascinating period since the Second World War, and we are entering it without a road...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>David Seaton</name>
      
   </author>
   
   <category term="10926" label="crisis" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/">
      <![CDATA[ <img style="width: 450px; height: 547px;" alt="" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_BWD3jaICbzg/SWH3KIIMoKI/AAAAAAAAAho/l4CwX_VAXc4/s400/Head+up+the+ass.jpg" align="top" /><br /><div style="text-align: center; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); font-family: lucida grande;"><blockquote>"My bucket's got a hole in it, and I can't buy no beer"<span style="font-style: italic; font-size: 100%;"><br />Hank Williams</span></blockquote></div><span style="font-style: italic; font-size: 100%;"></span><div style="text-align: center; font-family: verdana;"><div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 102, 0); font-family: verdana;"></span><br /></div></div><span style="font-family: verdana;">I
am getting the feeling that we are entering the most fascinating period
since the Second World War, and we are entering it without a road
map... if there ever </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">was</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">
a road map. Part of me is excited by the idea of finally seeing some
meaningful political thought and action and the rest of me is just
plain scared.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Nobody
seems to know what's going on or when the waves of the tsunami are
going to sweep over us. We know how the crisis reads, but we have yet
to really see how it plays.</span><br /><br />]]>
      <![CDATA[<span style="font-family: verdana;">Max Hastings writes in The Guardian: </span><blockquote><span style="font-family: georgia;">What
seems most striking about the credit crunch is that it reduces most
people to silence, because they find its implications and possible
solutions beyond their comprehension. It is rendered especially
baffling because, metaphorically speaking, no bombs are falling.
Shoppers still pack suburban malls, cars crowd motorways, passengers
throng airports, the lights stay on. Thus far, for all except some
hundreds of thousands who have already lost their jobs, only statistics
reveal the bad news. The implications have yet to work through into
real life. There seems an overwhelming public mood of fatalism. Anger
must follow, sooner or later, and even perhaps social unrest. But this
will come only when the consequences literally reach home. Meanwhile,
number blindness has overtaken most of us. </span><a style="font-family: georgia;" href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2009/jan/05/meny-comment-max-hastings"><span style="font-style: italic;">Max Hastings - Guardian</span></a><span style="font-family: georgia;">  </span><br /></blockquote><span style="font-family: verdana;">The
huge stimulus plans look just like inflating another bubble to me... it
was easy credit and low interest rates that created the mess in the
first place</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">I find
myself agreeing with some of the super-orthodox economists that think
that all this will lead to hyperinflation and with it Wiemar-like
destruction of the middle class which leaves a debt that future
generations will curse all their lives or simply refuse to pay... And
either choice will have catastrophic consequences.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">I'd
like to present a little collage of excerpts from articles that for me,
alone and together, go some way in summing up the economic situation
and the zeitgeist today.<br /></span><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">First a well observed, artistic even, "slice of life", from Peggy Noonan: </span><blockquote><span style="font-family: georgia;">At
a certain point in the '00s, I began to notice, on the east side of
Manhattan, that the 3-week-old infants, out for the first time in their
sleek black Mercedes-like strollers, were amazingly, almost alarmingly,
perfect. Perfect round heads, huge perfect eyes, none of the dents,
bruises and imperfections that are normal and that tend to accompany
birth. I would ask friends: Why are babies perfect now, how did that
happen? The answers were the usual: a healthy, well-fed populace, etc.
Then a friend said: "These are the children of the scheduled C-sections
of the affluent. They are scooped out, perfect." They were little
superbabies whose handsome, investment banking, asset-bundling,
financial-instrument-creating parents commanded even Nature. </span><a style="font-family: georgia;" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123075478723346265.html"><span style="font-style: italic;">Peggy Noonan- Wall Street Journal</span></a><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: georgia;">     </span><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123075478723346265.html"><span style="font-style: italic;"><br /></span></a></blockquote><span style="font-family: verdana;">Let's move farther into this with a quote from an article by </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.chomsky.info/articles/20081125.htm">Noam Chomsky</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">
on the election that, as always, should be read by anyone not satisfied
with the pablum handed out by mainstream analysts. Here Chomsky talks
about the recession-cum-depression and the president-elect's economic
"new" team</span>:  <blockquote style="font-family: georgia;">The power
of financial institutions reflects the increasing shift of the economy
from production to finance since the liberalization of finance in the
1970s, a root cause of the current economic malaise: the financial
crisis, recession in the real economy, and the miserable performance of
the economy for the large majority, whose real wages stagnated for 30
years, while benefits declined. The steward of this impressive record,
Alan Greenspan, attributed his success to "growing worker insecurity,"
which led to "atypical restraint on compensation increases" - and
corresponding increases into the pockets of those who matter. His
failure even to perceive the dramatic housing bubble, following the
collapse of the earlier tech bubble that he oversaw, was the immediate
cause of the current financial crisis, as he ruefully conceded.(...)
Obama's transition team is headed by John Podesta, Clinton's chief of
staff. The leading figures in his economic team are Robert Rubin and
Lawrence Summers, both enthusiasts for the deregulation that was a
major factor in the current financial crisis. As Treasury Secretary,
Rubin worked hard to abolish the Glass-Steagall act, which had
separated commercial banks from financial institutions that incur high
risks. Economist Tim Canova comments that Rubin had "a personal
interest in the demise of Glass-Steagall." Soon after leaving his
position as Treasury Secretary, he became "chair of Citigroup, a
financial-services conglomerate that was facing the possibility of
having to sell off its insurance underwriting subsidiary... the Clinton
administration never brought charges against him for his obvious
violations of the Ethics in Government Act." Rubin was replaced as
Treasury Secretary by Summers, who presided over legislation barring
federal regulation of derivatives, the "weapons of mass destruction"
(Warren Buffett) that helped plunge financial markets to disaster. He
ranks as "one of the main villains in the current economic crisis,"
according to Dean Baker, one of the few economists to have warned
accurately of the impending crisis. Placing financial policy in the
hands of Rubin and Summers is "a bit like turning to Osama Bin Laden
for aid in the war on terrorism," Baker adds. The business press
reviewed the records of Obama's Transition Economic Advisory Board,
which met on November 7 to determine how to deal with the financial
crisis. In Bloomberg News, Jonathan Weil concluded that "Many of them
should be getting subpoenas as material witnesses right about now, not
places in Obama's inner circle." About half "have held fiduciary
positions at companies that, to one degree or another, either fried
their financial statements, helped send the world into an economic
tailspin, or both." Is it really plausible that "they won't mistake the
nation's needs for their own corporate interests?" He also pointed out
that chief of staff Emanuel "was a director at Freddie Mac in 2000 and
2001 while it was committing accounting fraud." <a href="http://www.chomsky.info/articles/20081125.htm"><span style="font-style: italic;">Noam Chomsky</span></a></blockquote> <span style="font-family: verdana;">And back in 2005, James Fallows wrote an astoundingly prophetic piece called </span><span style="font-family: verdana;"><a href="http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200507/fallows"><span style="font-style: italic;">Countdown to a Meltdown</span></a></span><span style="font-family: verdana;"> that makes Nouriel Roubini sound like Little Mary Sunshine:  </span><blockquote><span style="font-family: georgia;">Half
this country's households live on less than $50,000 a year. That sounds
like a significant improvement from the $44,000 household median in
2003. But a year in private college now costs $83,000, a day in a
hospital $1,350, a year in a nursing home $150,000--and a gallon of
gasoline $9. Thus we start off knowing that for half our people there
is no chance--none--of getting ahead of the game. And really, it's more
like 80 percent of the public that is priced out of a chance for future
opportunity. We have made a perfect circle--perfect in closing off
options. There are fewer attractive jobs to be had, even though the
ones at the top, for financiers or specialty doctors, are very
attractive indeed. And those who don't start out with advantages in
getting those jobs have less and less chance of moving up to them. Jobs
in the middle of the skill-and-income distribution have steadily
vanished if any aspect of them can be done more efficiently in China,
India, or Vietnam. The K-12 schools, the universities, the ambitious
research projects that could help the next generation qualify for
better jobs, have weakened or dried up.39 A dynamic economy is always
losing jobs. The problem with ours is that we're no longer any good at
creating new ones. America is a less attractive place for new business
because it's a less attractive place, period.40 In the past decade
we've seen the telephone companies disappear. Programming, data,
entertainment, conversation--they all go over the Internet now.
Pharmaceuticals are no longer mass-produced but, rather, tailored to
each patient's genetic makeup. The big airlines are all gone now, and
much of publishing, too. The new industries are the ones we want. When
their founders are deciding where to locate, though, they'll see us as
a country with a big market--and with an undereducated work force, a
rundown infrastructure, and a shaky currency. They'll see England as it
lost its empire. They'll see Russia without the oil reserves,
Brezhnev's Soviet Union without the repression. </span><a style="font-family: georgia;" href="http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200507/fallows"><span style="font-style: italic;">James Fallows: Countdown to a Meltdown - Atlantic</span></a><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: georgia;">  </span><a href="http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200507/fallows"><span style="font-style: italic;"><br /></span></a></blockquote><span style="font-family: verdana;">What
Chomsky and Fallows are talking about has more the look of a systemic
crisis and not just a recession. Some, like Niall Ferguson, think that
the United States is better positioned than other countries to weather
the storm... this is how he imagines Obama's New Years message in 2010:</span> <blockquote style="font-family: lucida grande;"><span style="font-family: georgia;">The
"unipolar moment" was over, no question. But power is a relative
concept, as the president pointed out in his last press conference of
the year: "They warned us that America was doomed to decline. And we
certainly all got poorer this year. But they forgot that if everyone
else declined even further, then America would still be out in front.
After all, in the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is king." And,
with a wink, President Barack Obama wished the world a happy new year. </span><a style="font-family: georgia;" href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/c7804616-d3b7-11dd-989e-000077b07658.html"><span style="font-style: italic;">Niall Ferguson</span></a><br /></blockquote><span style="font-family: verdana;">I think Ferguson is whistling past the graveyard myself. I don't think that any country in world history is less prepared </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">than the citizens of the United States of America: </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">ideologically,
culturally or morally for a serious failure of the capitalist system,
less prepared for a failure which destroys social mobility and leaves a
pauperized ex-middle class to carry wood and draw water for the
super-rich that will float above the disaster, ... having the American
dream chewed up and spat in their faces will finally mean blood. Of
that I have no doubt.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Some
observers predict that the global economic crisis will lead to "unrest"
in Russia and China and this unrest will lead to greater "democracy"
and "liberalization"...</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">They
say this while the USA is effectively nationalizing banks and the auto
industry and none of these observers seem to take into account that
there might still be a "Communist" wing of the Chinese Communist Party
or remember, in case the "villain" Putin falters, that Russia's largest
opposition party is the Communist Party. I think the Chinese Communist
Party could shift gears without missing a beat. Many if not most
Russians already seem quite nostalgic for the good old days.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">"</span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Real_socialism">Really-existing socialism</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">",
as it was called was dull, repressive and gray, but it guaranteed
employment, housing and education to the entire population: nobody
slept in the street or lacked medical care... "They pretend to pay us
and we pretend to work" was how Iron-Curtain wags described the system.
With double digit unemployment that might start to look like a pretty
good deal again... and not just in Russia and China.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">The
greatest challenge in foreseeable future may be to keep the need for
social justice of some sort compatible with an acceptable degree of
freedom of speech and association.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">In this line I'd close these reflections with this quote from my favorite historian Eric Hobsbawm: </span><blockquote face="georgia">"None
of the major problems facing humanity in the 21st century can be solved
by the principles that still dominate the developed countries of the
west: unlimited economic growth and technical progress, the ideal of
individual autonomy, freedom of choice, electoral democracy. As is
evident in the case of the environmental crisis, facing these problems
will require in practice regulation by institutions, in theory a
revision of both the current political rhetoric and even the more
reputable intellectual constructions of liberalism. The question is can
this be done within the framework of the rationalist, secularist and
civilised tradition of the Enlightenment. As for left vs right, it will
plainly remain central in an era which is increasing the gap between
haves and have-nots. However, today the danger is that this struggle is
being subsumed in the irrationalist mobilisations of ethnic or
religious or other group identity." <span style="font-style: italic;">Eric Hobsbawm, historian - Prospect Magazine - March, 2007</span>  </blockquote><span style="font-family: verdana;">Hobsbawm
is very old, when he dies I don't know how I'll go on... I survived
Edward Said's passing with difficulty, but Hobsbawm? May Noam Chomsky
live a hundred years.<br /><a href="http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/"><font style="font-size: 0.8em;">http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/</font></a><br /></span>]]>
   </content>
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<entry>
   <title>My own private Israel</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/2009/01/my-own-private-israel.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/david_seaton//1840.250181</id>
   
   <published>2009-01-04T17:37:58Z</published>
   <updated>2009-01-04T18:09:33Z</updated>
   
   <summary>I have written a lot about Israel since I began to blog.I lived there for nearly a year as a young man and had a very good love there and all the experiences and memories that go with that.I don&apos;t...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>David Seaton</name>
      
   </author>
   
   <category term="24" label="Israel" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/">
      <![CDATA[<img style="width: 450px; height: 270px;" alt="" src="http://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Guardian/Pix/pictures/2009/1/3/1231022414907/Israeli-soldiers-on-the-I-001.jpg" align="top" /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">I have </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.google.com/custom?domains=seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com&amp;q=Israel&amp;sa=Search&amp;sitesearch=seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com&amp;client=pub-3243673979641252&amp;forid=1&amp;ie=ISO-8859-1&amp;oe=ISO-8859-1&amp;cof=GALT%3A%23006699%3BGL%3A1%3BDIV%3A%23FFFFFF%3BVLC%3A6C82B5%3BAH%3Acenter%3BBGC%3AFFFFFF%3BLBGC%3AFFFFFF%3BALC%3AFFFFFF%3BLC%3AFFFFFF%3BT%3A2BA94F%3BGFNT%3A330033%3BGIMP%3A330033%3BFORID%3A1&amp;hl=en">written a lot</a><span style="font-family: verdana;"> about Israel since I began to blog.<br /><br />I
lived there for nearly a year as a young man and had a very good love
there and all the experiences and memories that go with that.<br /><br />I don't consider myself an "expert" on that country, only someone who loved the place very much... not all the <span style="font-style: italic;">zionut</span>,
but the breath of the Tel-Aviv seafront early on a spring morning, my
Israeli girlfriend sleeping in my arms, the sweetness of life. Israel is as real to me as the smell of a woman's skin.<br /><br />In
coming to consciousness politically, I am someone who has gone from
being very, very, pro-Israel to very anti-Israel and this saddens me
more than a little.</span><br /><br /> ]]>
      <![CDATA[<span style="font-family: verdana;">I am not kidding myself into
thinking that being anti-Israel and anti its influence on American
politics is going to be interpreted by most Jewish people as anything
other than antisemitism and that saddens me even more.<br /><br />My
stepfather was a pianist, with
degrees from Stanford, Harvard and the Eastman School of Music, he had
studied composition with Schoenberg and later was one of the pioneers
of musical therapy for the mentally ill. In our living room there was a
Steinway concert grand. Since we had the piano, practically every weekend there was chamber music in our house</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">.
The participants were either string players from the Chicago symphony
or psychiatrists.<br /><br />It isn't exactly ethnic profiling to note a high
incidence of Jewish people among psychiatrists and string players. </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">They brought their children with them and those were the kids I played with on weekends.<br /><br /></span><span style="font-family: verdana;">As I turn the question of Israel around in my mind today, I feel that something precious to me has been tainted.</span>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>He could at least stop playing golf</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/2009/01/he-could-at-least-stop-playing.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/david_seaton//1840.250142</id>
   
   <published>2009-01-03T20:46:22Z</published>
   <updated>2009-01-04T08:40:03Z</updated>
   
   <summary> President-elect Barack Obama plays a little golf during his vacation last week in Hawaii. Al Jazeera contrasted footage of Obama on vacation with scenes of the carnage in Gaza, noting what it called &quot;the deafening silence of the Obama...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>David Seaton</name>
      
   </author>
   
   <category term="50" label="Barack Obama" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="3375" label="Gaza" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="3410" label="Golf" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="855" label="Middle East" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="99" label="Palestine" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/">
      <![CDATA[ <img style="width: 450px; height: 300px;" alt="FOUR!" src="http://www.chicagotribune.com/media/photo/2009-01/44331582.jpg" align="top" /><br /><blockquote style="color: rgb(102, 102, 102);"><span style="font-family: lucida grande;">President-elect Barack Obama plays a little golf during his vacation last week in Hawaii. Al Jazeera contrasted footage of Obama on vacation with scenes of the carnage in Gaza, noting what it called "the deafening silence of the Obama team." <span style="font-style: italic;">(Tim Sloan / Getty-AFP / December 29, 2008)</span><br /><br /></span><span style="font-family: georgia;"> <img style="width: 170px; height: 172px;" alt="bombs bursting in air" src="http://newsimg.bbc.co.uk/media/images/45343000/jpg/_45343669_gazaflareap226b.jpg" align="left" hspace="4" />Israeli ground troops have started to enter the Gaza Strip, Israeli military officials have confirmed, a week after the offensive against Hamas began.(...) Earlier, Israel intensified air and artillery attacks on the territory. (...) The UN has warned of a worsening humanitarian crisis, and believes 25% of more than 400 Palestinians killed by Israel so far were civilians.(...) there are said to be some 10,000 Israeli troops and hundreds of tanks massed on the border with Gaza. The office of Prime Minister Ehud Olmert has also announced that the government has ordered the urgent call-up of "tens of thousands" of extra military reservists. <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/7809959.stm"><span style="font-style: italic;">BBC News</span></a>

<br /><br />"We want him to say something at least to stop the bloodshed," said Suhail Natour, a Palestinian activist who lives in the Mar Elias Palestinian refugee camp in Beirut. "Waiting until the 20th, with the bloodshed continuing, I don't think is an acceptable way of confirming a new policy in the Middle East. Silence on this means complicity." </span><a href="http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/chi-gaza-obama_slyjan04,0,3493387.story"><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: georgia;">Chicago Tribune</span></a></blockquote>

<span style="font-family: verdana;">Readers of mine will know that I am no fan of Barack Obama's, but I confess that I never expected him to prove me right by defining himself </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">so</span><span style="font-family: verdana;"> quickly... even before being sworn in as President.</span>

<br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">What is happening in Gaza is huge, grotesquely tragic... It is like watching a cat play with a small animal before killing it... endlessly mauling it... warming to its work.

<br /><br />People all over the world have placed great hopes in Barack Obama and his "yes we can - change we can believe in" and they are waiting for a word... only a word... and while people are dying horribly, </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">he is playing golf</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">.</span>]]>
      <![CDATA[<span style="font-family: verdana;">Being photographed playing golf at
a moment like this is as tone deaf as Bush looking out of plane at the
ruins of New Orleans was... much more tone deaf in my opinion.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">I'm sorry, but the "one president at a time" thing is not good enough. He had a lot to say about the Mumbai attacks: </span><blockquote>"President-Elect
Obama strongly condemns today's terrorist attacks in Mumbai, and his
thoughts and prayers are with the victims, their families, and the
people of India. These coordinated attacks on innocent civilians
demonstrate the grave and urgent threat of terrorism." <a href="http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/11/26/1690332.aspx"><span style="font-style: italic;">Brooke Anderson, Obama's Chief National Security Spokesperson</span></a><br /></blockquote> <span style="font-family: verdana;">And positively loquacious when it come to the economy:</span> <blockquote>President-elect
Barack Obama on Saturday said the struggling U.S. economy could face
more challenges and urged lawmakers to act quickly on recovery
proposals even as some Republicans expressed concerns about plans for a
huge stimulus package. "As we mark the beginning of a new year, we also
know that America faces great and growing challenges -- challenges that
threaten our nation's economy and our dreams for the future," Obama
said in his weekly radio and Internet address. <a href="http://uk.reuters.com/article/marketsNewsUS/idUKN0236000020090103"><span style="font-style: italic;">Reuters</span></a></blockquote>  <span style="font-family: verdana;">But, when in their moment of agony, the  Palestinians waited for a word  from Obama and the word finally was: </span><div style="text-align: center; font-weight: bold; font-family: verdana;"><blockquote><b><span style="font-size: 180%;">FORE!</span></b></blockquote></div> <span style="font-family: verdana;">They
say that first impressions are the most important... I doubt whether
anyone in the Middle East will forget this one anytime soon.<br /><a href="http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/"><font style="font-size: 0.8em;">http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/</font></a><br /></span>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Gaza: &quot;us&quot; and &quot;them&quot;</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/2009/01/gaza-us-and-them.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/david_seaton//1840.250067</id>
   
   <published>2009-01-02T19:00:03Z</published>
   <updated>2009-01-02T19:19:17Z</updated>
   
   <summary> A very wise man once said that there are only two kinds of people in the world: those that think that there are only two kinds of people in the world and those who don&apos;t.The readiness to quickly divide...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>David Seaton</name>
      
   </author>
   
   <category term="3375" label="Gaza" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/">
      <![CDATA[<img style="width: 450px; height: 331px;" alt="" src="http://www.thewe.cc/thewei/images2/palestine_2004/boy_wounded_by_us_missile_2.jpe" align="top" /><br />
<span style="font-family: verdana;">A very wise man once said that
there are only two kinds of people in the world: those that think that
there are only two kinds of people in the world and those who don't.<br /><br /></span><span style="font-family: verdana;">The readiness to quickly divide the
world into "us" and "them": this need to stimulate tribalism, is at the
heart of right wing populism and the only difference between right wing
populism and fascism is the degree of organized violence that they
finally produce.<br /></span><br /> ]]>
      <![CDATA[<span style="font-family: verdana;">If you observe humanity closely it
is hard to apply the word "them" to any mass of it. Perhaps only
creatures from outer space could really be "them"... Humanity is "us".
This is not to underestimate or obviate the cultural differences that
exist. They exist because our species is unique in having memory,
unique in its ability to accumulate </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">and tell </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">stories
about itself. And also unique in living under the shadow of death,
which other species ignore until it is upon them. Geography, climate,
memory, language and death are the origins of culture.<br /><br />Under our
important cultural differences we have a species that is defined
by living in society with its fellows. Different cultures facing
different geography and climate have devised different strategies to
make that possible, but all cultures have been faced with the same
problem of integrating large groups of "us" into something manageable
and productive enough to survive.<br /><br />Most if not all of these
strategies for social survival place value on such concepts as truth
and peace and what the Chinese philosopher Mencius called, "human
heartedness" or "innate goodness". His famous example (<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mencius#The_Four_Beginnings">hat to Wikipedia</a>)
is called "The Four Beginnings" (benevolence, righteousness, respect
and the capacity to distinguish right from wrong).. To show innate
goodness, Mencius used the example of a child falling down a well.
<br /><br />Witnesses of this event immediately feel:<br /></span><ul><li><span style="font-family: verdana;">Alarm
and distress, not to gain friendship with the child's parents, nor to
seek the praise of their neighbors and friends, nor because they
dislike the reputation [of lack of humanity if they did not rescue the
child]...</span></li></ul><span style="font-family: verdana;"></span><ul><li><span style="font-family: verdana;">The
feeling of commiseration is the beginning of humanity; the feeling of
shame and dislike is the beginning of righteousness; the feeling of
deference and compliance is the beginning of propriety; and the feeling
of right and wrong is the beginning of wisdom.</span></li></ul><span style="font-family: verdana;"></span><ul><li><span style="font-family: verdana;">Men
have these Four Beginnings just as they have their four limbs. Having
these Four Beginnings, but saying that they cannot develop them is to
destroy themselves.</span></li></ul><span style="font-family: verdana;">These
values make it possible for human beings to live together, to eat, to
breed and to buy and to sell... and to realize their humanity.<br /><br />Mencius's
Four Beginnings could probably be a practical starting point for a
constructive dialog, leading to peaceful coexistence, between any
groups of human beings who have ever inhabited this planet. The
challenge today with globalization and the phenomenon of mass
immigration is to simultaneously respect that climate, geography,
memory and death have made us all "different" while our common
humanness has made us all "the same".</span><br /><a href="http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/"><font style="font-size: 0.8em;">http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com</font></a><br />]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>A New Year&apos;s Re(S)&amp;(V)olution </title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/2008/12/a-new-years-resvolution.php" />
   <id>tag:www.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk/blogs/david_seaton//1840.249774</id>
   
   <published>2008-12-30T18:32:02Z</published>
   <updated>2008-12-30T18:44:13Z</updated>
   
   <summary> We live now in a curious, &quot;lull before the storm&quot;, interlude. What seemed normal only a few months ago, now seems strange, silly and sinister. Those who were thought to be wise have been shown to be fools and...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>David Seaton</name>
      
   </author>
   
   <category term="11313" label="Empathy" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/">
      <![CDATA[ <img style="width: 450px; height: 353px;" alt="maze" src="http://www.scenes.netfirms.com/BDS_images/MonkeyMazeSm.JPG" align="top" /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">We live now in a curious, "lull
before the storm", interlude. What seemed normal only a few months ago,
now seems strange, silly and sinister. Those who were thought to be
wise have been shown to be fools and what seemed granite fortresses
have turned out to be so many cobweb constructions.<br /><br />More is on the way: new myths to be exploded and new fools to be exposed. We call this a crisis.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">A
crisis in our system -- more a momentary interruption of its smugness
-- at least holds out the opportunity to question what we are doing and
why we are doing it.<br /><br />For reasons of financial esoterica, reasons
that are very complex and difficult to follow even for those trained to
understand them, millions of people are going to face real hardship and
many others in the economic twilight of the third world will literally
starve to death or die of untreated diseases. We seem to have woven
ourselves into some kind of hell.<br /><br /></span>]]>
      <![CDATA[<span style="font-family: verdana;">At the bottom of this appears to be
greed and selfishness and a tangled skein of institutions grown up to
express and protect them.</span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;">As the cartoon character, </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pogo_%28comics%29">Pogo</a><span style="font-family: verdana;"> once said, "We have met the enemy and he is us".</span>   <span style="font-family: verdana;">Obviously we have gotten entangled in a labyrinth of our own devising.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Many
people repress their inner qualms about our system because they don't
want to be seen to be unrealistic and impractical, but scientific
research is showing that it is the system itself that does not conform
to human nature. We are caught in something that, although created by
humans, is manifestly </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">inhuman</span><span style="font-family: verdana;"> and a violation of human nature.<br /><br />What could be less realistic and practical than that?</span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />Is this who we really are?</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">In
a synthesis that I think we shall see becoming common in future years,
fact based scientific research is coming to confirm the ancient
intuitions of humanity's spiritual traditions.</span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;">Both
science and religion, unlike the financial and political sectors, put
the highest value on truth and strive to find it. At some point they
might bump heads in the dark.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Before examining the science let's look at the spiritual traditions that date back thousands of years.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Judaism's most revered sage, </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hillel_the_Elder">Rabbi Hillel</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">
once said,"What is hateful to you, do not do to your fellow: this is
the whole Law; the rest is the explanation; go and learn". A few
decades later, Jesus of Nazareth announced the Golden Rule, "Therefore
all things whatsoever ye would that men should do to you, do ye even so
to them: for this is the law and the prophets." and "Love thy neighbor
as thyself."</span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />Christianity's
first chief executive officer, Saint Paul wrote,"owe no one anything
except to love one another, for he who loves another has fulfilled the
law. For the commandments, 'Thou shalt not commit adultery,' 'Thou
shalt not murder,' 'Thou shalt not steal,' 'Thou shalt not bear false
witness,' 'Thou shalt not covet,' and if there is any other
commandment, are all summed up in this saying, namely, 'Thou shalt love
thy neighbor as thyself.' Love does no harm to a neighbor; therefore
love is the fulfillment of the law."</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">In
sociology this is known as the "norm or ethic of reciprocity", it is
ancient and universal. With abundant help from Wikipedia, let's look at
some samples of the legacy:</span><blockquote style="font-family: georgia;">The
Greek stoic philosopher Epictetus who taught that human beings have a
duty of care to all fellow humans, said, "What thou avoidest suffering
thyself seek not to impose on others."<br /><br />The Buddha said, "One
who, while himself seeking happiness, oppresses with violence other
beings who also desire happiness, will not attain happiness hereafter".<br /><br />Confucius said, "Never impose on others what you would not choose for yourself."<br /><br />In
the Hindu tradition, the Mahabharata states, "One should never do that
to another which one regards as injurious to one's own self. This, in
brief, is the rule of dharma. Other behavior is due to selfish desires."<br /><br />The
Prophet Muhammad said, "The most righteous of men is the one who is
glad that men should have what is pleasing to himself, and who dislikes
for them what is for him disagreeable."</blockquote><span style="font-family: verdana;">Is
this some sort of amazing coincidence? Probably not: science is
discovering that it might be printed in our DNA. The question could be,
does matter proceed from spirit or does spirit proceed from matter? And
the answer might be Deng Hsiao Ping's, "black cat, white cat, as long
as it catches mice it is a good cat".</span><br /><blockquote>Last year
Marc Hauser, an evolutionary biologist at Harvard, proposed in his book
"Moral Minds" that the brain has a genetically shaped mechanism for
acquiring moral rules, a universal moral grammar similar to the neural
machinery for learning language. In another recent book, "Primates and
Philosophers," the primatologist Frans de Waal defends against
philosopher critics his view that the roots of morality can be seen in
the social behavior of monkeys and apes. Dr. de Waal, who is director
of the Living Links Center at Emory University, argues that all social
animals have had to constrain or alter their behavior in various ways
for group living to be worthwhile. These constraints, evident in
monkeys and even more so in chimpanzees, are part of human inheritance,
too, and in his view form the set of behaviors from which human
morality has been shaped.(...) Though human morality may end in notions
of rights and justice and fine ethical distinctions, it begins, Dr. de
Waal says, in concern for others and the understanding of social rules
as to how they should be treated. At this lower level, primatologists
have shown, there is what they consider to be a sizable overlap between
the behavior of people and other social primates.(...) Dr. de Waal
believes that these actions are undertaken for the greater good of the
community, as distinct from person-to-person relationships, and are a
significant precursor of morality in human societies.(...) "Morality is
as firmly grounded in neurobiology as anything else we do or are," Dr.
de Waal wrote in his 1996 book "Good Natured." Biologists ignored this
possibility for many years, believing that because natural selection
was cruel and pitiless it could only produce people with the same
qualities. But this is a fallacy, in Dr. de Waal's view. Natural
selection favors organisms that survive and reproduce, by whatever
means. And it has provided people, he writes in "Primates and
Philosophers," with "a compass for life's choices that takes the
interests of the entire community into account, which is the essence of
human morality." <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2007/03/20/science/20moral.html?_r=1&amp;pagewanted=print"><span style="font-style: italic;">New York Times </span></a></blockquote> <span style="font-family: verdana;">Apparently this moral "compass" is heavily reinforced. </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/05/27/AR2007052701056_pf.html">Read this from the Washington Post</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">: </span><blockquote>"You
gotta see this!" Jorge Moll had written. Moll and Jordan Grafman,
neuroscientists at the National Institutes of Health, had been scanning
the brains of volunteers as they were asked to think about a scenario
involving either donating a sum of money to charity or keeping it for
themselves.(....) The results were showing that when the volunteers
placed the interests of others before their own, the generosity
activated a primitive part of the brain that usually lights up in
response to food or sex. Altruism, the experiment suggested, was not a
superior moral faculty that suppresses basic selfish urges but rather
was basic to the brain, hard-wired and pleasurable.(...) The results --
many of them published just in recent months -- are showing,
unexpectedly, that many aspects of morality appear to be hard-wired in
the brain, most likely the result of evolutionary processes that began
in other species.(...) What the new research is showing is that
morality has biological roots -- such as the reward center in the brain
that lit up in Grafman's experiment -- that have been around for a very
long time. The more researchers learn, the more it appears that the
foundation of morality is empathy. Being able to recognize -- even
experience vicariously -- what another creature is going through was an
important leap in the evolution of social behavior. And it is only a
short step from this awareness to many human notions of right and
wrong, says Jean Decety, a neuroscientist at the University of Chicago.</blockquote> <span style="font-family: verdana;">Let's underline one phrase from that article, "</span><u style="font-family: verdana;">The more researchers learn, the more it appears that the foundation of morality is empathy</u><span style="font-family: verdana;">": to "walk a mile in another man's shoes" to experience vicariously what another creature is feeling is probably the most </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">human </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">experience there is and one the most pleasurable or painful experiences that life has to offer.</span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />Empathy
is the basis of great dramatic art, especially the most popular of all
dramatic arts, the art of cinematography. What is a movie star, but a
person with a unique ability to inspire empathy?</span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />Think
of the world's, but especially America's, obsession with the movies and
with movie stars. Americans literally worship movie stars: they spend
an enormous part of their lives and billions of dollars seeking to
empathize with them. They sit on their sofa's or in darkened movie
theaters having stories told to them like sleepy children, </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">rooting for the good guy</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">, during an amazing proportion of their waking lives. </span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />So
science and even Hollywood prove that we derive great pleasure from
doing good and observing others doing good. This pleasure makes
cooperation and solidarity attractive and these qualities have made our
species the most successful of all the animal kingdom.</span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />If
this is who we really are, the most imperative fields of inquiry in the
coming years have to be, how did we get into such an impossible
situation and probably much more important, <a href="http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/2007/02/david-seatons-news-links-there-is.html">how</a> do we get out of it?</span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />The answers to the last question, whatever they finally may be, will surely entail empowering our </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">humanity</span><span style="font-family: verdana;"> and downgrading all the structures or value systems that make empathy a solitary vice.<br /><a href="http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/"><font style="font-size: 0.8em;">http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/</font></a><br /></span>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Gaza: rummaging around for shoes </title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/2008/12/gaza-rummaging-around-for-shoe.php" />
   <id>tag:www.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk/blogs/david_seaton//1840.249595</id>
   
   <published>2008-12-29T07:56:15Z</published>
   <updated>2008-12-29T08:05:30Z</updated>
   
   <summary> &quot;Dime con quién andas y te diré quién eres&quot; (tell me who hang out with and I&apos;ll tell you who you are) Old Spanish proverb&apos;Twas an evening in October, I&apos;ll confess I wasn&apos;t sober,I was carting home a load...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>David Seaton</name>
      
   </author>
   
   <category term="3375" label="Gaza" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="24" label="Israel" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="11275" label="Israel Defense Forces" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="99" label="Palestine" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/">
      <![CDATA[ <img style="width: 450px; height: 600px;" alt="Gaza" src="http://www.philipweiss.org/.a/6a00d8341cc8ad53ef010536a16252970c-pi" align="top" /><br /><blockquote style="font-family: lucida grande;">"Dime con quién andas y te diré quién eres" (tell me who hang out with and  I'll tell you who you are) <span style="font-style: italic;">Old Spanish proverb</span><br /><br />'Twas an evening in October, I'll confess I wasn't sober,<br />I was carting home a load with manly pride,<br />When my feet began to stutter and I fell into the gutter,<br />And a pig came up and lay down by my side.<br />Then I lay there in the gutter, thinking thoughts I cannot utter,<br />Till a lady, passing by, did chance to say:<br />"You can tell a man that boozes by the company he chooses,"<br />Then the pig got up and slowly walked away.<br /><span style="font-style: italic;">"The Pig Got Up and Slowly walked Away" (1933, Clarke Van Ness, music by F. Henri Klickmann)  </span></blockquote> <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 102, 0); font-family: verdana;"></span><span style="font-family: verdana;">Anyone
eager for change they can believe in would do well to listen closely to
the statements and perhaps more importantly to the silences of Barack
Obama in the next few days.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">As
the Spanish proverb and the song quoted above suggest, the United
States is defined by the company it keeps. America's conjoined twin
alliance with Israel defines America for the world. No amount of
chanting "yes we can", will change this. Only a genuine change in
policy will change it.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Will there ever be any change?</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">If
you believe that Barack Obama will face down the Israel lobby while
trying to pull the USA out of a recession that is quickly turning into a
depression, then your hope passes all audacity and enters into that
part of the human psyche where suicide bombers expect 72 virgins on
completing their assignment.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Richard
Nixon once warned, in very different circumstance, that America was in
danger of becoming "a pitiful and helpless giant". Nothing conveys this
helplessness more graphically than America's supine support for
Israel's treatment of the Palestinian people... but very few people
pity the "helpless giant" today... if they ever did.<br /><a href="http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/"><font style="font-size: 0.8em;">http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/</font></a><br />&nbsp;<span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 102, 0);"></span></span>]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Read Amira Hass&apos;s report from Gaza</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/2008/12/read-amira-hasss-report-from-g.php" />
   <id>tag:www.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk/blogs/david_seaton//1840.249558</id>
   
   <published>2008-12-28T16:40:25Z</published>
   <updated>2008-12-28T17:00:46Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Amira Hass in perhaps the world&apos;s finest, living journalist. Her report from Gaza, published in today&apos;s Haaretz is a must read. Here are some excerpts:There are many corpses and wounded, every moment another casualty is added to the list of...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>David Seaton</name>
      
   </author>
   
   <category term="11254" label="Amira Hass" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="3375" label="Gaza" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="24" label="Israel" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/">
      <![CDATA[<img style="width: 450px; height: 331px;" alt="Gaza" src="http://www.elpais.com/recorte/20081227elpepuint_18/XLCO/Ies/20081227elpepuint_18.jpg" align="top" /><br /><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amira_Hass">Amira Hass</a> in perhaps the world's finest, living journalist. <a href="http://haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1050636.html">Her report from Gaza</a>, published in today's Haaretz is a must read. Here are some excerpts:<br /><blockquote>There are many corpses and wounded, every moment another casualty is added to the list of the dead, and there is no more room in the morgue. Relatives search among the bodies and the wounded in order to bring the dead quickly to burial. A mother whose three school-age children were killed, and are piled one on top of the other in the morgue, screams and then cries, screams again and then is silent.(...) Dr. Haidar Eid is a lecturer in Cultural Studies at Al-Aqsa University. He, too, saw the bodies and the wounded on Saturday. Also the children whose limbs had been amputated. "To pick a time like this, 11:30 [A.M.], to bomb in the hearts of cities, this is terrible. This choice was intended to cause as large a massacre as possible," he summed up.(...) From 11:25 until 11:30, as some 50 warplanes bombed their targets, hundreds of thousands of children were in the streets. Some were coming from the first shift of classes, others were going to the second. "In the schoolyard I saw 500 frightened girls, crying. They did not know me, but clung to me," Abu Muhammad related.(...) "There's been no electricity, nor gas, nor flour or bread nearly all of the past week," Umm Salah said. "And suddenly the electricity came back. I turned on the television, I saw the images, I turned it off and sent the kids to do their homework."<br /></blockquote> ]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Tiptoe on the tightrope </title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/2008/12/tiptoe-on-the-tightrope.php" />
   <id>tag:www.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk/blogs/david_seaton//1840.249502</id>
   
   <published>2008-12-26T20:54:42Z</published>
   <updated>2008-12-27T08:40:09Z</updated>
   
   <summary> A couple of days ago I uploaded a post about the idea that the &quot;productivity revolution&quot; was the starting point for today&apos;s economic fright. Among several interesting comments, I got these questions from a reader, Steve Crawley: I would...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>David Seaton</name>
      
   </author>
   
   <category term="10531" label="Bernard L. Madoff" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="11214" label="Pensée Unique" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="11216" label="Real-Existing Socialism" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/">
      <![CDATA[ <img style="width: 450px; height: 639px;" alt="whoops" src="http://www.imageenvision.com/md/stock_photography/female_tight_rope_walker_performing_for_the_sells_floto_circus.jpg" align="top" /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">A couple of days ago </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/2008/12/we-all-live-in-ponzi-land.php">I uploaded a post</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">
about the idea that the "productivity revolution" was the starting
point for today's economic fright. Among several interesting comments,
I got these questions from a reader, </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://e-wisdom.blogspot.com/">Steve Crawley</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">: </span><blockquote style="font-family: georgia;">I
would like to hear the rest of the story from you about the
post-collapse era. Here are a few prompting questions to hopefully get
you started. Assuming technology and advanced communications continue
be with us, will they contribute to improving our national economic or
is something else needed? Do you agree social instability has not yet
arrived, but is just around the corner? Or is there another path that
is necessary for some sort of economic and possibly social stability to
return?</blockquote> <span style="font-family: verdana;">To begin to
answer Steve's questions, I would have to start with Yogi Berra's
famous caveat, that it is difficult to make predictions... especially
about the future. Yuck, yuck.</span><br /><br />]]>
      <![CDATA[<span style="font-family: verdana;">Talking to people that are supposed
to know about this stuff, they seem to agree that the most orthodox way
out this mess is to devalue ones currency, up productivity and cut
wages...</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">If my idea
is correct that upping productivity has already cut jobs and stagnated
or lowered the salaries of many if not most remaining jobs and made it
necessary to lend money to people with little hope of paying it back
just to keep </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mzJmTCYmo9g">the whole mishagoss</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">
in motion, then you can see that the last two items on the list --
upping productivity and lowering wages -- would eventually only lead to
more unhappiness.<br /><br />This assumes of course that I am right and
that the absolutely amazing gains made in productivity since the
personal computer and the Internet were wedded to industry are what is
behind all of this mess.</span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />As
to what the contributions technology and advanced communications might
make to improving our national economy. I've just read Fareed Zakaria's
recent and quickly outdated book, "The Post American World", where
Zakaria writes about advances in </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nanotechnology">nanotechnology</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">: </span><blockquote style="font-family: georgia;">At
some point in the future, or so I'm told, households will construct
products out of raw materials, and businesses will simply create the
formulas that turn atoms into goods.</blockquote> <span style="font-family: verdana;">The
idea is that you put some powder you order on the Internet into a
washtub, add water and out walks a TV set, thus putting millions of
Chinese people out of work.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Whether
this ever happens or not, the fact that somebody might think it was a
good idea and that a lot of money was being invested in making it
happen would have to put you on your guard a bit: it's the thought that
counts.</span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />So as to
"social instability" being just around the corner, that all depends
where the corner is. Is this crisis the turning of that corner?<br /><br />I think the real "corner turner" will be the crisis that comes from the remedies that are being applied in this present crisis.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">This
particular crisis is about a vacuum in credibility. It isn't exactly
America's "fall of the wall" moment... yet, but it is moving in that
direction. Think what it means when a whole ideology crashes.</span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />When
I was a young fellow many people truly believed, and had made huge
personal sacrifices all their long lives in the belief that history's
inevitable march was toward socialism and that the Soviet Union was the
genuine vanguard in that march. Many were still believing it right up
till the moment when Gorbachev pulled down the Red Flag on the Kremlin.<br /><br />It
is impossible to exaggerate what an intellectual and political hole
that left... a hole big enough for people like Alan Greenspan and
George W. Bush to walk through.</span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />The
Madoff scandal is the quintessential caricature of the whole moment.
The idea that people had around the world had was that American Jewish
people were the only people intelligent enough to really understand
advanced financial products and it turns out that America's richest,
therefore smartest, Jewish people were as stupid as it was possible to
be, even Madoff himself, to ever think he could get away with it, all
this destroying centuries of malignant stereotypes of preternatural
craftiness at the worst possible and inopportune moment. </span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />The bottom line is: If America's richest Jews are just as stupid as the rest of the world's goyim, then... </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/la-oe-stein19-2008dec19,0,6620255.column">who is minding the store</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">?<br /><br />Substitute "American" for "Jewish" and you've got the whole idea of this crisis's implications. </span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />So, with the deflation of  </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.google.es/search?q=Real-Existing+Socialism&amp;ie=utf-8&amp;oe=utf-8&amp;aq=t&amp;rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&amp;client=firefox-a">Real-Existing Socialism</a><span style="font-family: verdana;"> and now </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pens%C3%A9e_unique">Pensée Unique</a><span style="font-family: verdana;"> we are now going to have to fake it.</span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />Digging
through the ruins of Marxism, we can probably find some useful and
recyclable refuse. One idea that people are going to be rolling around
again is that capitalism is a historical "phase" like feudalism with a
beginning, middle and end.<br /><br />I don't think it is ending now or anything like it, but people are now going to take seriously the idea that it </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">will</span><span style="font-family: verdana;"> end at some point and if nothing else table talk is going to be more interesting.<br /><a href="http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/"><font style="font-size: 0.8em;">http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/</font></a></span>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Christmas Eve: peace on earth </title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/2008/12/christmas-eve-peace-on-earth.php" />
   <id>tag:www.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk/blogs/david_seaton//1840.249391</id>
   
   <published>2008-12-24T18:06:25Z</published>
   <updated>2008-12-24T18:15:43Z</updated>
   
   <summary> &quot;The Holy Family with Saint Anne&quot;Peter Paul Rubens - Museo del Prado, MadridAt Christmas time we commemorate the birth of a mysterious being: a miracle working Jewish carpenter, said to be the king of heaven. One who, even for...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>David Seaton</name>
      
   </author>
   
   <category term="10977" label="Christmas" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/">
      <![CDATA[ <img style="width: 450px; height: 597px;" alt="holy family, rubens" src="http://www.spanisharts.com/history/barroco/imagenes/rubens/sagradafamiliaana.jpg" align="top" /><br /><blockquote style="font-family: georgia;"><div style="text-align: center;">"The Holy Family with Saint Anne"<br /></div><div style="text-align: justify;"><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-style: italic;">Peter Paul Rubens - Museo del Prado, Madrid</span></div></div></blockquote><div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 102, 0); font-family: verdana;"></span><span style="font-family: verdana;">At
Christmas time we commemorate the birth of a mysterious being: a
miracle working Jewish carpenter, said to be the king of heaven. One
who, even for those that do not believe in him, has been the central,
self-defining, personality of Western civilization for over two
thousand years.</span><br /></div><span style="font-family: verdana;"><br />At Christmas, </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">those
who follow the teachings of that figure are urged to wish for 'peace on
earth, good will to men' and to practice forgiveness and to love their
enemies. Who are those enemies that Christians are supposed to forgive
and to love?</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;"></span>]]>
      <![CDATA[<span style="font-family: verdana;">Today it is a common belief that Islam is the sworn enemy of Christianity. <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/12/24/world/middleeast/24jordan.html?hp=&amp;pagewanted=print">Is that true</a>? If so, was it <span style="font-style: italic;">always</span>
true? If it wasn't always true, then whose fault is it that the two
religions are at sword point today? Are Muslims in need of our
forgiveness? Are we of theirs?</span><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;"><br />In
order for the followers of Christ to tell friend from foe, to truly
forgive and to begin to love their enemies, it is obviously essential
to begin by being able to know which is which.</span><span style="font-family: verdana;"> This is </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">not always <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islamic_view_of_Jesus">as easy</a></span><span style="font-family: verdana;"> as it would appear <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Judaism%27s_view_of_Jesus">at first glance</a>.<br /><br />Today
the relations between Islam and Christianity need, more than ever, to
be examined and revised. Westerners ignorance and lack of appreciation
of Islam is doubly aggravated by their ignorance of Muslim's
traditional knowledge and esteem of Christianity... An esteem born out
by the great number of Muslims named, <span style="font-style: italic;">"Maryam,"</span> (Mary) and <span style="font-style: italic;">"<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isa_%28name%29">Isa</a>"</span>, (Jesus).<br /><br />Tragically, little is known in the West of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islamic_view_of_Virgin_Mary">Islam's affection </a>for the Virgin Mary </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">to whom <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T5aIi3OqOJU">an entire, tenderly poetic, chapter of the Koran</a> about the birth of Jesus, the "<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maryam_%28sura%29">Maryam Sura</a>", is devoted. Christmas time is uniquely suited to  listening to  its <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T5aIi3OqOJU">spellbinding recitation</a>.<br /><br />Two years ago, </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Karen_Armstrong">Karen Armstrong,</a><span style="font-family: verdana;"> </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">a
former Catholic nun and perhaps the English language's most interesting
writer on comparative religions, published the article quoted below in
The Guardian. It makes a perfect Christmas meditation in these times of
hatred and intolerance. </span><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 102, 0); font-family: verdana;">DS</span><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /></span> <div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="color: rgb(51, 102, 102); font-size: 85%;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">The Muslim prophet born in Bethlehem - Karen Armstrong - Guardian</span></span><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Abstract:</span>
In 632, after five years of fearful warfare, the city of Mecca in the
Arabian Hijaz voluntarily opened its gates to the Muslim army. No blood
was shed and nobody was forced to convert to Islam, but the Prophet
Muhammad ordered the destruction of all idols and icons of the Divine.
There were a number of frescoes painted on the inner walls of the
Kabah, the ancient granite shrine in the centre of Mecca, and one of
them, it is said, depicted Mary and the infant Jesus. Immediately
Muhammad covered it reverently with his cloak, ordering all the other
pictures to be destroyed except that one. This story may surprise
people in the west, who have regarded Islam as the implacable enemy of
Christianity ever since the crusades, but it is salutary to recall it
during the Christmas season when we are surrounded by similar images of
the Virgin and Child. It reminds us that the so-called clash of
civilisations was by no means inevitable. For centuries Muslims
cherished the figure of Jesus, who is honoured in the Qur'an as one of
the greatest of the prophets and, in the formative years of Islam,
became a constituent part of the emergent Muslim identity. There are
important lessons here for both Christians and Muslims - especially,
perhaps, at Christmas. The Qur'an does not believe that Jesus is divine
but it devotes more space to the story of his virginal conception and
birth than does the New Testament, presenting it as richly symbolic of
the birth of the Spirit in all human beings (Qur'an 19:17-29; 21:91).
Like the great prophets, Mary receives this Spirit and bears Jesus, who
will, in his turn, become an ayah, a revelation of peace, gentleness
and compassion to the world.(...) The Muslim devotion to Jesus is a
remarkable example of the way in which one tradition can be enriched by
another. It cannot be said that Christians returned the compliment.
While the Muslims were amassing their Jesus-traditions, Christian
scholars in Europe were denouncing Muhammad as a lecher and charlatan,
viciously addicted to violence. But today both Muslims and Christians
are guilty of this kind of bigotry and often seem eager to see only the
worst in each other. The Muslim devotion to Jesus shows that this was
not always the case. In the past, before the political dislocations of
modernity, Muslims were always able to engage in fruitful and stringent
self-criticism. This year, on the birthday of the Prophet Jesus, they
might ask themselves how they can revive their long tradition of
pluralism and appreciation of other religions. For their part,
meditating on the affinity that Muslims once felt for their faith,
Christians might look into their own past and consider what they might
have done to forfeit this respect. <a style="font-weight: bold;" href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/print/0,,329670375-103677,00.html">READ IT ALL</a><br /><a href="http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/"><font style="font-size: 0.8em;">http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/</font></a><br /></div>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>We all live in Ponzi land</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/2008/12/we-all-live-in-ponzi-land.php" />
   <id>tag:www.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk/blogs/david_seaton//1840.249174</id>
   
   <published>2008-12-22T20:03:30Z</published>
   <updated>2008-12-22T20:16:06Z</updated>
   
   <summary> I was talking to a very shrewd and well informed friend of mine, a now sedate notary who was once a sort of Spanish Gordon Gekko in the 1980s. He gave me a very intelligent analysis of the crisis.At...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>David Seaton</name>
      
   </author>
   
   <category term="11065" label="credit crunch" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="812" label="globalization" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="11067" label="information technologies" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="10016" label="ponzi scheme" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="11068" label="productivity" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/">
      <![CDATA[ <img style="width: 450px; height: 450px;" alt="rat race" src="http://i57.photobucket.com/albums/g224/NicoleJButler/302_hamster_running_wheel_hg_clr.gif" align="top" /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">I was talking to a very shrewd and
well informed friend of mine, a now sedate notary who was once a sort
of Spanish Gordon Gekko in the 1980s. He gave me a very intelligent
analysis of the crisis.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">At
the bottom of it, he said, was the enormous increase in productivity
brought on by information technologies. We simply produce much more
than we can possibly consume: we need lots of consumers and much fewer
workers. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">How are underemployed people supposed to buy anything? On credit. Something has to give, has given. I think he's right.<br /><br /><br /></span>]]>
      <![CDATA[<span style="font-family: verdana;">A very good example might be how
much supermarkets have changed in the last 20 years. Remember (if you
can) the days before bar code cash registers existed. Totaling up the
merchandise, taking payment and making change was much slower work than
today. Check-out girls needed a much bigger skill set in that
environment: to add and subtract accurately in their heads to begin
with.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Now, passing
the product over the laser reader, passing the banker or credit card
through the card reader and getting the customer's signature is only
the work of seconds and if the customer pays in cash, the cash register
tells the check-out girl the exact change to give. A person of average
or better than average intelligence, who has successfully completed
high school <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/12/10/AR2008121003376.html">is wasted in such a job</a>. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">At
the same time that the products are being checked out, the system is
seamlessly keeping track of the inventory and calculating the buying
needed to keep the shelves full and may even send the orders directly
to the head office, several states away, where the orders are also
processed electronically and trucks are filled and dispatched with a
fraction of the human input needed only a few years ago. Now, project
this technological productivity explosion onto almost any human
activity. More work done with a shrinking work force.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">It
is easy to see that with this system it is possible to have much bigger
stores with a much wider variety of products, employing many fewer and
much less skilled, therefore lower paid, workers than ever before.<br /><br />With
lower costs and more technology, profits rise and much of this gain is
reinvested in more productivity-raising technology, which makes more
skills and the people who have them redundant. </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">This means, perversely, that more profits usually lead to less jobs or much poorer jobs.</span> <span style="font-family: verdana;">This
paradigm, which until recently only held true for the poorly educated,
is now reaching the ranks of university graduates. Now, with digital
technology, even high intellectual output tasks can be outsourced to
where people with postgraduate degrees can be hired for the same cost
per hour as high school graduates in a developed country.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Result:
As more money is invested in raising productivity, fewer and fewer
people can produce more and more for a market glutted with products
that fewer and fewer people can afford to buy without going into debt.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;"><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/12/22/business/22layoffs.html">Salaries don't rise</a>
because most workers are not really needed that badly and are easy to
replace if they go on strike, complain or even report in sick.. and
thus they have no bargaining power. Any shortages such as one resulting
from low birthrate in developed countries can be solved by outsourcing
the jobs to poorer countries with high birthrates.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">All people are really required to do is </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.iht.com/articles/2003/01/14/edspiers_ed3_.php">to <span style="font-style: italic;">buy</span> many things</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">
that they don't really need, which they can do, even with a McJob, by
using a credit card... hereby kicking the can into the future: a future
with poorer paying jobs, less horizon, more need of credit to
participate, with less chance of ever paying back the debts incurred. </span><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;"><br />To make underpaid workers buy things that objectively they don't need, an entire industry (<a href="http://hbswk.hbs.edu/item/5878.html">marketing</a>)
exists to make them dissatisfied with what they already have.
Perversely, unhappiness becomes a social good in such an economic
arrangement. A thrifty person, content with his lot, who for thousands
of years was seen, in all traditions, as a wise and sensible man; in
this contemporary situation is seen as a public enemy to be
"stimulated". </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">In a
sense our entire "civilization" is sort of a universal "Ponzi scheme".
If the wheel stops even for a moment it all comes tumbling down.<br /><br />It's amazing that a structure this artificial, that fills so few truly human needs, has taken so long to nearly collapse.<br /><font style="font-size: 0.8em;"><a href="http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/">http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/</a></font><br /></span>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>A Christmas Card from Madrid in time of crisis</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/2008/12/a-christmas-card-from-madrid-i.php" />
   <id>tag:www.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk/blogs/david_seaton//1840.249089</id>
   
   <published>2008-12-22T11:07:07Z</published>
   <updated>2008-12-22T11:23:51Z</updated>
   
   <summary>My wife and I took Photoshop and Bruegel The Elder in hand just to wish you aMerry Christmas and a Prosperous New YearIf you&apos;d like to see the image full size (strongly recommended), CLICK HERE...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>David Seaton</name>
      
   </author>
   
   <category term="11031" label="Bruegel The Elder" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="10977" label="Christmas" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="10926" label="crisis" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/">
      <![CDATA[<img style="width: 450px; height: 320px;" alt="" src="http://www.geocities.com/seatonsnet/xmas-2008.jpg" align="top" /><br /><br />My wife and I took Photoshop and <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Triumph_of_Death">Bruegel The Elder</a> in hand just to wish you a<br /><div align="center"><b><font style="font-size: 1.5625em;">Merry Christmas and a Prosperous New Year</font></b><br /></div>If you'd like to see the image full size (strongly recommended), <a href="http://www.geocities.com/seatonsnet/xmas-card-2008.html"><b>CLICK HERE</b></a><br /> ]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Holdren and Chu and the half empty glass </title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/2008/12/holdren-and-chu-and-the-half-e.php" />
   <id>tag:www.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk/blogs/david_seaton//1840.249060</id>
   
   <published>2008-12-21T18:50:56Z</published>
   <updated>2008-12-22T09:54:19Z</updated>
   
   <summary> The decision by Barack Obama to appoint John Holdren as his chief scientific adviser deserves widespread welcome. The Harvard academic and former energy expert at the University of California, Berkeley, commands international respect among physicists, climate experts and other...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>David Seaton</name>
      
   </author>
   
   <category term="139" label="Hillary Clinton" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="10995" label="John Holdren" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="10997" label="Steven Chu" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="9496" label="Timothy Geithner" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/">
      <![CDATA[ <img style="width: 450px; height: 360px;" alt="" src="http://i134.photobucket.com/albums/q117/rhmartins/muybridge-homage.gif" align="top" vspace="4" /><br /><blockquote style="font-family: georgia;">The decision by Barack Obama
to appoint John Holdren as his chief scientific adviser deserves
widespread welcome. The Harvard academic and former energy expert at
the University of California, Berkeley, commands international respect
among physicists, climate experts and other researchers.(...) Thus
Obama, who takes up office on 20 January, has made it clear through
Holdren's appointment that global warming is going to be dealt with
robustly by his administration. <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/dec/21/obama-john-holdren"><span style="font-style: italic;">Editorial - Observer</span></a><br /><br />Now
that President-elect Barack Obama's energy and environment team is
complete, the message he's sending is loud and clear: The vacuum of
U.S. leadership on climate change will be filled. His nominees share
his goal of reducing carbon emissions and developing the next
generation of energy production that will reduce this nation's
dependence on fossil fuels. More important, they generally reflect the
pragmatic approach to governing that Mr. Obama appears to be crafting
with his Cabinet picks overall. <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/12/17/AR2008121703049_pf.html"><span style="font-style: italic;">Editorial - Washington Post<br /></span></a></blockquote><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 102, 0); font-family: verdana;"></span><span style="font-family: verdana;"><br />When I first read the comments above, I suddenly shared the same sort of elation-rush that so many Obama supporters experience.<br /><br />Wow, I thought, that is really naming the best and the brightest, he must <span style="font-style: italic;">really</span> care about energy and global warming, those heretofore starveling stepchildren of American politics. Change I can believe in.<br /><br /></span><span style="font-family: verdana;">Gee,
I said to myself, it's as if he had named Nobel Prize winning
economists, Joseph Stiglitz or Paul Krugman secretary of the treasury
or even John Mearsheimer as secretary of state instead of Timothy
Geithner and Hillary Clinton.</span><br />&nbsp;<span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /></span>]]>
      <![CDATA[<span style="font-family: verdana;">Of course that train of thought quickly drained my enthusiasm considerably.</span> <span style="font-family: verdana;">Because if, as the Washington Post says, </span><blockquote style="font-family: georgia;">"the message he's sending is loud and clear: The vacuum of U.S. leadership on climate change will be filled. "</blockquote> <span style="font-family: verdana;">then
what is the message that he sending with such key appointments as those
of Treasury and State? What is the message he is sending loud and clear
about the vacuum of US leadership in economic policy and foreign
affairs?</span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />Certainly
neither Geithner's nor Clinton's reputations in the fields they have
been chosen to lead can compare with the reputations of John Holdren's
and Nobel winning, Steven Chu's and certainly as important as energy
and science are, at this moment of crisis, they are not more important
than Treasury and State, which are both </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.williampfaff.com/modules/news/article.php?storyid=366">disaster areas</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">.</span>   <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />I
would say that naming these highly qualified men of wide and sterling
reputations in their fields contrasts with the mediocrity of those
chosen for posts that are objectively of greater immediate importance.<br /><br />People of this high level </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">do </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">exist
in both fields, not naming them to key posts shows that these vital cabinet positions are being used merely to pay political
debts and that the Nobel Prize winners in other areas are being used as window
dressing.<br /><br />If their roles were going to be as important as the
innocent editorial writers seem to believe, then in all logic their
jobs would also be filled with political IOU holders.<br /><a href="http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/"><font style="font-size: 0.8em;">http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/</font></a><br /></span>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Notes of the roundtable</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/2008/12/notes-of-the-roundtable.php" />
   <id>tag:www.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk/blogs/david_seaton//1840.248942</id>
   
   <published>2008-12-19T19:42:54Z</published>
   <updated>2008-12-19T19:55:08Z</updated>
   
   <summary> Former Costa Rican president, José María Figueres Olsen, with Bubba and a redhead, August 2000Yesterday I attended a round table discussion about the world &quot;crisis&quot; which was held in one of Spain&apos;s largest banks. There were economic and political...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>David Seaton</name>
      
   </author>
   
   <category term="10926" label="crisis" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="10925" label="José María Figueres Olsen" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/">
      <![CDATA[ <img style="width: 450px; height: 325px;" alt="figueres olsen with bubba" src="http://www.nacion.com/ln_ee/ESPECIALES/visual/2000/agosto/31/foto30.jpg" align="top" /><br /><span style="font-family: georgia; font-size: 85%;"><blockquote><span style="color: rgb(102, 102, 102);">Former Costa Rican president, José María Figueres Olsen, with Bubba and a redhead, August 2000</span></blockquote></span><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 102, 0); font-family: verdana;"></span><span style="font-family: verdana;">Yesterday
I attended a round table discussion about the world "crisis" which was
held in one of Spain's largest banks. There were economic and political
analysts from the Spanish government, banks, foundations, embassies,
etc. The round table was chaired by the former president of Costa Rica,
</span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jose_Maria_Figueres">José María Figueres-Olsen</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">, educated at West Point and Harvard, who, in my opinion,  said some of the most interesting things of the whole afternoon.<br /></span><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Some of the themes of concern mentioned were the possibilities of:</span><br /><ul style="font-family: verdana;"><li>Return of protectionism</li></ul><ul style="font-family: verdana;"><li>End of globalization<br /></li></ul><ul style="font-family: verdana;"><li>Less funds for aid to developing countries</li></ul><ul style="font-family: verdana;"><li>Change in the balance of world power</li></ul><ul style="font-family: verdana;"><li>Lack of leadership in the European Union</li></ul><ul style="font-family: verdana;"><li>Destabilization of China and Russia</li></ul><br />]]>
      <![CDATA[<span style="font-family: verdana;">One of the most interesting speakers was a Chinese analyst that spoke of the enormous significance of the </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://www.forbes.com/afxnewslimited/feeds/afx/2008/12/13/afx5817849.html">China-Japan-Korea summit</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">
held last week. These are key countries whose relations have
historically been very bad and full cooperation between them in facing
the present crisis might mean a true shift in the world balance of
power. The summit certainly hasn't received the attention it deserves<br /></span><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Many
of the analysts seemed to hope and believe that under the new Obama
administration America would take take the lead in strong measures to
snap the world out of its slump.<br /></span><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">President Figueres, who is center-left, pointed out to the assembled  analysts that the people who had </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">voted</span><span style="font-family: verdana;"> for Obama were expecting him to get </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">them</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">
out of the crisis, not the world, and that he would be judged
accordingly and that those outside the USA should not get their hopes
too far up, especially in regards to the further liberalization of
world trade.<br /></span><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Figueres
also had an observation about the new Obama team, which was the fruit
of his own extensive administrative experience. He said that Obama's
new cabinet, made up of "</span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">luminarios</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">",
was an "all-star" team, and he had serious doubts that a group
containing such a group of gigantic egos (and he knows many of them
personally) in most of the sensitive areas, could work together
smoothly.<br /></span><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">As to the role that the USA might play in fixing things, one bright, young Spanish analyst from the BBVA brought up the </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Economic_Conference">London Economic Conference of 1933</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">,
where Franklyn D. Roosevelt scuppered any chance of an international
economic agreement, one which might have ended the depression and
avoided World War Two, as an indication of America's probable reaction
in times of a general world economic crisis.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">If I had been on the dias, I  would have opened with a quote from Marx (Groucho) </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">"The secret of life is honesty and fair dealing: if you can fake that, you've got it made"</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">.  At the heart of the crisis is the failure of American credibility.<br /></span><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">If
the USA is not able to take the medicine of fiscal orthodoxy it has
forced painfully down everybody's throats in the past, nobody is ever
going to take them or their prescriptions seriously again. This is
something that has to be faced.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">I
am not at all sure that Bernake and his printing press are going to do
anything finally but destroy the dollar and create Argentinian type
hyper-inflation... </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">once people get deleveraged who is going to want to hold depreciating US dollars</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">?<br /></span><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Some
analysts felt that the European Central Bank should follow the fed in
flooding the system with newly printed cash. It would seem to me that
one of the clearest and </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">unfifying</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">
achievments of the EU has been the Euro's creation and its value. From
a view to European unity it doesn't make much sense to lower its value
in any way, even if maintaining it is painful.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Others feared that the crisis might make the EU more inward looking.<br /></span><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">As
I understand it the EU is a market of 450M people and that most of what
we consume here is produced within the Union itself... I would think
that a strategic understanding with neighboring </span><span style="border-bottom: 1px dashed rgb(0, 102, 204); background: transparent none repeat scroll 0% 50%; cursor: pointer; -moz-background-clip: -moz-initial; -moz-background-origin: -moz-initial; -moz-background-inline-policy: -moz-initial; font-family: verdana;" class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1229707249_0">Russia</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">,
in order to take mutual advantage of the fabulous synergies, would make
the EU as nearly self-sufficient as it would be possible for anyone,
anywhere to be.<br /></span><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">In my
opinion one of the most important reasons that European unity is not
getting people excited is that it is being presented as a partnership
with the USA to run around the world </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">jousting with windmills</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">,
which the people in Europe don't want to do. The EU and the US have
vastly different geopolitical realities and objectives... another fact
that finally must be faced.<br /></span><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Really,
as soon as the USA has nationalized Freddy and Fannie and Citi Bank and
now Detroit... what is the meaningful economic difference between the
USA, Russia and </span><span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1229707249_1" style="font-family: verdana;">China</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">? At this point both the capitalism </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">and</span><span style="font-family: verdana;"> the </span><span style="background: transparent none repeat scroll 0% 50%; cursor: pointer; -moz-background-clip: -moz-initial; -moz-background-origin: -moz-initial; -moz-background-inline-policy: -moz-initial; font-family: verdana;" class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1229707249_2">social democracy</span><span style="font-family: verdana;"> of the EU is clearer than Russia's, China's and the USA's. Only the </span><span style="border-bottom: 1px dashed rgb(0, 102, 204); cursor: pointer; font-family: verdana;" class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1229707249_3">European Union</span><span style="font-family: verdana;"> has </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">both</span><span style="font-family: verdana;"> a meaningful social net </span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">and</span><span style="font-family: verdana;"> correct financial fundamentals.<br /></span><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">As
to spreading democracy, I think that in these troubled times if we can
maintain democracy in the countries where there is a tradition and a
culture of democracy we will be doing very well, indeed. I don't think
the </span><span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1229707249_4" style="font-family: verdana;">Chinese people</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">
will want to risk destabilizing their country in the midst of a crisis
and I don't imagine the Russians will either... The temptation in
troubled times will be toward authoritarian regimes and the Russians
and the Chinese already have them.<br /></span><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Although
things are bad and getting worse, I think this period may finally be
vindicated by people getting truly serious about who we are and what we
really want and need and what we are prepared to pay for it.<br /><br /><a href="http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/">http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/</a><br /></span>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Bush to Blago to Madoff: a triple play from hell </title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/2008/12/bush-to-blago-to-madoff-a-trip.php" />
   <id>tag:www.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk/blogs/david_seaton//1840.248604</id>
   
   <published>2008-12-17T19:47:12Z</published>
   <updated>2008-12-17T20:00:10Z</updated>
   
   <summary> We can&apos;t tax or spend our way out of this mess. The bad debt must be defaulted, and this will mean bankruptcies among both people and companies (including banks) - lots of them. This is inevitable. Market-Ticker&quot;I have abandoned...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>David Seaton</name>
      
   </author>
   
   <category term="10750" label="market economy" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   <category term="7848" label="Marx" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/david_seaton/">
      <![CDATA[ <img style="width: 400px; height: 696px;" alt="twist and shout" src="http://americanhistory.si.edu/muybridge/img/gifs/i_0_01_ani.gif" align="left" /><br /><blockquote>We can't tax or spend our way out of this mess. The bad
debt must be defaulted, and this will mean bankruptcies among both
people and companies (including banks) - lots of them. This is
inevitable. <a href="http://market-ticker.denninger.net/archives/690-Oh-What-A-Tangled-Web-We-Weave......html"><span style="font-style: italic;">Market-Ticker</span></a><br /><br />"I have abandoned free-market principles to save the free- market system" <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&amp;sid=airwT8oF654Y&amp;refer=news"><span style="font-style: italic;">George W. Bush</span></a><br /><br />It
is hard to avoid the conclusion that the U.S. and China are becoming
two countries, one system. How so? Easy, in the wake of our massive
bank bailout, one can now look at China and America and say: "Well,
China has a big-state-owned banking sector, next to a private one, and
America now has a big state-owned banking sector next to a private one.
China has big state-owned industries, alongside private ones, and once
Washington bails out Detroit, America will have a big state-owned
industry next to private ones." <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/12/17/opinion/17friedman.html"><span style="font-style: italic;">Thomas Friedman</span></a> </blockquote><span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(0, 102, 0); font-family: verdana;"></span> <span style="font-family: verdana;">Masters
of the craft often insist that it is essential to write every day if
you are going to build any writing muscles, there seem to be neural
paths that need to be blazed between brain and hand in order to write
and the only way to blaze and nurture them is by steadily putting words
onto a white space. My brief experience tells me that this is true.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">I
came to writing late: analyzing world affairs meant having to write on
a daily basis and having to write turned into loving to write and that
helps me to write every day: a beneficent </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">circle.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">The
problem in facing the white space is usually where to begin, but world
news has always provided me with a wide variety of themes: every
morning there was some new event to start the flow of words and ideas
moving. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">The last few weeks have been heavy going though.  </span><br /><br /><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">Bush to Blago to Madoff</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">
is not the kind of triple play to have the fans on their feet, hoarse
from cheering. A steady diet of writing about nothing but criminal
stupidity and decadence on a massive scale is finally as appetizing as
chugging a barium shake.<br /><br /></span>]]>
      <![CDATA[<span style="font-family: verdana;">However the quotes from Bush and
Friedman that top this post give me a glimmer of hope that certain
veins of mineable mineral may lie hidden gleaming within our
depression-bound </span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://market-ticker.denninger.net/archives/690-Oh-What-A-Tangled-Web-We-Weave......html">dung heap</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">It
seems sure now that the fall of the Soviet Union and the end of the
ideological struggle against its real-existing socialism, rather than
leading to the kingdom of heaven of market capitalism has, in fact, led
to some sort of surprising synthesis, which we might tentatively call "</span><span style="font-style: italic; font-family: verdana;">don't-look-now-socialism</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">".</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">The bottom line is that the political system of the United States will not tolerate those   classic economic forces, </span><span style="font-family: verdana;">the very rock upon which they have built their church; it will not permit the forces that</span><span style="font-family: verdana;"> Reagan called "the magic of markets"</span><span style="font-family: verdana;">, to wreak their "</span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://transcriptions.english.ucsb.edu/archive/courses/liu/english25/materials/schumpeter.html">creative destruction</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">"
on the lives and futures of America's children, aged pensioners, middle
class home owners, students, farmers, autoworkers and the assorted
consumers of junk food and Chinese Gewgaws.<br /><br />The system won't
tolerate the market cleaning up its own mess because the system is
afraid that the aforementioned victims might just turn around and burn
the mother down.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">Off
the top of my head I would say that the consumer society, whose
cornucopia of abundance buried real-existing socialism, succeeded in
becoming the absolute motor of the US economy by drumming into people's
consciousness that they are unique and special individuals whose wants
and desires must be discovered, cultivated and satisfied.<br /><br />Try telling a spoiled child that he or she has just been drafted into the world's "</span><a style="font-family: verdana;" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reserve_army_of_labour">reserve army of labor</a><span style="font-family: verdana;">", then stand back and watch them trash the nursery.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: verdana;">For
the American economy to look them in the eye and tell them they are
just so much dirt is not a message that a consumer with a "unique life
style" can easily digest.</span>  <span style="font-family: verdana;"><br /><br />So
here we are in the closing days of 2008, watching Adam Smith, Joseph
Schumpeter, Karl Popper and Milton Friedman lie moldering on the ash
heap of history, while Karl Marx daintily brushes the ashes off his old
suit and goes over his notes.<br /><a href="http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/">http://seaton-newslinks.blogspot.com/</a><br /></span>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

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